Yes, Elfsborg have taken 41 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 5.72 more than the 35.28 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Elfsborg create 1.48 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 35.49 in all, and have scored 37 goals from those chances, 1.51 more than that xG would expect.
Elfsborg allow 1.31 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 31.39 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 7.39 fewer than that xGA would expect.
M. Kamara has the most expected goals (xG) for Elfsborg over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 6.28 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Leo Östman is next with 5.57 xG.
Elfsborg have taken 5.7 points more than their chances warranted over 24 games: +1.5 goals against their xG, and +7.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 35.49 | 37 | +1.51 | 31.39 | 24 | +7.39 | 35.28 | 41 | +5.72 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.15 | 19 | +1.85 | 11.35 | 7 | +4.35 | 16.90 | 23 | +6.10 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.66 | 10 | +2.34 | 5.62 | 5 | +0.62 | 7.64 | 10 | +2.36 |
| Home | 12 | 19.76 | 21 | +1.24 | 15.04 | 9 | +6.04 | 19.46 | 24 | +4.54 |
| Away | 12 | 15.73 | 16 | +0.27 | 16.35 | 15 | +1.35 | 15.82 | 17 | +1.18 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 2-2 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 4-0 | 3.22 | 0.34 | 2.79 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 1-2 | 0.95 | 1.23 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 1-0 | 1.15 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 2-1 | 1.06 | 1.40 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 2-0 | 1.48 | 0.21 | 2.36 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 1-1 | 1.79 | 2.39 | 1.07 | 1 | L |
| 14 Aug | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 3-0 | 2.41 | 0.60 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 0-1 | 2.93 | 1.38 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 19 Jul | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 1-3 | 2.56 | 2.85 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 1-0 | 1.77 | 2.11 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 5 Jul | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 2.29 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 29 May | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 2-2 | 1.55 | 1.16 | 1.65 | 1 | W |
| 25 May | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 1-1 | 1.32 | 2.02 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 21 May | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 1-1 | 2.06 | 0.48 | 2.42 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 1-1 | 1.37 | 0.77 | 1.81 | 1 | W |
| 8 May | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 2-0 | 0.77 | 1.33 | 0.93 | 3 | L |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 1-1 | 1.03 | 0.84 | 1.50 | 1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 2-1 | 0.52 | 1.07 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 2-1 | 1.46 | 2.02 | 1.05 | 3 | L |
| 17 Apr | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 0-1 | 0.46 | 1.77 | 0.48 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 2-2 | 1.17 | 0.80 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| 6 Apr | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 2-0 | 1.42 | 0.53 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Östman | attacker | 24 | 1389 | 5.57 | 9 | +3.43 | 0.36 |
| A. Sigurpálsson | attacker | 21 | 719 | 2.17 | 4 | +1.83 | 0.27 |
| S. Olsson | midfielder | 23 | 1870 | 1.34 | 2 | +0.66 | 0.06 |
| J. Magnússon | midfielder | 23 | 2059 | 2.51 | 3 | +0.49 | 0.11 |
| Niklas Hult | defender | 23 | 2000 | 1.03 | 1 | -0.03 | 0.05 |
| R. Wikström | defender | 22 | 1608 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.06 |
| T. Silverholt | attacker | 13 | 653 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.14 |
| M. Kamara | midfielder | 20 | 1346 | 6.28 | 6 | -0.28 | 0.42 |
| Arbër Zeneli | attacker | 21 | 1269 | 4.43 | 4 | -0.43 | 0.31 |
| F. Ihler | attacker | 14 | 546 | 2.59 | 2 | -0.59 | 0.43 |
| Thomas Isherwood | defender | 24 | 2152 | 0.86 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.04 |
| Julius Beck | midfielder | 20 | 1512 | 1.90 | 1 | -0.90 | 0.11 |
| Rufai Mohammed | defender | 15 | 625 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.16 |
| Simon Hedlund | defender | 19 | 930 | 1.24 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.12 |
| Sebastian Holmén | defender | 16 | 1073 | 1.36 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.11 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |