No, Le Mans have taken 6 points over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 2.38 fewer than the 8.38 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Le Mans create 1.59 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 11.10 in all, and have scored 10 goals from those chances, 1.10 fewer than that xG would expect.
Le Mans allow 2.04 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 14.29 in all, and have conceded 15 goals from those chances, 0.71 more than that xGA would expect.
Louis Mafouta has the most expected goals (xG) for Le Mans over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 4.53 xG in 7 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Dame Gueye is next with 1.30 xG.
Le Mans have taken 2.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 7 games: -1.1 goals against their xG, and -0.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 11.10 | 10 | -1.10 | 14.29 | 15 | -0.71 | 8.38 | 6 | -2.38 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.79 | 6 | -1.79 | 8.16 | 10 | -1.84 | 6.90 | 5 | -1.90 |
| Home | 4 | 6.47 | 6 | -0.47 | 6.85 | 8 | -1.15 | 5.47 | 5 | -0.47 |
| Away | 3 | 4.63 | 4 | -0.63 | 7.44 | 7 | +0.44 | 2.91 | 1 | -1.91 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Ligue 1 | Toulouse (H) | 0-3 | 1.36 | 1.68 | 1.18 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Ligue 1 | PSG (A) | 3-1 | 1.44 | 3.83 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Ligue 1 | Lorient (H) | 2-1 | 1.15 | 0.82 | 1.60 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Ligue 1 | Lens (H) | 2-2 | 3.16 | 1.18 | 2.40 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | Ligue 1 | Nice (A) | 1-1 | 0.68 | 0.65 | 1.33 | 1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Ligue 1 | Rennes (A) | 3-2 | 2.51 | 2.96 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Ligue 1 | Brest (H) | 2-2 | 0.80 | 3.17 | 0.29 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa | midfielder | 5 | 398 | 1.13 | 3 | +1.87 | 0.25 |
| Lucas Calodat | defender | 7 | 383 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.07 |
| Habib Diallo | attacker | 5 | 188 | 0.62 | 1 | +0.38 | 0.30 |
| Dame Gueye | attacker | 7 | 402 | 1.30 | 1 | -0.30 | 0.29 |
| Louis Mafouta | attacker | 7 | 585 | 4.53 | 4 | -0.53 | 0.70 |
| Jean Vercruysse | midfielder | 6 | 384 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.19 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10.5 | 6 | 8.1 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 2 | LOSC Lille | 7 | 9.3 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Rennes | 7 | 14 | 15 | 14.4 | 14 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais | 7 | 12.1 | 13 | 7.8 | 5 | 12 | 14 | +2 |
| 5 | Lorient | 7 | 8.3 | 7 | 8.8 | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Paris | 7 | 12.7 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 12.6 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 7 | Auxerre | 7 | 9.3 | 11 | 13.4 | 17 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 7 | 9.2 | 12 | 14.2 | 15 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| 9 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 17.4 | 14 | 8.4 | 9 | 14.1 | 14 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Nice | 7 | 7.3 | 6 | 9.5 | 9 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 11 | Olympique Marseille | 7 | 12.1 | 14 | 13.6 | 10 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| 12 | Lens | 7 | 13.7 | 14 | 11.9 | 11 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 7 | 11.3 | 9 | 13.7 | 15 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 7 | 12.6 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 7 | 11.1 | 10 | 14.3 | 15 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 16 | Brest | 7 | 13.8 | 13 | 9.1 | 10 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 9.5 | 5 | 11.7 | 16 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 11.6 | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | 10 | 2 | -8 |