Charlotte HornetsHornets
Fri, Oct 307:00 PMETWashington
Washington WizardsWizards
CHA2.11WAS1.90via Polymarket

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 30

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WAS

Statz pick

Washington Wizards to win

We give the Washington Wizards a 53% chance, against 47% for the Charlotte Hornets. See the full projection →

53%
WAS to win
Polymarket1.90

The Statz model makes the Washington Wizards 53% favourites at home against the Charlotte Hornets, with a model line of -1.0. DraftKings has the Hornets as 1.5-point favourites, so the sides disagree. The model total is 232.4 against a market 235.5. Charlotte are without Coby White and Kon Knueppel, the injuries that matter most.

The Charlotte Hornets visit the Washington Wizards on Friday 30 October, with tip at 7:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours Washington at 53%, with a model line of -1.0. The market disagrees. DraftKings has Charlotte as 1.5-point favourites, which makes this a game where the model and the book sit on opposite sides.

How the teams arrive

Washington are 2-3 in their last five, with a run of L L W L W. They scored 113.6 and conceded 115.8 per game over that stretch. The best result was a 128-116 home win over Milwaukee, and they also took a 124-120 game at Chicago. The losses were 111-121 at Cleveland, 102-112 at home to Toronto and 103-110 at Charlotte on Monday. The defence has been the soft spot.

Charlotte are 3-2 in their last five, with a run of L W W L W. They averaged 101.0 points and allowed 108.2. The results swing hard. They beat Washington 110-103 at home, beat Miami 115-110 and won 110-103 at Brooklyn. They also lost 81-128 at home to Atlanta and 89-97 at Detroit on Wednesday. That 89-97 loss shows how thin the scoring has been with key players missing. Charlotte are on the road for this one, the second game of a two-game trip.

Team news and lineups

Charlotte carry the heavier list. Coby White (calf), Kon Knueppel (hamstring), Grant Williams (hamstring) and Kylan Boswell (knee) are all out. Coach Charles Lee has said he will know more after this road trip, and Saturday at home against the 76ers is the earliest return point mentioned for several of them. In the meantime, Dennis Schroder and Christian Anderson pick up extra minutes at guard. Royce O'Neale keeps a meaningful bench role in Williams' absence. White and Knueppel are the real losses: that is playmaking and scoring Charlotte cannot replace by committee.

Washington are missing depth, not a core piece. Tristan Vukcevic (hip) is out, which leaves Deandre Ayton the backup centre role to himself. Justin Champagnie (fractured foot) is out for months, so Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson and Bub Carrington are asked to cover his minutes. Two-way player Jamir Watkins is out after ACL surgery and is in serious doubt for most of the season. None of these three changes the top of Washington's rotation, but the wing minutes get thinner.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis is projected for 21.4 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists. With Vukcevic out, the frontcourt runs through him, and the rebounding number is the one to note.

Trae Young

Trae Young is projected for 20.8 points, 8.6 assists and 2.6 threes. He drives the Washington offence, and Charlotte's thin guard group will struggle to match his usage.

Alexandre Sarr

Alexandre Sarr is projected for 13.7 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.2 threes. He gives Washington size and spacing at centre, and his minutes matter with the bench big man out.

Brandon Miller

Brandon Miller is projected for 25.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 3.7 threes. He is the top scorer on either side and carries the shot-creation load with White and Knueppel out.

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen is projected for 19.1 points, 4.1 assists and 3.4 threes. His shooting is Charlotte's best spacing option, and the model gives him real volume tonight.

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder is projected for 14.3 points, 6.0 assists and 3.5 rebounds. He is the main ball handler with White out, so his assist number is worth tracking.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Washington Wizards. It gives them 53% and a line of -1.0, while the market has them at +1.5. That is a gap of 2.5 points on the spread, and it explains why the model likes the home side while DraftKings leans Charlotte. Washington have lost two of their last three at home and conceded 115.8 per game, so this is a lean, not a strong edge. Charlotte's injury list is the main reason the model holds its position.

On the total, the model projects 232.4 against a market line of 235.5, a gap of 3.1 points. The model leans to the under. Charlotte have scored 101.0 per game over their last five and are short on creators, which supports a lower-scoring game.

Statz pick: Washington Wizards +1.5 at 1.86 with DraftKings, and under 235.5 at 1.90. The Wizards moneyline is also 1.86 for those who want the straight side. See the latest numbers on the NBA odds page. Lines move before tip, so check the price before you act.

CHA @ WAS questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Hornets vs Wizards?
The Statz model favours the Washington Wizards at 53%, with the Charlotte Hornets at 47%. The model line is Wizards -1.0, built on a projected margin of 1.0 points for the home side.
What is the market line for Hornets at Wizards?
DraftKings has the Charlotte Hornets as 1.5-point favourites, with the Wizards at +1.5 for 1.86 and the Hornets at -1.5 for 1.95. The total is 235.5, with over and under both at 1.90.
What is the model total for Hornets vs Wizards?
The model projects 232.4 total points, with 116.7 for Washington and 115.7 for Charlotte. That is 3.1 points below the market total of 235.5, so the model leans to the under.
Who is injured for the Charlotte Hornets?
Coby White (calf), Kon Knueppel (hamstring), Grant Williams (hamstring) and Kylan Boswell (knee) are all listed as out. Coach Charles Lee has said he will know more after the two-game road trip ends in Washington.
Who is injured for the Washington Wizards?
Tristan Vukcevic (hip), Justin Champagnie (fractured foot) and two-way player Jamir Watkins (torn ACL) are all out. Deandre Ayton has the backup centre role to himself, and Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson and Bub Carrington cover Champagnie's minutes.
What time is Hornets vs Wizards on 30 October?
Tip is at 7:00 PM ET on Friday 30 October in Washington. The Wizards are the home side. Charlotte beat Washington 110-103 at home on Monday, and this is the return game.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Charlotte Hornets or Washington Wizards?

The Statz model favours the Washington Wizards with a 53% win probability, leaving the Charlotte Hornets at 47%. Draftkings leans the other way, pricing the Charlotte Hornets as the favourite at -1.5 on the spread. The moneyline is -116 for the Washington Wizards and -105 for the Charlotte Hornets.

What is the spread and total for Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards?

Draftkings lists the Washington Wizards at +1.5 with the total at 235.5 for Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards?

For Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards, the model projects Anthony Davis for 21.4 points and Trae Young for 20.8 points for the Washington Wizards. For the Charlotte Hornets it projects Brandon Miller for 25.1 points and Grayson Allen for 19.1 points.