No, Malmö FF have taken 36 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, within 2.77 of the 33.23 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Malmö FF create 1.48 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 35.55 in all, and have scored 38 goals from those chances, 2.45 more than that xG would expect.
Malmö FF allow 1.48 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 35.49 in all, and have conceded 34 goals from those chances, 1.49 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Erik Botheim has the most expected goals (xG) for Malmö FF over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 6.37 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Sead Haksabanovic is next with 4.13 xG.
Malmö FF's results and their chances agree, within 2.8 points of xPts over 24 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 35.55 | 38 | +2.45 | 35.49 | 34 | +1.49 | 33.23 | 36 | +2.77 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.27 | 10 | -6.27 | 13.42 | 10 | +3.42 | 15.27 | 16 | +0.73 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.16 | 5 | -4.16 | 6.84 | 4 | +2.84 | 8.38 | 7 | -1.38 |
| Home | 13 | 20.99 | 25 | +4.01 | 16.77 | 21 | -4.23 | 20.42 | 16 | -4.42 |
| Away | 11 | 14.56 | 13 | -1.56 | 18.72 | 13 | +5.72 | 12.81 | 20 | +7.19 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-1 | 1.92 | 1.57 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 1-0 | 1.41 | 1.79 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 2-0 | 1.97 | 0.93 | 2.06 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 4-1 | 2.44 | 1.52 | 1.93 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 0-0 | 1.42 | 1.03 | 1.65 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 0-1 | 1.18 | 1.60 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-3 | 0.88 | 1.36 | 1.01 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 0-1 | 0.34 | 1.20 | 0.62 | 3 | L |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 1-2 | 2.33 | 0.48 | 2.52 | 0 | W |
| 2 Aug | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 1-2 | 2.38 | 1.94 | 1.65 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 1-2 | 1.15 | 0.88 | 1.56 | 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 2-2 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1 | W |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 4-0 | 2.26 | 1.17 | 2.05 | 3 | W |
| 4 Jul | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 0-1 | 2.24 | 0.88 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 30 May | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 5-2 | 2.28 | 1.68 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 2-3 | 1.28 | 0.99 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 17 May | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 4-1 | 1.25 | 3.69 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 3-2 | 1.27 | 2.86 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 2-3 | 1.74 | 1.34 | 1.64 | 0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 0-1 | 0.66 | 1.45 | 0.78 | 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 2-3 | 0.92 | 1.84 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 17 Apr | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 0-1 | 0.28 | 1.59 | 0.42 | 3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 3-1 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 5 Apr | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 1-1 | 1.65 | 1.27 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Botheim | attacker | 19 | 1522 | 6.37 | 10 | +3.63 | 0.38 |
| Adrian Skogmar | midfielder | 23 | 1689 | 1.66 | 4 | +2.34 | 0.09 |
| Diego García | attacker | 9 | 343 | 2.07 | 3 | +0.93 | 0.54 |
| Pontus Jansson | defender | 3 | 270 | 0.23 | 1 | +0.77 | 0.08 |
| N. Åstrand John | defender | 12 | 489 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.06 |
| Bleon Kurtulus | defender | 16 | 464 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.08 |
| Kenan Busuladzic | midfielder | 17 | 1024 | 1.43 | 2 | +0.57 | 0.13 |
| Taha Ali | attacker | 6 | 451 | 0.49 | 1 | +0.51 | 0.10 |
| Busanello | defender | 19 | 1356 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.04 |
| Otto Rosengren | midfielder | 22 | 1885 | 2.77 | 3 | +0.23 | 0.13 |
| Andrej Djuric | defender | 18 | 1515 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| Jovan Milosavljević | midfielder | 8 | 255 | 1.09 | 1 | -0.09 | 0.38 |
| Sead Haksabanovic | attacker | 23 | 1898 | 4.13 | 4 | -0.13 | 0.20 |
| Anton Sebastian Höög | midfielder | 13 | 815 | 1.58 | 1 | -0.58 | 0.17 |
| Colin Rösler | defender | 10 | 851 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.06 |
| Jens Stryger Larsen | defender | 23 | 1800 | 1.60 | 1 | -0.60 | 0.08 |
| Isaac Assibu | attacker | 8 | 193 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.30 |
| Anders Christiansen | midfielder | 5 | 154 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.42 |
| Theodor Lundbergh | midfielder | 24 | 1160 | 0.77 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.06 |
| O. Sjöstrand | attacker | 12 | 745 | 1.93 | 1 | -0.93 | 0.23 |
| Daníel Gudjohnsen | attacker | 16 | 570 | 2.32 | 0 | -2.32 | 0.37 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |