Yes, AIK have taken 37 points over 25 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 4.84 more than the 32.16 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
AIK create 1.66 expected goals (xG) per game over 25 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 41.53 in all, and have scored 40 goals from those chances, 1.53 fewer than that xG would expect.
AIK allow 1.87 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 25 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 46.66 in all, and have conceded 43 goals from those chances, 3.66 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Johan Hove has the most expected goals (xG) for AIK over 25 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 8.17 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Linus Carlstrand is next with 5.20 xG.
AIK have taken 4.8 points more than their chances warranted over 25 games: -1.5 goals against their xG, and +3.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 25 | 41.53 | 40 | -1.53 | 46.66 | 43 | +3.66 | 32.16 | 37 | +4.84 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 21.73 | 22 | +0.27 | 21.64 | 22 | -0.36 | 14.29 | 15 | +0.71 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 11.92 | 11 | -0.92 | 10.82 | 12 | -1.18 | 7.69 | 5 | -2.69 |
| Home | 12 | 25.44 | 19 | -6.44 | 23.15 | 27 | -3.85 | 18.40 | 14 | -4.40 |
| Away | 13 | 16.09 | 21 | +4.91 | 23.51 | 16 | +7.51 | 13.76 | 23 | +9.24 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 1-2 | 1.94 | 2.52 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 2-2 | 2.01 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 5-6 | 3.44 | 3.66 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 2-1 | 2.01 | 1.70 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 1-1 | 2.52 | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 1-4 | 2.46 | 1.64 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 7 Sep | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 0-0 | 1.03 | 1.42 | 1.09 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 3-2 | 2.10 | 4.07 | 0.58 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 1-3 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.27 | 3 | L |
| 8 Aug | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 3-4 | 2.52 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 0-3 | 1.55 | 1.69 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 27 Jul | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 0-0 | 0.25 | 2.60 | 0.17 | 1 | L |
| 18 Jul | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 2-0 | 1.95 | 1.25 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 11 Jul | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 1-2 | 1.23 | 3.80 | 0.32 | 3 | L |
| 5 Jul | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 1-2 | 0.72 | 1.64 | 0.73 | 3 | L |
| 30 May | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 0-3 | 1.65 | 1.21 | 1.67 | 0 | W |
| 24 May | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 1-2 | 1.36 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 3 | L |
| 17 May | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 1-1 | 0.64 | 1.55 | 0.71 | 1 | L |
| 10 May | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 2-4 | 1.37 | 2.69 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 1-1 | 0.84 | 1.03 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (H) | 0-1 | 1.45 | 0.66 | 1.95 | 0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 2-1 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 1.32 | 0 | D |
| 19 Apr | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 1-0 | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.32 | 3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 2-2 | 1.03 | 0.99 | 1.37 | 1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 2-1 | 3.55 | 1.87 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Kouame | midfielder | 18 | 1149 | 3.54 | 5 | +1.46 | 0.28 |
| Sixten Gustafsson | attacker | 13 | 379 | 3.01 | 4 | +0.99 | 0.71 |
| Johan Hove | midfielder | 23 | 2070 | 8.17 | 9 | +0.83 | 0.36 |
| Diogo Tomas | defender | 4 | 228 | 0.24 | 1 | +0.76 | 0.09 |
| A. Helm | attacker | 4 | 127 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.23 |
| Y. Geiger | midfielder | 15 | 870 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.04 |
| Áron Csongvai | midfielder | 12 | 1052 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.04 |
| Bersant Celina | midfielder | 9 | 783 | 1.51 | 2 | +0.49 | 0.17 |
| Dino Besirovic | midfielder | 14 | 1140 | 0.86 | 1 | +0.14 | 0.07 |
| Z. Yohanna | attacker | 7 | 581 | 2.14 | 2 | -0.14 | 0.33 |
| Linus Carlstrand | attacker | 11 | 771 | 5.20 | 5 | -0.20 | 0.61 |
| Ibrahim Cissé | defender | 8 | 720 | 1.21 | 1 | -0.21 | 0.15 |
| Victor Gonçalves Andersson | attacker | 14 | 504 | 2.23 | 2 | -0.23 | 0.40 |
| Abdihakim Ali | midfielder | 20 | 1318 | 1.24 | 1 | -0.24 | 0.08 |
| Wilmer Olofsson | defender | 11 | 742 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.07 |
| Kevin Filling | attacker | 17 | 1021 | 2.59 | 2 | -0.59 | 0.23 |
| Amel Mujanic | midfielder | 16 | 861 | 0.99 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.10 |
| Taha Ayari | attacker | 14 | 806 | 3.07 | 2 | -1.07 | 0.34 |
| Lucas Assadi | midfielder | 6 | 440 | 1.10 | 0 | -1.10 | 0.22 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 25 | 30.1 | 36 | 42.4 | 38 | 28.1 | 38 | +9.9 |
| 2 | Sirius | 25 | 49.4 | 56 | 29.2 | 32 | 45.2 | 55 | +9.8 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 25 | 36.5 | 37 | 32.1 | 24 | 36.9 | 42 | +5.1 |
| 4 | AIK | 25 | 41.5 | 40 | 46.7 | 43 | 32.2 | 37 | +4.8 |
| 5 | Djurgården | 25 | 46.8 | 52 | 30.8 | 23 | 43.4 | 48 | +4.6 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 25 | 36.2 | 38 | 36.5 | 34 | 34.3 | 37 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna | 25 | 32.9 | 39 | 39.9 | 43 | 30.4 | 33 | +2.6 |
| 8 | Häcken | 25 | 46.9 | 47 | 32.1 | 30 | 43.6 | 45 | +1.4 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 25 | 40.8 | 35 | 37.3 | 44 | 36.8 | 37 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 25 | 56.4 | 52 | 24.8 | 21 | 51.5 | 49 | -2.5 |
| 11 | Örgryte | 25 | 27.7 | 31 | 51.5 | 56 | 22.7 | 19 | -3.7 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 25 | 28.3 | 18 | 54.5 | 46 | 20.7 | 17 | -3.7 |
| 13 | Mjällby | 25 | 31.6 | 28 | 44.4 | 42 | 26.8 | 23 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 25 | 27.4 | 21 | 43 | 41 | 25.3 | 20 | -5.3 |
| 15 | GAIS | 25 | 44.3 | 31 | 33.7 | 26 | 40.8 | 31 | -9.8 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 25 | 36.3 | 23 | 34.6 | 41 | 37.4 | 22 | -15.4 |