San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 11

The Bulls are 1-8 across the nine games counted this season, and the gap in results is stark. Their only win came at Milwaukee, 132-125. Since then they have lost every game, including 121-127 at home to Philadelphia in their latest outing. The bigger defeats stand out: 92-135 at Toronto, 99-134 at Boston and 105-135 at New York. They average 112.7 points for and allow 129.3. Chicago plays at home here, but that has not helped yet. They also lost at home to Washington 120-124 and to New York 127-133.

The Spurs are 9-1 in their last 10 and arrive on a hot streak. Their only loss was 110-114 at home to Houston. Since then they have won every game, and the margins are wide: 122-96 at Phoenix, 125-103 at Portland, 124-109 at Sacramento and 130-103 against Sacramento at home. They did sneak past Dallas 112-111, which shows the run is not all blowouts. They average 120.2 points for and allow 106.1. This is their fourth straight road game on this stretch of the schedule, and the last three on the road were all comfortable wins.

Chicago has two names on the injury report, both day-to-day with a listed return date of 11 November. Norman Powell has been dealing with right shoulder inflammation and soreness. He is the Bulls' second-highest projected scorer here, so his status shapes their offence. If he sits, Isaac Okoro, Buddy Hield and Tre Jones are the names flagged for more minutes. Zach Collins is battling a respiratory issue and an illness. If he is out, Noa Essengue, Leonard Miller and Patrick Williams could see extra run. Chicago already allows 129.3 a game, so thinner depth up front is a concern.

San Antonio has three names listed. Devin Vassell is day-to-day with a groin issue and also lists 11 November as his return date. If he misses, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson and Carter Bryant are the ones likely to absorb his minutes. Tobias Harris is listed out with a calf problem, but this game is his next chance to make his 2026-27 debut. Jayden Quaintance is out and has not been cleared for basketball activities. His return date is 3 December. The Spurs have kept winning without these players, so the depth looks sound.

The model takes the San Antonio Spurs. It gives them a 90% win probability, a projected margin that makes them -17.2 on the model line, and 128.4 points to Chicago's 111.3. The model total is 239.7.

There is no market to measure against. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline, so we cannot say whether the model is above or below the market, and we have no total lean until a number appears. The market is the missing piece here, not the model.

The case for the Spurs is simple. They are 9-1 in their last 10 and score and defend well. The Bulls are 1-8 and allow 129.3 a game. The risks are the Bulls' injury news, which could move the number either way, and a big spread that always leaves room for a late, meaningless run.

Statz pick: San Antonio Spurs to win, model line -17.2, model total 239.7. Lines move before tip, so check the price once books post it and compare it with the model.