Boston CelticsCeltics
Sun, Nov 13:30 PMETOrlando
Orlando MagicMagic
BOS1.50ORL2.99via Polymarket

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 1

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BOS

Statz pick

Boston Celtics to win

We give the Boston Celtics a 60% chance, against 40% for the Orlando Magic. See the full projection →

60%
BOS to win
Polymarket1.50

The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics at 60% to beat the Orlando Magic, with a model line of -3.4 and a projected total of 226.2. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Paolo Banchero, out for Orlando with a high-ankle sprain.

The Boston Celtics visit the Orlando Magic on Sunday 1 November, with tip at 3:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes Boston the favourite at 60%, with a model line of -3.4. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Orlando are without several rotation players, and that drives the projection.

How the teams arrive

Orlando are 2-3 through five games, with a sequence of W L W L L. They average 109.8 points for and 118.4 against. The scores that stand out are a 99-129 loss at Toronto and a 93-115 home loss to Minnesota. They answered with a 121-114 win at Toronto in their last outing, and a 111-102 win at the Knicks before that. They also lost 125-132 at home to Atlanta. They are at home again here.

Boston are 4-1, with a sequence of W W W W L. They average 120.8 points for and 111.6 against. They beat Chicago 134-99 and again 125-111, edged Brooklyn 125-124 and beat the Knicks 107-103. The one loss was 113-121 at Detroit. This is a road game for them, but they have won four straight.

Team news and lineups

Orlando's injury list is the story. Paolo Banchero is out with a right high-ankle sprain, with a four-to-six week absence expected. His return date in DATA is 22 November. That takes away their top scorer and creator. More offence has to come from Franz Wagner and Desmond Bane, and Tristan Da Silva is the likely candidate to move into the starting group.

Jalen Suggs is out with a mild bone bruise in his right knee and is due a re-evaluation in two weeks. That opens backcourt minutes for Anthony Black and Jase Richardson. Jonathan Isaac is out with a left knee injury and has no timetable, so he is week-to-week. Noah Penda has a partially torn right hamstring. His absence could open a few minutes for Da Silva. Izaiyah Nelson is out after offseason ankle surgery, but he is on a two-way deal and is not part of the regular rotation.

Boston have only Devin Carter listed, out with mononucleosis and week-to-week. He is backcourt depth on a two-way deal, so the effect on the rotation looks small. The gap in available talent between the sides is wide.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum is projected for 25.6 points, 8.7 rebounds and 6.0 assists. He is Boston's main source of production, and the rebounding figure stands out against an Orlando side missing size and depth.

Paul George

Paul George is projected for 19.2 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists, with 2.4 threes. He gives Boston a second scorer who can punish Orlando's thinned wing group.

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard is projected for 17.6 points and 4.4 assists, with 2.5 threes. His shooting stretches an Orlando defence that has conceded 118.4 a game.

Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner is projected for 22.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists. With Banchero out, he is Orlando's lead option, and the model gives him the biggest scoring load on the home side.

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane is projected for 20.1 points and 4.1 assists, with 2.9 threes. He is the best shooter Orlando have, and their path to keeping this close runs through his perimeter shots.

Anthony Black

Anthony Black is projected for 15.7 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists. With Suggs out, he takes on extra ball handling duties and more minutes in the backcourt.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Boston Celtics at 60%, against 40% for Orlando. Its line is Boston -3.4, with projected scores of 114.8 for Boston and 111.4 for Orlando, and a model total of 226.2. No bookmaker has posted a spread or total yet, so there is no comparison with the market to make, and the market is the missing side. There is no total lean without a posted number. Check the NBA odds page once lines go up to see how the model sits against them.

Statz pick: Boston Celtics, model line -3.4, 60% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check the number again before you act.

BOS @ ORL questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Celtics vs Magic?
The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics at 60%, with the Orlando Magic at 40%. The model line is Boston -3.4, and the projected score is 114.8 for Boston against 111.4 for Orlando.
What is the projected total for Celtics at Magic?
The model total is 226.2 points. No bookmaker has posted a total for this game yet, so there is no market number to compare it with. Check the NBA odds page once lines are up.
What time is Celtics vs Magic on 1 November?
The game tips at 3:30 PM ET on Sunday 1 November in Orlando. The Boston Celtics are the visitors and the Orlando Magic are at home.
Which Orlando Magic players are injured?
Paolo Banchero (high-ankle sprain), Jalen Suggs (knee bone bruise), Jonathan Isaac (knee), Noah Penda (hamstring) and Izaiyah Nelson (ankle) are all listed as out. Banchero's absence is expected to last four to six weeks.
How have the Celtics and Magic started the season?
Boston are 4-1 with a sequence of W W W W L and average 120.8 points. Orlando are 2-3, averaging 109.8 points for and 118.4 against, after a 121-114 win at Toronto in their last game.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Boston Celtics or Orlando Magic?

The Statz model favours the Boston Celtics with a 60% win probability, leaving the Orlando Magic at 40%. Over their last five games the Orlando Magic are 2-3 and the Boston Celtics are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic?

No spread or total is posted yet for Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic?

For Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic, the model projects Franz Wagner for 22.5 points and Desmond Bane for 20.1 points for the Orlando Magic. For the Boston Celtics it projects Jayson Tatum for 25.6 points and Paul George for 19.2 points.