Cleveland CavaliersCavaliers
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New York KnicksKnicks
CLE2.74NYK1.57via Polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 11

Updated Nov 10, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 62% chance, against 38% for the Cleveland Cavaliers. See the full projection →

62%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.57

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers, giving them a 62% win probability and a model line of -4.0 with a projected total of 225.9. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters is Sam Merrill, who is day-to-day for Cleveland.

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the New York Knicks on Wednesday 11 November, with tip-off at 7:00 PM ET. The model makes the Knicks the favourite at 62%, with a model line of -4.0. The market has no number to set against it yet, because no bookmaker has posted a line for this game.

How the teams arrive

The Knicks are 5-4 over nine games this season and have won their last three. The standout scores are a 135-105 home win over Chicago and a 109-97 win at Cleveland on 7 November. The losses have come against Philadelphia, Orlando and Boston, mostly by small margins. They average 109.9 points for and 104.2 against, which is a defence-led profile. Tonight they are at home.

The Cavaliers are 5-5 over their last 10 and have lost their last two. They went down 124-112 at Charlotte on 9 November, and the 109-97 loss to the Knicks came before that. They can score: 117.6 points per game, including 136-111 at Milwaukee and 119-95 against Philadelphia. But they concede 115.1, and Oklahoma City put up 124 on them in one of two defeats. Tonight they are on the road.

Team news and lineups

New York has nobody on the injury report. The Knicks should be able to play their usual rotation, so their minutes and roles should look much as they did in recent weeks.

Cleveland is thinner. Sam Merrill is day-to-day with an elbow problem. He has been dealing with a nagging issue and has already missed time. If he sits again, Mario Hezonja, Meleek Thomas and Tyrese Proctor are in line for more minutes.

Jaylon Tyson is out with an ankle injury and will miss a sixth straight game. Proctor and Thomas are the likeliest to keep the larger roles. The cost for Cleveland is depth on the wing and shooting off the bench, which matters against a Knicks side that has defended well. Check the status of Merrill closer to tip.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson is projected for 23.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.9 assists. He is the engine of the Knicks offence, and the model has him as the top scorer on either side.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns is projected for 19.8 points and 12.6 rebounds. That rebounding number is the biggest gap on the board, and it points to a clear edge on the glass if Cleveland is short of rotation bodies.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby is projected for 16.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.3 threes. He gives the Knicks scoring from the wing and a steady hand on the defensive end.

Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell is projected for 19.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 5.0 assists. Cleveland's scoring leans on him, and he is the player most likely to keep the Cavaliers in touch.

James Harden

James Harden is projected for 15.0 points, 3.9 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 2.4 threes. With Cleveland short on guards, his playmaking and his three-point shooting both carry weight.

Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley is projected for 14.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He is the Cavaliers' main answer to Towns inside, and his work against the Knicks bigs will shape the rebounding battle.

Statz prediction

The model takes the New York Knicks. It gives them a 62% win probability and a projected margin that matches its model line of -4.0, with 114.9 points projected for the Knicks and 111.0 for the Cavaliers. The projected total is 225.9.

There is no market to compare against. No bookmaker has posted a spread or a total, so there is no model-versus-market gap to measure and no total lean to give. Once lines appear, compare them with -4.0 and 225.9 on the NBA odds page. Lines move before tip, and Merrill's status could shift this one.

The case for the Knicks rests on a clean injury report, home court, a defence that allows 104.2 points per game, and the 109-97 win over Cleveland on 7 November. Cleveland's thin guard rotation works against it.

Statz pick: New York Knicks to win, 62% model win probability, model line -4.0.

See the full preview for the model, form and recent meetings.

CLE @ NYK questions

Who does the model favour in Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks?
The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 62%, which leaves the Cleveland Cavaliers at 39%. Its model line is New York -4.0, with 114.9 projected points for the Knicks and 111.0 for the Cavaliers. Odds and injuries can still change that.
What is the projected total for Cavaliers vs Knicks?
The model projects a total of 225.9 points, split 114.9 for the New York Knicks and 111.0 for the Cleveland Cavaliers. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare with and no over or under lean.
What time does Cavaliers at Knicks tip off?
The game is on Wednesday 11 November and tips off at 7:00 PM ET in New York. The Knicks are at home and the Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road. Check closer to tip for any updates to injuries and lines.
Who is injured for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
Sam Merrill is day-to-day with an elbow issue, and Jaylon Tyson is out with an ankle injury, set to miss a sixth straight game. Mario Hezonja, Meleek Thomas and Tyrese Proctor are in line for more minutes. The New York Knicks have nobody on the injury report.
How have the Knicks and Cavaliers played recently?
The Knicks are 5-4 over nine games and have won their last three, including 109-97 at Cleveland on 7 November. The Cavaliers are 5-5 over 10 games and have lost their last two, 124-112 at Charlotte and that loss to the Knicks.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Cleveland Cavaliers or New York Knicks?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 62% win probability, leaving the Cleveland Cavaliers at 38%. Over their last five games the New York Knicks are 4-1 and the Cleveland Cavaliers are 1-4. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks?

For Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks, the model projects Jalen Brunson for 23.7 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 19.8 points for the New York Knicks. For the Cleveland Cavaliers it projects Donovan Mitchell for 19.7 points and James Harden for 15.0 points.