Toronto RaptorsRaptors
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Los Angeles LakersLakers
TOR2.56LAL1.64via Polymarket

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 1

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LAL

Statz pick

Los Angeles Lakers to win

We give the Los Angeles Lakers a 56% chance, against 44% for the Toronto Raptors. See the full projection →

56%
LAL to win
Polymarket1.64

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 56% over the Toronto Raptors on Sunday 1 November, with a model line of -1.9 and a projected total of 229.6. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The injury that matters is Kawhi Leonard, who is out for at least three to four weeks.

The Toronto Raptors visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 1 November, with tip set for 9:00 PM ET. The Statz model favours the Lakers at 56%, which leaves the Raptors at 44%. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market price to set against the model. This preview works from the projection and the form so far.

How the teams arrive

The Lakers are 4-2 across their first six games, and the run reads L W L W W W, newest first. They opened with a 127-105 home win over Golden State and followed it with a 125-117 home win over the Clippers. They won 132-123 at Utah. Then came a 129-136 home loss to Portland, which was a defensive miss. They bounced back with a 103-87 win at the Clippers, then lost 95-112 at Golden State on Friday. They average 118.5 points for and allow 113.3, so the scoring is strong and the defence is only average. Los Angeles is at home here.

The Raptors are 3-2 through five games, with a run of L W L W W. The ceiling is high. They beat Chicago 135-92 at home, won 112-102 at Washington, and beat Orlando 129-99 at home. The floor is low too. They lost 94-117 at Minnesota and 114-121 to Orlando in the rematch on Friday. Toronto averages 116.8 points for and allows just 106.2, the better defensive number of the two teams. This is a road game for them, and the sample is small for both sides.

Team news and lineups

The injury list is lopsided, and it favours the home side.

For Toronto, Kawhi Leonard is out with a knee problem. He is expected to miss at least three to four weeks, and that is a minimum window rather than a firm return date. His shots and usage have to go somewhere. The reporting points to RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes taking more of the offence, and that is the main reason the Raptors lean on their top scorers here. Nate Bittle is also out with a right foot avulsion fracture. He has no timetable and can be considered week-to-week. That thins the frontcourt depth and puts more minutes on the bigs who remain.

For Los Angeles, Adou Thiero is out with a left knee injury picked up in preseason. He has yet to appear in a regular-season game, and it is unclear when he will be cleared to make his debut. His absence costs the Lakers little in the rotation, because they have not had him all season. The home side is close to full strength where it counts.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic is projected for 31.7 points, 7.1 rebounds, 7.3 assists and 3.8 threes. He carries the Lakers offence, and the model sees him as the biggest single factor in the 115.8 points it projects for his team.

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves is projected for 20.7 points, 4.2 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 1.9 threes. He is the second creator, and his playmaking keeps the offence moving when Doncic rests or draws a double team.

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler is projected for 11.1 points and 10.7 rebounds. The rebound number is the one to watch. A Toronto side without Bittle and Leonard has less size to contest the glass.

RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett is projected for 21.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He tops the Raptors in the model, and with Leonard out he is the scorer most likely to see extra shots.

Scottie Barnes

Scottie Barnes is projected for 20.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 6.1 assists. He does a bit of everything, and his passing is what lets Toronto stay competitive without its star wing.

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley is projected for 17.3 points, 5.5 assists and 3.1 threes. The three-point volume is the swing factor. When his shot falls, Toronto can keep pace with the Lakers on the scoreboard.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Los Angeles Lakers. It gives them a 56% win probability against 44% for the Toronto Raptors, and a model line of -1.9, with the Raptors at +1.9. The projected score is 115.8 to 113.9, so this is a close game that tilts toward the home side. The edge comes from home court, a healthier roster and the Doncic-led offence against a Raptors team missing Leonard.

There is no model-versus-market comparison to make, because the market is the missing piece. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline yet. The model total is 229.6, and the data points to a high-scoring game. The Lakers average 118.5 points for and allow 113.3, while Toronto's defence has been the stronger of the two. We will compare the 229.6 against the market number once a total is posted before leaning either way. Compare prices on the NBA odds page when they appear.

Statz pick: Los Angeles Lakers, model line -1.9, 56% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check the number again before you act, and treat any pick as a lean and not a certainty.

TOR @ LAL questions

Who does the model favour, Raptors or Lakers?
The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 56%, which leaves the Toronto Raptors at 44%. The model line is Lakers -1.9 and the projected score is 115.8 to 113.9, so it expects a close game with a small home edge.
What is the projected total for Raptors at Lakers?
The model projects a total of 229.6 points, split 115.8 for the Lakers and 113.9 for the Raptors. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare against until a line appears.
Has a betting line been posted for this game?
No. No bookmaker has posted a line for Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers yet, so there is no spread, total or moneyline to quote. The model line is Lakers -1.9, and it will be compared with the market once prices go up.
Is Kawhi Leonard playing against the Lakers?
No. Kawhi Leonard is out with a knee injury and is expected to miss at least three to four weeks. That is a minimum window, not a fixed return date. His absence should raise the usage of RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
Who are the top projected scorers in this game?
Luka Doncic of the Lakers leads the model with 31.7 projected points. RJ Barrett tops the Raptors at 21.5, ahead of Scottie Barnes at 20.1. Austin Reaves is projected for 20.7 points for Los Angeles.
How have the Lakers and Raptors started the season?
The Lakers are 4-2 in their first six games, averaging 118.5 points for and 113.3 against. The Raptors are 3-2 through five games, averaging 116.8 points for and 106.2 against, with their last result a 114-121 loss to Orlando.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Toronto Raptors or Los Angeles Lakers?

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers with a 56% win probability, leaving the Toronto Raptors at 44%. Over their last five games the Los Angeles Lakers are 3-2 and the Toronto Raptors are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers?

For Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers, the model projects Luka Doncic for 31.7 points and Austin Reaves for 20.7 points for the Los Angeles Lakers. For the Toronto Raptors it projects RJ Barrett for 21.5 points and Scottie Barnes for 20.1 points.