Chicago BullsBulls
Mon, Nov 27:30 PMETPhiladelphia
Philadelphia 76ers76ers
CHI6.45PHI1.18via Polymarket

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 2

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PHI

Statz pick

Philadelphia 76ers to win

We give the Philadelphia 76ers a 81% chance, against 19% for the Chicago Bulls. See the full projection →

81%
PHI to win
Polymarket1.18

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 81% to beat the Chicago Bulls on Monday 2 November, with a projected margin of 12.0 and a model total of 237.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Nicolas Claxton, out for Chicago.

The Chicago Bulls visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday 2 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes Philadelphia the favourite at 81%, with a projected home margin of 12.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market price to set against the model. Check the NBA odds page once lines appear.

How the teams arrive

Philadelphia arrive at 6-1 over seven games, with the sequence W W W L W W W. The only loss was at home to DET, 93-106. The wins have been tight on the road: 109-104 at CHA and 114-109 at IND. At home they beat MIL 127-116 and CLE 114-106. They average 108.7 points for and 104.9 against, so the margins have been modest.

Chicago are 1-5 over six games, and the run reads L L L L W L. The one win was 132-125 at MIL. The defence is the concern. The Bulls have allowed 129.3 points per game while scoring 113.5. They lost 99-134 at BOS and 92-135 at TOR, and gave up 133 in a home loss to NYK, 127-133. Their most recent game was a 111-125 defeat at BOS on 30 October. This is another road game.

Team news and lineups

Philadelphia are without two big men. Dominick Barlow is out with a lumbar spine bone stress response. He missed the whole preseason, and the earliest return listed is 4 November. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured right Achilles tendon. Both absences thin the frontcourt behind Joel Embiid. That puts more of the centre minutes on Embiid, and the backup role is unsettled.

Chicago list Nicolas Claxton as out with a hamstring injury. He has been doing individual drills and is listed to return around 4 November. His absence costs the Bulls size and rim protection against a Philadelphia team that will attack inside. With a defence already allowing 129.3 per game, that matters.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Players to watch

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is projected for 24.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.0 assists, with 2.7 threes. He is the lead guard and the main driver of Philadelphia's scoring tonight.

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown is projected for 23.7 points, 7.8 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He gives Philadelphia a second scorer who can also rebound.

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid is projected for 21.6 points, 9.0 rebounds and 3.6 assists. With Barlow and Hukporti out, he carries the interior against a Chicago side missing Claxton.

Norman Powell

Norman Powell is projected for 18.9 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists, with 2.2 threes. He is Chicago's top scorer in the projection.

Caleb Wilson

Caleb Wilson is projected for 18.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He adds scoring and rebounding on the wing and in the frontcourt.

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey is projected for 12.0 points, 7.4 rebounds and 8.6 assists. His playmaking is the key to Chicago's offence holding up.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Philadelphia 76ers. It gives them an 81% chance to win, with a model line of -12.0 for the home side and +12.0 for Chicago. The projected score is 124.5 to 112.5, which puts the model total at 237.0.

There is no comparison against the market to make, because no bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline. The market side is missing. The total lean also waits for a number to compare. Chicago's defence (129.3 points allowed per game) points towards a high-scoring game, but without a posted total that stays a read of the data, not a pick.

Statz pick: Philadelphia 76ers, 81% win probability, model line -12.0.

Lines move before tip, so check the number once books post it.

CHI @ PHI questions

Who does the model favour in Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers?
The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 81% to win. The projected home margin is 12.0, which gives a model line of -12.0 for Philadelphia and +12.0 for the Chicago Bulls.
What is the projected total for Bulls at 76ers?
The model projects a total of 237.0 points. It has Philadelphia scoring 124.5 and Chicago scoring 112.5. No bookmaker total is posted yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Has a market line been posted for this game?
No. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline for Bulls at 76ers yet. Because of that, the model cannot be compared with the market. Lines usually move before tip, so check the odds page later.
Who is injured for the Chicago Bulls?
Nicolas Claxton is out with a hamstring injury. He has done individual drills and is listed to return around 4 November. His absence costs Chicago size and rim protection against Philadelphia.
Who is injured for the Philadelphia 76ers?
Dominick Barlow is out with a lumbar spine bone stress response, with the earliest return listed as 4 November. Ariel Hukporti is out for the season with a ruptured right Achilles tendon.
How have the two teams started the season?
Philadelphia are 6-1 over seven games, averaging 108.7 points for and 104.9 against. Chicago are 1-5 over six games, scoring 113.5 per game and allowing 129.3.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Chicago Bulls or Philadelphia 76ers?

The Statz model favours the Philadelphia 76ers with a 81% win probability, leaving the Chicago Bulls at 19%. Over their last five games the Philadelphia 76ers are 4-1 and the Chicago Bulls are 1-4. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers?

For Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers, the model projects Tyrese Maxey for 24.9 points and Jaylen Brown for 23.7 points for the Philadelphia 76ers. For the Chicago Bulls it projects Norman Powell for 18.9 points and Caleb Wilson for 18.5 points.