Brooklyn NetsNets
Sun, Nov 15:00 PMETIndiana
Indiana PacersPacers
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Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 1

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IND

Statz pick

Indiana Pacers to win

We give the Indiana Pacers a 71% chance, against 29% for the Brooklyn Nets. See the full projection →

71%
IND to win
Polymarket1.68

The Statz model favours the Indiana Pacers at home, giving them a 71% win probability and a projected margin of 7.4 points over the Brooklyn Nets. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market spread to compare. The injury that matters is Tyrese Haliburton, out for at least two weeks, which shifts playmaking to Andrew Nembhard and Pascal Siakam.

The Brooklyn Nets visit the Indiana Pacers on Sunday 1 November, with tip at 5:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Pacers the favourite at 71%, with a model line of -7.4. The market has not spoken yet: no bookmaker has posted a line for this game, so there is no price to measure that against.

How the teams arrive

Indiana are 2-4 and have lost their last three. The most recent was a heavy 125-145 defeat at Miami, followed by a 109-114 home loss to Philadelphia and a 102-110 loss at Milwaukee. The wins came at New Orleans, 123-120, and against Brooklyn on 25 October, 136-109. The Pacers average 116.7 points for and concede 119.8, so the defence is the worry. They are at home here.

Brooklyn are 0-5 and arrive on the road. They average 110.2 points and concede 121.2. Four of the five losses were by single digits or close to it: 124-125 at Boston, 121-125 at Cleveland and 103-110 against Charlotte. The outliers were a 94-110 home loss to Detroit and the 109-136 defeat to Indiana in the first meeting of the season. That head-to-head result is the only one that counts for this season, and it was one-sided.

Team news and lineups

Indiana's list is long. Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) is out for at least two weeks, and the Pacers are expected to be careful with him. His absence pushes more playmaking onto Andrew Nembhard and Pascal Siakam, and it opens minutes for the bench guards.

Ivica Zubac (ankle) is listed as out and is considered day-to-day. If he sits again, Obi Toppin should take a larger share of the frontcourt minutes. T.J. McConnell (hamstring) is closing in on a season debut, and the reports point to a possible return around this back-to-back set. Johnny Furphy (knee) and Ben Sheppard (meniscus) are out for months.

Brooklyn's list is lighter. Tyler Bilodeau (shoulder) is out for a third straight game, but his absence should not affect the rotation. Egor Demin (right leg bone bruise) is out and due to be re-evaluated in a week, which thins the young backcourt.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam is projected for 23.7 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists. With Haliburton out, he is Indiana's top scoring option and a secondary creator.

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard is projected for 16.9 points, 2.8 rebounds, 9.3 assists and 2.2 threes. The assist number is the one to note. He runs the offence in this game.

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith is projected for 13.5 points and 2.4 threes. He is the Pacers' most reliable perimeter shooter in the model, and he gets more open looks when the ball moves.

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. is projected for 24.0 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3.4 threes. He leads the Nets in all three, and Brooklyn need his shooting to keep pace with a team projected to score 119.3.

Julius Randle

Julius Randle is projected for 22.0 points, 8.0 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He is the Nets' main playmaker in the half court and a steady source of offence.

Noah Clowney

Noah Clowney is projected for 11.3 points and 5.3 rebounds. He matters on the glass and as a floor spacer, particularly if Indiana's frontcourt rotation shifts.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Indiana Pacers at 71%, against 29% for the Brooklyn Nets. It projects a 7.4 point home margin, which gives a model line of -7.4 for Indiana and +7.4 for Brooklyn. It also projects a total of 231.2, with Indiana at 119.3 points and Brooklyn at 111.9.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is missing. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline, so we cannot say whether the model line is above or below the price, and we will not lean over or under without a number to test it against. The case for Indiana rests on the 136-109 win in the first meeting and on a Nets side that is 0-5 and conceding 121.2 a game. The case against is Indiana's own run of three straight losses and a thin injury report.

Statz pick: Indiana Pacers to win, 71% model probability, model line -7.4, model total 231.2.

Lines move before tip, so check the NBA odds page once a price is posted and compare it with the model line above. See also the full preview.

BKN @ IND questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Nets at Pacers?
The model favours the Indiana Pacers with a 71% win probability against 29% for the Brooklyn Nets. It projects a 7.4 point home margin, giving Indiana a model line of -7.4 and Brooklyn +7.4.
What is the projected total for Nets vs Pacers?
The model projects a total of 231.2 points, with the Indiana Pacers at 119.3 and the Brooklyn Nets at 111.9. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare against.
What time is Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers?
The game tips off on Sunday 1 November at 5:00 PM ET, with the Indiana Pacers at home. The Pacers play a back-to-back set, hosting the Nets on Sunday and the Hawks on Monday.
Which injury matters most for the Pacers?
Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) is out for at least two weeks, with a possible longer absence. Andrew Nembhard and Pascal Siakam take over more playmaking, and Ivica Zubac (ankle) is also out and listed as day-to-day.
How have the Nets started the season?
Brooklyn are 0-5, averaging 110.2 points and conceding 121.2. They lost 124-125 at Boston and 121-125 at Cleveland, and in their first meeting with Indiana this season they lost 109-136.
Are there odds for this game yet?
No bookmaker has posted a line for this game yet, so there is no spread, total or moneyline to quote. The Statz model line is Indiana -7.4. Check the NBA odds page for updates before tip.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Brooklyn Nets or Indiana Pacers?

The Statz model favours the Indiana Pacers with a 71% win probability, leaving the Brooklyn Nets at 29%. Over their last five games the Indiana Pacers are 1-4 and the Brooklyn Nets are 0-5. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers?

For Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers, the model projects Pascal Siakam for 23.7 points and Andrew Nembhard for 16.9 points for the Indiana Pacers. For the Brooklyn Nets it projects Michael Porter Jr. for 24.0 points and Julius Randle for 22.0 points.