No, Mjällby have taken 23 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, within 3.36 of the 26.36 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Mjällby create 1.30 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 31.25 in all, and have scored 28 goals from those chances, 3.25 fewer than that xG would expect.
Mjällby allow 1.78 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 42.82 in all, and have conceded 40 goals from those chances, 2.82 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jacob Bergström has the most expected goals (xG) for Mjällby over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 8.40 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Á. Samuelsen is next with 2.95 xG.
Mjällby's results and their chances agree, within 3.4 points of xPts over 24 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 31.25 | 28 | -3.25 | 42.82 | 40 | +2.82 | 26.36 | 23 | -3.36 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.21 | 8 | -3.21 | 19.93 | 21 | -1.07 | 9.08 | 6 | -3.08 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.13 | 3 | -3.13 | 8.39 | 7 | +1.39 | 5.60 | 3 | -2.60 |
| Home | 12 | 18.44 | 12 | -6.44 | 20.71 | 19 | +1.71 | 15.50 | 11 | -4.50 |
| Away | 12 | 12.81 | 16 | +3.19 | 22.11 | 21 | +1.11 | 10.86 | 12 | +1.14 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 1-0 | 0.94 | 1.32 | 1.08 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 1-1 | 1.56 | 0.74 | 1.96 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 0-3 | 1.07 | 2.38 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 16 Sep | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 1-1 | 1.70 | 2.52 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 11 Sep | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 1-1 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 7 Sep | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 1-4 | 0.68 | 1.81 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 3 Sep | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-2 | 1.44 | 2.18 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 31 Aug | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 4-0 | 0.10 | 2.87 | 0.09 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 4-3 | 1.48 | 1.75 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 8 Aug | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 0-1 | 1.38 | 2.93 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 2-1 | 0.22 | 0.66 | 0.81 | 0 | D |
| 17 Jul | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 0-0 | 2.00 | 0.58 | 2.32 | 1 | W |
| 11 Jul | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 1-2 | 3.80 | 1.23 | 2.53 | 0 | W |
| 3 Jul | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 4-4 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 25 May | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 1-1 | 2.13 | 1.87 | 1.54 | 1 | W |
| 21 May | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 1-1 | 0.48 | 2.06 | 0.40 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-1 | 0.34 | 2.75 | 0.18 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 1-4 | 1.42 | 1.72 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 2-3 | 1.34 | 1.74 | 1.12 | 3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 2-0 | 1.59 | 1.25 | 1.61 | 3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 0-0 | 1.18 | 1.95 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 3-0 | 1.13 | 2.29 | 0.72 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 0-2 | 1.97 | 0.82 | 2.14 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 3-0 | 0.84 | 1.57 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olle Lindberg | midfielder | 16 | 545 | 0.76 | 3 | +2.24 | 0.13 |
| Elliot Stroud | midfielder | 10 | 810 | 1.54 | 3 | +1.46 | 0.17 |
| Jeppe Kjær | midfielder | 19 | 1139 | 1.92 | 3 | +1.08 | 0.15 |
| Tom Pettersson | defender | 16 | 984 | 1.24 | 2 | +0.76 | 0.11 |
| Jacob Bergström | attacker | 24 | 2010 | 8.40 | 9 | +0.60 | 0.38 |
| Ludwig Malachowski Thorell | midfielder | 9 | 652 | 0.46 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.06 |
| Ludvig Svanberg | defender | 9 | 428 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.13 |
| Villiam Granath | midfielder | 23 | 1605 | 1.49 | 1 | -0.49 | 0.08 |
| Abdoulie Manneh | attacker | 11 | 804 | 2.50 | 2 | -0.50 | 0.28 |
| Viktor Gustafson | midfielder | 19 | 1237 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.04 |
| Bork Bang-Kittilsen | attacker | 6 | 145 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.40 |
| Á. Samuelsen | attacker | 17 | 979 | 2.95 | 2 | -0.95 | 0.27 |
| Ali Youssef | attacker | 10 | 479 | 2.15 | 1 | -1.15 | 0.40 |
| Tony Miettinen | defender | 20 | 1567 | 1.24 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.07 |
| Axel Norén | defender | 21 | 1627 | 1.30 | 0 | -1.30 | 0.07 |
| M. Nielsen | midfielder | 17 | 870 | 1.33 | 0 | -1.33 | 0.14 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |