Ecuador xG 2025

Ecuador expected goals 2025: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 9.96
Goals scored: 6
Goals minus xG: -3.96
Expected goals against (xGA): 5.56
Goals conceded: 5
xGA minus goals conceded: +0.56
Expected points (xPts): 11.05
Points: 8
Points minus xPts: -3.05
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Ecuador overperforming their expected goals?

Ecuador have taken 3.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: -4.0 goals against their xG, and +0.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: South Korea expected goals

Games: 6
South Korea xG per game: 1.22
South Korea xGA per game: 0.87
Points minus xPts: -2.61
Verdict: Due an upturn

Ecuador results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	9.96	6	-3.96	5.56	5	+0.56	11.05	8	-3.05
Last 5	5	8.81	4	-4.81	5.26	5	+0.26	8.99	5	-3.99
Home	3	6.10	3	-3.10	3.18	3	+0.18	5.65	4	-1.65
Away	3	3.86	3	-0.86	2.38	2	+0.38	5.40	4	-1.40

Ecuador expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
25 Jun	World Cup	Germany (H)	2-1	1.99	0.97	2.04	3	W
21 Jun	World Cup	Curacao (H)	0-0	3.11	0.50	2.71	1	W
14 Jun	World Cup	Ivory Coast (A)	1-0	1.06	1.98	0.81	0	L
29 Nov	World Cup	Senegal (H)	1-2	1.00	1.71	0.90	0	L
25 Nov	World Cup	Netherlands (A)	1-1	1.65	0.10	2.53	1	W
20 Nov	World Cup	Qatar (A)	0-2	1.15	0.30	2.06	3	W

Ecuador players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Enner Valencia	attacker	6	488	1.58	3	+1.42	0.29
Nilson Angulo	attacker	3	138	0.07	1	+0.93	0.05
Moisés Caicedo	midfielder	6	540	0.10	1	+0.90	0.02
Piero Hincapié	defender	6	521	0.59	0	-0.59	0.10
Gonzalo Plata	attacker	6	540	1.73	1	-0.73	0.29

World Cup 2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Mexico	3	3.3	6	2	0	5.1	9	+3.9
2	France	3	4.1	10	2.8	2	5.1	9	+3.9
3	Croatia	3	2.2	5	4.6	5	3.1	6	+2.9
4	Paraguay	3	1.2	2	4.8	4	1.7	4	+2.3
5	Argentina	3	6	8	1.5	1	6.8	9	+2.2
6	Colombia	3	4.4	4	2.5	1	5.5	7	+1.5
7	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	2	5	4.5	6	2.5	4	+1.5
8	Morocco	3	5.1	6	2.1	3	5.6	7	+1.4
9	Norway	3	6.1	8	4.9	7	4.9	6	+1.1
10	Egypt	3	4	5	4.4	3	3.9	5	+1.1
11	Australia	3	1.9	2	3.7	2	2.9	4	+1.1
12	Brazil	3	5.2	7	2.3	1	6	7	+1
13	Germany	3	6.6	10	4	4	5	6	+1
14	Switzerland	3	6.1	7	2.3	3	6.1	7	+0.9
15	Netherlands	3	5.6	10	2.4	4	6.2	7	+0.8
16	Côte d'Ivoire	3	4.9	4	3.4	2	5.2	6	+0.8
17	England	3	6.8	6	2.7	2	6.4	7	+0.6
18	United States	3	4.8	8	3	4	5.4	6	+0.6
19	Saudi Arabia	3	1.3	1	5.5	5	1.4	2	+0.6
20	South Africa	3	2.7	2	3.3	3	3.5	4	+0.5
21	Ghana	3	2.4	2	2.9	2	3.7	4	+0.3
22	Austria	3	3.4	6	4.7	6	3.7	4	+0.3
23	Cape Verde Islands	3	2.2	2	5.1	2	2.8	3	+0.2
24	Portugal	3	4.7	6	2.9	1	5	5	-0
25	Japan	3	3.4	7	1.9	3	5	5	0
26	Spain	3	5.6	5	0.7	0	7.1	7	-0.1
27	Scotland	3	3.3	1	5.1	4	3.1	3	-0.1
28	Curacao	3	1.5	1	8.3	9	1.1	1	-0.1
29	Sweden	3	3.6	7	3.8	7	4.2	4	-0.2
30	Congo DR	3	3.4	4	2.5	3	4.5	4	-0.5
31	Algeria	3	3.4	5	2.5	7	4.6	4	-0.6
32	Qatar	3	1.7	2	8.5	10	1.8	1	-0.8
33	Iran	3	4.4	3	4.4	3	4.1	3	-1.1
34	New Zealand	3	2.7	4	7.8	10	2.1	1	-1.1
35	Tunisia	3	1	2	5.6	12	1.1	0	-1.1
36	Jordan	3	1.7	3	5.9	8	1.5	0	-1.5
37	Iraq	3	2.2	1	7.4	12	1.5	0	-1.5
38	Belgium	3	7.5	6	2	2	6.6	5	-1.6
39	Ecuador	3	6.2	2	3.5	2	5.6	4	-1.6
40	Uzbekistan	3	1.6	2	6.2	11	1.6	0	-1.6
41	Czech Republic	3	2.7	2	4.8	6	2.7	1	-1.7
42	Haiti	3	1.7	2	5.7	8	1.9	0	-1.9
43	Korea Republic	3	4.1	2	2.7	3	5.1	3	-2.1
44	Senegal	3	5.9	8	3.2	6	5.3	3	-2.3
45	Canada	3	7.3	8	1.9	3	6.4	4	-2.4
46	Panama	3	2.9	0	4.1	4	3.1	0	-3.1
47	Uruguay	3	4	3	1.9	4	5.3	2	-3.3
48	Turkey	3	6.2	3	2.6	5	6.5	3	-3.5

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