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Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 6

Updated Nov 5, with the latest lineups and odds

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LAL

Statz pick

Los Angeles Lakers to win

We give the Los Angeles Lakers a 58% chance, against 42% for the Portland Trail Blazers. See the full projection →

58%
LAL to win
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The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 58% to beat the Portland Trail Blazers, with a projected margin of 2.8 points and a total of 232.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The injury that matters most is Ja Morant, who is out for Portland with a hamstring strain.

The Portland Trail Blazers visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday 6 November, with tip at 10:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours the Lakers at 58%, with the Trail Blazers at 42%. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. The model makes it a tight game with a projected total of 232.0.

How the teams arrive

The Lakers are 7-2 over their last nine, and they arrive at home. They beat Sacramento 116-103 on the road on 4 November, and before that put up 138-117 against Miami and 131-125 against Toronto. The two defeats came at Golden State, 95-112, and at home to Portland, 129-136. The Lakers average 121.8 points for and 113.9 against.

The Trail Blazers are 6-1 over their last seven and travel for this one. They won at Phoenix 132-119 on 4 November and at Denver 118-110 two days earlier. Their one loss was a 103-124 home defeat to Memphis. They won 136-129 at the Lakers on 27 October. Portland averages 121.9 points for and 110.7 against, so the defence is the stronger side of the ledger.

Team news and lineups

Portland carries the bigger problem. Ja Morant is out with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain and is expected to miss four weeks. That leaves a hole in the backcourt, and Jrue Holiday is the expected fill-in. Ball handling and shot creation now fall on fewer players.

Shaedon Sharpe is also out after a torn meniscus and is not expected back until March. Vit Krejci suffered a left leg fracture in the win at Phoenix and is out. His minutes are likely to be split between Chris Youngblood and Sidy Cissoko. Three absences thin the wing and bench rotation.

The Lakers list Adou Thiero as out with a knee issue. He has been with the G League affiliate and looks close to a season debut. His absence changes little tonight.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic is projected for 31.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 6.9 assists and 3.6 threes. He is the main reason the model leans to the Lakers. Portland is short of guards, and he will have the ball in his hands.

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves is projected for 19.9 points, 3.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists. He is the second scoring option and the one who takes pressure off Doncic.

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler is projected for 11.1 points and 9.7 rebounds. His work on the glass matters against a Portland frontline built around size.

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija is projected for 21.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.1 assists. With Morant out, he is Portland's top scorer and a key creator.

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard is projected for 19.0 points, 4.8 assists and 2.6 threes. He carries more of the shot creation tonight, and his range keeps Portland in games.

Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday is projected for 13.2 points, 4.2 assists and 2.2 threes. He is the expected replacement for Morant, so his role grows.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Lakers at 58%. Its line is Lakers -2.8, with the Trail Blazers at +2.8, and it projects 117.4 points for the Lakers against 114.6 for Portland. That gives a total of 232.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market side is the missing piece.

The total lean is toward a high-scoring game. Both teams average more than 121 points, and the Lakers and Portland scored 129 and 136 when they met on 27 October. Portland's backcourt losses are the main reason to be careful.

Statz pick: Los Angeles Lakers, 58% win probability, model line -2.8, model total 232.0.

Lines move before tip, so check the latest NBA odds once a number is posted.

POR @ LAL questions

Who does the model favour, Trail Blazers or Lakers?
The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 58%, with the Portland Trail Blazers at 42%. Its line is Lakers -2.8, which points to a close game with a small edge for the home side.
What is the projected total for Trail Blazers at Lakers?
The model projects a total of 232.0 points. It has the Lakers on 117.4 and the Trail Blazers on 114.6. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Is Ja Morant playing for the Trail Blazers?
No. Ja Morant is out with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain and is expected to miss four weeks. Jrue Holiday is expected to fill his place in the backcourt. Shaedon Sharpe and Vit Krejci are also out.
What time is Trail Blazers vs Lakers on 6 November?
Tip is at 10:00 PM ET on Friday 6 November, with the game played in Los Angeles. The Lakers are the home side and the Trail Blazers are the visitors.
How did the teams do when they last met?
The Trail Blazers won 136-129 at the Lakers on 27 October. Across the five meetings counted, Portland has won four and the Lakers one, though this season's game is the most relevant given the current rosters.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Portland Trail Blazers or Los Angeles Lakers?

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers with a 58% win probability, leaving the Portland Trail Blazers at 42%. Over their last five games the Los Angeles Lakers are 4-1 and the Portland Trail Blazers are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers?

For Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers, the model projects Luka Doncic for 31.2 points and Austin Reaves for 19.9 points for the Los Angeles Lakers. For the Portland Trail Blazers it projects Deni Avdija for 21.9 points and Damian Lillard for 19.0 points.