Patriots games are 1-3-0 against the closing total in 2026, through Week 4: the over has landed in 25% of the games that did not push.
The closing total in their games has averaged 45.5 points, and the games have produced 35.5 on average — 10 points below the line.
At home their games are 0-1-0 (over-under-push); on the road, 1-2-0.
In 2025 Patriots games went 11-6-0 against the total (over 64.7% of the time, pushes left out).
Up next the Patriots host the Raiders, with the total at 45.5. The Raiders have gone 2-2-0 against the total in 2026.
| Split | O-U-P | Overs |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| Away | 1-2-0 | 33.3% |
| As favourite | 0-1-0 | 0.0% |
| As underdog | 1-2-0 | 33.3% |
| Week | Opponent | Score | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | at Buffalo Bills | W 29-26 | 49.5 | Over (55 points) |
| W3 | at Jacksonville Jaguars | L 6-35 | 46.5 | Under (41 points) |
| W2 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | W 20-3 | 41.5 | Under (23 points) |
| W1 | at Seattle Seahawks | L 10-13 | 44.5 | Under (23 points) |
| Total | 2026 | Since 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 | 2 of 4 | 29 of 38 |
| Over 40.5 | 2 of 4 | 28 of 38 |
| Over 43.5 | 1 of 4 | 23 of 38 |
| Over 44.5 | 1 of 4 | 21 of 38 |
| Over 47.5 | 1 of 4 | 14 of 38 |
| Over 50.5 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 38 |
| Season | O-U-P | Overs |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025 | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| 2024 | 11-6-0 | 64.7% |
| Team | O-U-P | Overs |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 4-0-0 | 100.0% |
| Detroit Lions | 4-0-0 | 100.0% |
| Buffalo Bills | 3-1-0 | 75.0% |
| Cleveland Browns | 3-1-0 | 75.0% |
| New Orleans Saints | 3-1-0 | 75.0% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3-1-0 | 75.0% |
| Washington Commanders | 3-1-0 | 75.0% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Carolina Panthers | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Green Bay Packers | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Houston Texans | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| New York Giants | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-2-0 | 50.0% |
| Chicago Bears | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Denver Broncos | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| New England Patriots | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| New York Jets | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-3-0 | 25.0% |