No, Halmstad have taken 14 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 6.09 fewer than the 20.09 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Halmstad create 1.15 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 27.67 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 11.67 fewer than that xG would expect.
Halmstad allow 2.20 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 52.75 in all, and have conceded 45 goals from those chances, 7.75 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Omar Faraj has the most expected goals (xG) for Halmstad over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 6.53 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Hussein Carneil is next with 3.31 xG.
Halmstad have taken 6.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 24 games: -11.7 goals against their xG, and +7.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 27.67 | 16 | -11.67 | 52.75 | 45 | +7.75 | 20.09 | 14 | -6.09 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.03 | 5 | -6.03 | 23.71 | 16 | +7.71 | 7.55 | 7 | -0.55 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.94 | 3 | -1.94 | 11.15 | 10 | +1.15 | 3.88 | 3 | -0.88 |
| Home | 12 | 12.22 | 9 | -3.22 | 24.96 | 19 | +5.96 | 9.60 | 11 | +1.40 |
| Away | 12 | 15.45 | 7 | -8.45 | 27.79 | 26 | +1.79 | 10.49 | 3 | -7.49 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 0-1 | 0.26 | 2.08 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 12 Oct | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 4-0 | 0.34 | 3.22 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 2-1 | 1.70 | 2.01 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 2-1 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.85 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 2-0 | 0.94 | 2.84 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 1.71 | 0.80 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 1-1 | 2.58 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 1-0 | 0.61 | 2.31 | 0.40 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 0-2 | 1.06 | 3.81 | 0.26 | 0 | L |
| 3 Aug | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 0-2 | 0.98 | 2.81 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 1-1 | 1.24 | 3.22 | 0.46 | 1 | L |
| 19 Jul | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 0 | L |
| 13 Jul | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 3-0 | 1.21 | 2.01 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 4 Jul | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 1-3 | 1.34 | 3.39 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 30 May | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 5-2 | 1.68 | 2.28 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 2-0 | 1.92 | 1.11 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 1-1 | 0.77 | 1.37 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 10 May | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 2-0 | 0.72 | 2.37 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 4 May | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 1-3 | 0.80 | 1.52 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 2-0 | 1.25 | 1.59 | 1.15 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 1-1 | 1.31 | 1.48 | 1.26 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 1-1 | 0.83 | 2.69 | 0.42 | 1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 0-3 | 0.47 | 1.21 | 0.73 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 2-1 | 1.87 | 3.55 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otso Liimatta | midfielder | 9 | 442 | 0.80 | 2 | +1.20 | 0.16 |
| Rocco Ascone | midfielder | 22 | 1762 | 2.85 | 4 | +1.15 | 0.15 |
| Gabriel Wallentin | defender | 16 | 1278 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.04 |
| Ajdin Zeljkovic | attacker | 6 | 339 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.14 |
| Niilo Mäenpää | midfielder | 11 | 569 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.14 |
| Oliver Kapsimalis | attacker | 17 | 739 | 1.06 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.13 |
| Joel Allansson | midfielder | 23 | 1902 | 1.22 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.06 |
| Hussein Carneil | midfielder | 23 | 1593 | 3.31 | 2 | -1.31 | 0.19 |
| Ludvig Arvidsson | attacker | 21 | 1555 | 3.31 | 2 | -1.31 | 0.19 |
| Rami Kaib | defender | 22 | 1757 | 1.55 | 0 | -1.55 | 0.08 |
| Malte Persson | attacker | 24 | 604 | 2.82 | 1 | -1.82 | 0.42 |
| Marvin Illary | attacker | 22 | 921 | 1.82 | 0 | -1.82 | 0.18 |
| Omar Faraj | attacker | 23 | 1389 | 6.53 | 4 | -2.53 | 0.42 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |