No, IFK Göteborg have taken 36 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, within 0.37 of the 35.63 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
IFK Göteborg create 1.63 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 39.11 in all, and have scored 34 goals from those chances, 5.11 fewer than that xG would expect.
IFK Göteborg allow 1.47 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 35.28 in all, and have conceded 43 goals from those chances, 7.72 more than that xGA would expect.
Tobias Heintz has the most expected goals (xG) for IFK Göteborg over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 7.23 xG in 22 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Sam Larsson is next with 5.91 xG.
IFK Göteborg's results and their chances agree, within 0.4 points of xPts over 24 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 39.11 | 34 | -5.11 | 35.28 | 43 | -7.72 | 35.63 | 36 | +0.37 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.91 | 17 | +0.09 | 13.00 | 10 | +3.00 | 16.28 | 23 | +6.72 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.89 | 10 | +3.11 | 6.17 | 4 | +2.17 | 7.41 | 13 | +5.59 |
| Home | 12 | 20.55 | 16 | -4.55 | 15.40 | 13 | +2.40 | 19.63 | 21 | +1.37 |
| Away | 12 | 18.56 | 18 | -0.56 | 19.88 | 30 | -10.12 | 16.00 | 15 | -1.00 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 2-2 | 1.24 | 2.01 | 0.92 | 1 | L |
| 9 Oct | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 1-0 | 0.92 | 0.81 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 0-1 | 1.92 | 0.97 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 2-1 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 0.91 | 3 | L |
| 7 Sep | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 1-4 | 1.81 | 0.68 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 1-0 | 1.79 | 0.68 | 2.14 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 1-1 | 2.39 | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (A) | 3-0 | 1.00 | 2.02 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 3-2 | 2.59 | 0.95 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 2-0 | 2.25 | 1.39 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 4-1 | 1.51 | 2.65 | 0.79 | 0 | L |
| 17 Jul | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 2-1 | 2.52 | 0.58 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 4-0 | 1.17 | 2.26 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 5 Jul | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 1-2 | 1.64 | 0.72 | 2.03 | 0 | W |
| 31 May | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 4-5 | 1.33 | 2.21 | 0.87 | 3 | L |
| 25 May | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 1-1 | 1.87 | 2.13 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 19 May | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 2-3 | 2.44 | 0.93 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 1.34 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 4 May | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 6-0 | 1.28 | 2.83 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Allsvenskan | GAIS (H) | 2-2 | 0.76 | 0.93 | 1.19 | 1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 1-1 | 1.64 | 1.07 | 1.77 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 1-1 | 2.69 | 0.83 | 2.44 | 1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-2 | 1.93 | 2.38 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 2-0 | 0.53 | 1.42 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Simmelhack | attacker | 5 | 427 | 1.13 | 3 | +1.87 | 0.24 |
| Rockson Yeboah | defender | 14 | 1106 | 0.51 | 2 | +1.49 | 0.04 |
| Sam Larsson | midfielder | 12 | 927 | 5.91 | 7 | +1.09 | 0.57 |
| Nino Žugelj | attacker | 5 | 330 | 1.01 | 2 | +0.99 | 0.28 |
| Sebastian Clemmensen | attacker | 15 | 909 | 2.10 | 3 | +0.90 | 0.21 |
| Hjörtur Hermannsson | defender | 9 | 746 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.02 |
| Felix Eriksson | defender | 19 | 1586 | 0.57 | 1 | +0.43 | 0.03 |
| Noah Tolf | defender | 16 | 1200 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.05 |
| Filip Ottosson | midfielder | 14 | 761 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.08 |
| David Kruse | midfielder | 22 | 1930 | 1.73 | 2 | +0.27 | 0.08 |
| Alfons Borèn | attacker | 7 | 164 | 0.84 | 1 | +0.16 | 0.46 |
| Alexander Jallow | defender | 12 | 860 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.08 |
| Benjamin Brantlind | midfielder | 8 | 298 | 0.80 | 0 | -0.80 | 0.24 |
| Saidou Alioum Moubarak | attacker | 12 | 612 | 1.00 | 0 | -1.00 | 0.15 |
| Tobias Heintz | attacker | 22 | 1873 | 7.23 | 6 | -1.23 | 0.35 |
| Kolbeinn Thórdarson | midfielder | 12 | 610 | 1.25 | 0 | -1.25 | 0.18 |
| Oliver Månsson | midfielder | 13 | 989 | 1.25 | 0 | -1.25 | 0.11 |
| Max Fenger | attacker | 13 | 484 | 1.36 | 0 | -1.36 | 0.25 |
| August Erlingmark | midfielder | 17 | 1464 | 1.92 | 0 | -1.92 | 0.12 |
| Adam Bergmark-Wiberg | attacker | 18 | 1459 | 3.38 | 1 | -2.38 | 0.21 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.7 | 18 | -3.7 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |