Yes, Como have taken 41 points over their last 20 Serie A games, 5.91 more than the 35.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Como create 1.61 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 32.15 in all, and have scored 36 goals from those chances, 3.85 more than that xG would expect.
Como allow 0.99 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Serie A games, 19.79 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 2.79 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Anastasios Douvikas has the most expected goals (xG) for Como over their last 20 Serie A games, 7.42 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Nico Paz is next with 4.28 xG.
Como have taken 5.9 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +3.9 goals against their xG, and +2.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 32.15 | 36 | +3.85 | 19.79 | 17 | +2.79 | 35.09 | 41 | +5.91 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.84 | 15 | -2.84 | 12.52 | 7 | +5.52 | 17.15 | 21 | +3.85 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.09 | 8 | -1.09 | 7.51 | 5 | +2.51 | 7.95 | 10 | +2.05 |
| Home | 8 | 16.80 | 16 | -0.80 | 5.50 | 7 | -1.50 | 18.01 | 17 | -1.01 |
| Away | 12 | 15.35 | 20 | +4.65 | 14.29 | 10 | +4.29 | 17.08 | 24 | +6.92 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Serie A | Roma (H) | 0-0 | 1.46 | 0.74 | 1.90 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Serie A | Frosinone (A) | 2-0 | 1.94 | 2.45 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 14 Sep | Serie A | Parma (H) | 2-1 | 2.72 | 1.31 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 4 Sep | Serie A | Genoa (A) | 1-4 | 1.82 | 1.13 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Serie A | Napoli (A) | 1-2 | 1.15 | 1.88 | 0.92 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Serie A | Udinese (A) | 1-1 | 1.85 | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 24 May | Serie A | Cremonese (A) | 1-4 | 2.34 | 1.15 | 2.11 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Serie A | Parma (H) | 1-0 | 2.31 | 0.17 | 2.70 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Serie A | Hellas Verona (A) | 0-1 | 0.93 | 1.31 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Serie A | Napoli (H) | 0-0 | 1.32 | 0.75 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Serie A | Genoa (A) | 0-2 | 0.79 | 0.60 | 1.48 | 3 | D |
| 17 Apr | Serie A | Sassuolo (A) | 2-1 | 0.93 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Serie A | Inter (H) | 3-4 | 2.94 | 0.83 | 2.51 | 0 | W |
| 6 Apr | Serie A | Udinese (A) | 0-0 | 0.76 | 0.93 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Serie A | Pisa (H) | 5-0 | 1.62 | 0.51 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Serie A | Roma (H) | 2-1 | 2.00 | 0.98 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Serie A | Cagliari (A) | 1-2 | 0.81 | 0.67 | 1.43 | 3 | D |
| 28 Feb | Serie A | Lecce (H) | 3-1 | 2.43 | 0.21 | 2.71 | 3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Serie A | Juventus (A) | 0-2 | 0.99 | 0.68 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 18 Feb | Serie A | AC Milan (A) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 0.68 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Baturina | midfielder | 19 | 1202 | 2.17 | 4 | +1.83 | 0.16 |
| Assane Diao | attacker | 17 | 1193 | 2.86 | 4 | +1.14 | 0.22 |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | defender | 9 | 414 | 0.15 | 1 | +0.85 | 0.03 |
| Nico Paz | midfielder | 17 | 1350 | 4.28 | 5 | +0.72 | 0.29 |
| Jesús Rodríguez | attacker | 14 | 597 | 1.40 | 2 | +0.60 | 0.21 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | attacker | 20 | 1365 | 7.42 | 8 | +0.58 | 0.49 |
| Álex Valle | defender | 13 | 927 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.04 |
| Lucas Da Cunha | midfielder | 20 | 1457 | 3.47 | 4 | +0.53 | 0.21 |
| Marc Oliver Kempf | defender | 16 | 1134 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.04 |
| Diego Carlos | defender | 12 | 692 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.07 |
| Kaiki | defender | 4 | 206 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.24 |
| Alberto Moreno | defender | 10 | 593 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.10 |
| Maxence Caqueret | midfielder | 16 | 783 | 0.95 | 1 | +0.05 | 0.11 |
| Máximo Perrone | midfielder | 20 | 1348 | 1.34 | 1 | -0.34 | 0.09 |
| Álvaro Morata | attacker | 11 | 218 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.34 |
| Jacobo Ramón | defender | 17 | 1484 | 2.65 | 1 | -1.65 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 10.7 | 3 | 5.4 | 13 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8.4 | 4 | 8.9 | 16 | +7.1 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 6 | 6.7 | 8 | 11.2 | 8 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | Inter | 6 | 16.8 | 18 | 6.7 | 8 | 13.4 | 16 | +2.6 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.1 | 11 | 6.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | 6.7 | 3 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | 9.2 | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Lecce | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Napoli | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Parma | 6 | 4.6 | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Juventus | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | 3.6 | 5 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 7.3 | 9 | 10.3 | 13 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
| 17 | Bologna | 6 | 8.5 | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 18 | Monza | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | 8.1 | 15 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | 8.7 | 14 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 10.2 | 5 | 12.7 | 16 | 7.1 | 0 | -7.1 |