New York KnicksKnicks
Fri, Oct 307:30 PMETPhiladelphia
Philadelphia 76ers76ers
NYK2.15PHI1.87via Polymarket

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 30

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PHI

Statz pick

Philadelphia 76ers to win

We give the Philadelphia 76ers a 57% chance, against 43% for the New York Knicks. See the full projection →

57%
PHI to win
Polymarket1.87

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 57% to beat the New York Knicks on Friday 30 October, with a projected margin that puts them at -2.3. DraftKings has the 76ers at -1.5 with a total of 231.5. The injury that matters most is Ariel Hukporti, out for the season, which thins the 76ers' frontcourt behind Joel Embiid.

The New York Knicks visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday 30 October, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes Philadelphia the favourite at 57%, and the market agrees on the side: DraftKings has the 76ers at -1.5. The model is slightly firmer, at -2.3. The gap is small, but it points one way.

How the teams arrive

Philadelphia is 4-1 across its first five games, with a sequence of W L W W W. The most recent result was a 114-109 win at Indiana. The one defeat was at home to Detroit, 93-106. Around it sit wins over Milwaukee (127-116) and Cleveland (114-106) at home. The 76ers are scoring 110.8 and allowing 107.4 per game. They also beat these same Knicks 106-100 in New York on 20 October.

New York is 2-3, and the recent run is better than the record. The Knicks won at Chicago 133-127 and beat Detroit 111-97 at home. Before that came three straight defeats: Orlando 102-111 at home, Boston 103-107 away, and that loss to Philadelphia. The Knicks average 109.8 points for and 109.6 against, which is almost level. They arrive on the road and are looking for a first win over the 76ers this season.

Team news and lineups

Philadelphia has three players listed out. Ariel Hukporti is the most significant: he has a ruptured right Achilles tendon and is reported out for the season. That removes a backup centre behind Joel Embiid, so Embiid's minutes matter more, and Adem Bona is expected to take the backup role once healthy. Dominick Barlow is out with a lumbar spine bone stress response. The earliest he could return is 2 November, and the absence could run longer. Tacko Fall is out with a quadriceps problem and is week-to-week. Frontcourt depth is thin, and that is the 76ers' soft spot against a Knicks side with strong rebounders.

New York has one name on the list. Jose Alvarado is out with an ankle injury. The report says Tyler Kolek will likely pick up the backup point guard minutes. That is a small change to the rotation rather than a shift in how the Knicks play. Check the latest status before tip.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is projected for 22.7 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 2.7 threes. He leads the 76ers in the model's scoring projection, and he carries the offence when defences load up on Embiid.

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid projects at 22.6 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists. With Hukporti gone, there is little cover behind him. His minutes and foul trouble shape the whole Philadelphia frontcourt.

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown is projected for 22.0 points, 7.2 rebounds and 4.1 assists, with 1.9 threes. He gives the 76ers a third scorer at nearly the same level as the first two, which is why the team's projected points (115.9) look healthy.

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson is the Knicks' main engine at 25.0 points, 3.6 rebounds and 7.0 assists, with 2.1 threes. He is the highest scorer in either projection. If he is efficient, New York stays in range.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns projects at 21.0 points and 14.3 rebounds, with 3.4 assists. The rebound number is the largest of any player on the page. With the 76ers short of big men, the glass is where New York may find an edge.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby is projected for 17.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists, with 2.4 threes. He is the Knicks' best source of perimeter scoring beyond Brunson, and he is New York's top three-point projection.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Philadelphia 76ers. It gives them a 57% win probability, against 43% for the New York Knicks. Its line is 76ers -2.3, which sits 0.8 points wider than the market's -1.5. That is a modest lean toward the home side covering. The model projects 115.9 points for Philadelphia and 113.6 for New York.

On the total, the model projects 229.5 against a market line of 231.5, a gap of 2.0 points. The lean is the under. Both teams have been close to level on points allowed and scored this season, and the model expects a game that stays a little below the number.

Statz pick: Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 at 1.87 (DraftKings), with a lean to the under 231.5 at 1.90 (DraftKings). For comparison, the 76ers moneyline is 1.80 and the Knicks are 2.05. See the NBA odds page for the full board. The edge on the spread is small, so treat it as a lean rather than a conviction play. Lines move before tip, so check the number again before you bet.

NYK @ PHI questions

Who does the model favour, Knicks or 76ers?
The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 57%, with the New York Knicks at 43%. The model line is 76ers -2.3, and the market agrees on the side with DraftKings at -1.5 for Friday 30 October.
What is the spread and total for Knicks at 76ers?
DraftKings has the 76ers at -1.5 and the Knicks at +1.5, priced 1.87 and 1.95. The total is 231.5, with over and under both at 1.90. The model total is 229.5, which leans to the under.
Which injuries matter in this game?
Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured Achilles, which thins Philadelphia's centre depth behind Joel Embiid. Dominick Barlow and Tacko Fall are also out. For New York, Jose Alvarado is out, with Tyler Kolek likely to take backup guard minutes.
How have the two teams started this season?
Philadelphia is 4-1 across its first five games, and the Knicks are 2-3. The 76ers beat New York 106-100 on 20 October. The Knicks won their latest game at Chicago, 133-127, while the 76ers won 114-109 at Indiana.
What time is Knicks at 76ers on 30 October?
Tip is at 7:30 PM ET on Friday 30 October, with the Philadelphia 76ers at home against the New York Knicks. Lines can move before tip, so check the latest odds and injury news close to the start.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, New York Knicks or Philadelphia 76ers?

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers with a 57% win probability, leaving the New York Knicks at 43%. Draftkings agrees, pricing the Philadelphia 76ers as the favourite at -1.5 on the spread. The moneyline is -125 for the Philadelphia 76ers and +105 for the New York Knicks.

What is the spread and total for New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers?

Draftkings lists the Philadelphia 76ers at -1.5 with the total at 231.5 for New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers?

For New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers, the model projects Tyrese Maxey for 22.7 points and Joel Embiid for 22.6 points for the Philadelphia 76ers. For the New York Knicks it projects Jalen Brunson for 25.0 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 21.0 points.