No, Hammarby have taken 46 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, within 3.22 of the 49.22 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Hammarby create 2.28 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 54.81 in all, and have scored 50 goals from those chances, 4.81 fewer than that xG would expect.
Hammarby allow 1.02 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 24.47 in all, and have conceded 21 goals from those chances, 3.47 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Paulos Abraham has the most expected goals (xG) for Hammarby over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 13.43 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 14 goals; Victor Lind is next with 6.92 xG.
Hammarby's results and their chances agree, within 3.2 points of xPts over 24 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 54.81 | 50 | -4.81 | 24.47 | 21 | +3.47 | 49.22 | 46 | -3.22 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 24.73 | 18 | -6.73 | 6.99 | 7 | -0.01 | 23.59 | 20 | -3.59 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.55 | 6 | -4.55 | 3.50 | 3 | +0.50 | 10.74 | 10 | -0.74 |
| Home | 12 | 29.46 | 34 | +4.54 | 10.70 | 7 | +3.70 | 26.27 | 28 | +1.73 |
| Away | 12 | 25.35 | 16 | -9.35 | 13.77 | 14 | -0.23 | 22.95 | 18 | -4.95 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 0-1 | 2.08 | 0.26 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-1 | 1.19 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 0-1 | 1.41 | 0.90 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 3-1 | 2.06 | 0.61 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 1-1 | 3.81 | 0.43 | 2.81 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 3-2 | 4.07 | 2.10 | 2.22 | 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 2-0 | 2.96 | 0.72 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 0-4 | 2.52 | 0.20 | 2.74 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 3-0 | 2.45 | 0.14 | 2.75 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 1-1 | 2.18 | 0.33 | 2.56 | 1 | W |
| 19 Jul | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 4-0 | 2.79 | 0.62 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 2-0 | 2.20 | 1.17 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 5 Jul | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 1-2 | 2.29 | 0.88 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 31 May | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 3-2 | 1.55 | 2.91 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 24 May | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 1-2 | 1.74 | 1.36 | 1.63 | 0 | W |
| 20 May | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 2-0 | 1.73 | 2.18 | 1.14 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (H) | 4-1 | 3.69 | 1.25 | 2.50 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 0-1 | 1.34 | 0.89 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 3-0 | 2.57 | 0.64 | 2.50 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 1-1 | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.32 | 1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 1-1 | 1.48 | 1.31 | 1.49 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 8-1 | 4.76 | 0.74 | 2.71 | 3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 2-0 | 1.22 | 1.49 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 3-0 | 1.57 | 0.84 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Lind | attacker | 24 | 1848 | 6.92 | 9 | +2.08 | 0.34 |
| Nikola Vasic | attacker | 7 | 98 | 1.70 | 3 | +1.30 | 1.56 |
| Paulos Abraham | attacker | 24 | 1889 | 13.43 | 14 | +0.57 | 0.64 |
| Tesfaldet Tekie | midfielder | 16 | 743 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.06 |
| Waylon Renecke | defender | 5 | 166 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.25 |
| Frank Junior Adjei | midfielder | 21 | 1095 | 2.86 | 3 | +0.14 | 0.23 |
| Ibrahima Fofana | defender | 19 | 1293 | 0.89 | 1 | +0.11 | 0.06 |
| Frederik Winther | defender | 23 | 2049 | 2.31 | 2 | -0.31 | 0.10 |
| Montader Madjed | attacker | 23 | 1840 | 5.47 | 5 | -0.47 | 0.27 |
| Oliver Jordan Hagen | attacker | 15 | 200 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.23 |
| Noah Persson | defender | 23 | 1528 | 3.59 | 3 | -0.59 | 0.21 |
| Markus Karlsson | midfielder | 24 | 2158 | 1.61 | 1 | -0.61 | 0.07 |
| Hampus Skoglund | defender | 23 | 2040 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.03 |
| Elohim Kaboré | attacker | 8 | 196 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.38 |
| Amin Boudri | midfielder | 7 | 377 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.21 |
| Victor Eriksson | defender | 18 | 1482 | 2.29 | 1 | -1.29 | 0.14 |
| Oscar Johansson Schellhas | midfielder | 20 | 959 | 1.53 | 0 | -1.53 | 0.14 |
| Nahir Besara | midfielder | 21 | 1290 | 6.70 | 5 | -1.70 | 0.47 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.7 | 18 | -3.7 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |