Paris xG 2026/2027

Paris xG Questions

Are Paris overperforming their xG?

Yes, Paris have taken 34 points over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 5.25 more than the 28.75 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Paris's xG per game?

Paris create 1.41 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 28.13 in all, and have scored 29 goals from those chances, 0.87 more than that xG would expect.

What is Paris's xGA per game?

Paris allow 1.41 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 28.17 in all, and have conceded 20 goals from those chances, 8.17 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Paris?

Lassine Sinayoko has the most expected goals (xG) for Paris over their last 20 Ligue 1 games, 3.63 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Marshall Munetsi is next with 2.98 xG.

Paris expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 28.13
Goals scored: 29
Goals minus xG: +0.87
Expected goals against (xGA): 28.17
Goals conceded: 20
xGA minus goals conceded: +8.17
Expected points (xPts): 28.75
Points: 34
Points minus xPts: +5.25
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Paris overperforming their expected goals?

Paris have taken 5.3 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +0.9 goals against their xG, and +8.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Rennes expected goals

Games: 20
Rennes xG per game: 1.75
Rennes xGA per game: 1.62
Points minus xPts: +11.50
Verdict: Riding their luck

Paris results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	28.13	29	+0.87	28.17	20	+8.17	28.75	34	+5.25
Last 10	10	15.89	15	-0.89	9.45	8	+1.45	17.95	17	-0.95
Last 5	5	8.06	8	-0.06	4.45	4	+0.45	9.09	10	+0.91
Home	10	15.37	19	+3.63	14.91	11	+3.91	15.08	22	+6.92
Away	10	12.76	10	-2.76	13.26	9	+4.26	13.67	12	-1.67

Paris expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
10 Oct	Ligue 1	Lorient (A)	1-0	0.95	0.73	1.52	0	W
19 Sep	Ligue 1	Strasbourg (H)	2-1	1.36	0.37	2.15	3	W
12 Sep	Ligue 1	Lyon (H)	0-0	0.59	0.76	1.16	1	D
6 Sep	Ligue 1	Marseille (A)	2-3	2.69	1.71	1.93	3	W
30 Aug	Ligue 1	Nice (H)	3-0	2.47	0.88	2.33	3	W
22 Aug	Ligue 1	Troyes (A)	0-0	1.39	0.53	2.02	1	W
17 May	Ligue 1	PSG (H)	2-1	2.05	0.84	2.16	3	W
10 May	Ligue 1	Rennes (A)	2-1	1.34	1.25	1.43	0	W
3 May	Ligue 1	Brest (H)	4-0	1.69	0.68	2.09	3	W
26 Apr	Ligue 1	Lille (H)	0-1	1.36	1.70	1.16	0	L
19 Apr	Ligue 1	Metz (A)	1-3	1.41	0.94	1.71	3	W
10 Apr	Ligue 1	Monaco (H)	4-1	2.44	2.15	1.56	3	W
5 Apr	Ligue 1	Lorient (A)	1-1	1.28	1.15	1.46	1	W
22 Mar	Ligue 1	Le Havre (H)	3-2	1.58	2.43	0.92	3	L
15 Mar	Ligue 1	Strasbourg (A)	0-0	0.65	1.37	0.81	1	L
8 Mar	Ligue 1	Lyon (A)	1-1	1.44	2.03	1.04	1	L
1 Mar	Ligue 1	Nice (H)	1-0	1.20	1.10	1.43	3	W
21 Feb	Ligue 1	Toulouse (A)	1-1	0.59	2.65	0.31	1	L
14 Feb	Ligue 1	Lens (H)	0-5	0.63	4.00	0.12	0	L
8 Feb	Ligue 1	Auxerre (A)	0-0	1.02	0.90	1.44	1	W

Paris players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Alimami Gory	attacker	11	446	1.97	4	+2.03	0.40
Marshall Munetsi	midfielder	12	928	2.98	4	+1.02	0.29
Willem Geubbels	attacker	7	316	1.05	2	+0.95	0.30
Rudy Matondo	midfielder	17	918	1.20	2	+0.80	0.12
Vincent Marchetti	midfielder	10	112	0.28	1	+0.72	0.23
Samir Chergui	defender	7	517	0.38	1	+0.62	0.07
Otávio	defender	9	631	0.39	1	+0.61	0.06
Lassine Sinayoko	attacker	6	522	3.63	4	+0.37	0.63
Pablo Pagis	attacker	6	454	1.08	1	-0.08	0.21
Luca Koleosho	attacker	18	846	2.09	2	-0.09	0.22
Ilan Kebbal	attacker	16	1043	2.23	2	-0.23	0.19
Ciro Immobile	attacker	12	711	2.26	2	-0.26	0.29
Jonathan Ikoné	attacker	14	790	2.43	2	-0.43	0.28
Adama Camara	midfielder	17	1261	0.52	0	-0.52	0.04
Pierre Lees-Melou	midfielder	17	1425	0.80	0	-0.80	0.05
Jean-Philippe Krasso	attacker	7	160	0.82	0	-0.82	0.46
Maxime Lopez	midfielder	14	918	0.92	0	-0.92	0.09
Moses Simon	attacker	16	937	1.03	0	-1.03	0.10

Ligue 1 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Monaco	6	7.2	10	8.8	5	7.3	14	+6.7
2	LOSC Lille	6	7.2	9	10	4	6.8	13	+6.2
3	Rennes	6	11	12	11.1	10	8.4	13	+4.6
4	Strasbourg	6	7.4	11	11.6	12	5.5	7	+1.5
5	Nice	6	5.9	5	8.2	7	6.8	8	+1.2
6	Lorient	6	6.5	6	8	6	7.2	8	+0.8
7	Olympique Lyonnais	6	10.7	11	6.5	4	10.6	11	+0.4
8	Paris	6	9.5	8	5	4	11.1	11	-0.1
9	Angers SCO	6	9.3	7	10.9	10	7.4	7	-0.4
10	Auxerre	6	7.6	8	11.8	16	6.5	6	-0.5
11	Le Mans	6	9.7	10	12.6	12	7.2	6	-1.2
12	Paris Saint Germain	6	14.7	11	6.6	8	12.3	11	-1.3
13	Olympique Marseille	6	9.3	9	11.6	8	7.7	6	-1.7
14	Lens	6	11.9	11	10.9	10	8.9	7	-1.9
15	Toulouse	6	10.9	9	10.6	11	8.9	6	-2.9
16	Troyes	6	8.4	4	10	13	7	4	-3
17	Brest	6	13.2	12	7.1	9	11.2	8	-3.2
18	Le Havre	6	9.9	4	9.5	8	8.6	2	-6.6

Paris stats & bet builder pages

Paris recent matches

Paris next match

Paris vs Rennes - match preview, projections & bet builder