No, GAIS have taken 30 points over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 9.19 fewer than the 39.19 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
GAIS create 1.76 expected goals (xG) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 42.30 in all, and have scored 30 goals from those chances, 12.30 fewer than that xG would expect.
GAIS allow 1.34 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 32.06 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 7.06 fewer than that xGA would expect.
S. Salter has the most expected goals (xG) for GAIS over 24 Allsvenskan games in 2026/2027, 7.50 xG in 21 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson is next with 5.73 xG.
GAIS have taken 9.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 24 games: -12.3 goals against their xG, and +7.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 24 | 42.30 | 30 | -12.30 | 32.06 | 25 | +7.06 | 39.19 | 30 | -9.19 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.40 | 12 | -6.40 | 15.06 | 11 | +4.06 | 15.72 | 11 | -4.72 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.67 | 5 | -2.67 | 8.90 | 7 | +1.90 | 6.13 | 4 | -2.13 |
| Home | 12 | 22.11 | 16 | -6.11 | 14.53 | 5 | +9.53 | 21.07 | 19 | -2.07 |
| Away | 12 | 20.19 | 14 | -6.19 | 17.53 | 20 | -2.47 | 18.12 | 11 | -7.12 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 4-2 | 1.86 | 2.66 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 0-1 | 1.14 | 1.82 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 0-3 | 2.38 | 1.07 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 14 Sep | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 2-0 | 1.17 | 1.83 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-0 | 1.12 | 1.52 | 1.09 | 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 4-0 | 1.78 | 0.56 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 2-0 | 0.72 | 2.96 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (H) | 0-1 | 1.20 | 0.34 | 2.07 | 0 | W |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 0-2 | 3.81 | 1.06 | 2.60 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 1-1 | 3.22 | 1.24 | 2.39 | 1 | W |
| 18 Jul | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 2-0 | 1.25 | 1.95 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 1-0 | 2.11 | 1.77 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 6 Jul | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 1-1 | 2.79 | 1.54 | 2.07 | 1 | W |
| 30 May | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (H) | 3-0 | 1.29 | 1.22 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 2-1 | 1.45 | 1.53 | 1.33 | 0 | L |
| 20 May | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 2-0 | 2.18 | 1.73 | 1.66 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 1-1 | 1.03 | 1.38 | 1.11 | 1 | L |
| 9 May | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 0-1 | 1.67 | 0.32 | 2.36 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 4-0 | 2.46 | 0.76 | 2.40 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 2-2 | 0.93 | 0.76 | 1.47 | 1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 0-0 | 1.95 | 1.18 | 1.87 | 1 | W |
| 19 Apr | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 2-1 | 1.04 | 0.89 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 3-1 | 1.12 | 0.96 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 6 Apr | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-1 | 2.63 | 1.01 | 2.31 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anes Cardaklija | defender | 15 | 986 | 1.01 | 2 | +0.99 | 0.09 |
| Robin Wendin Thomasson | defender | 13 | 591 | 0.28 | 1 | +0.72 | 0.04 |
| Henry Sletsjøe | midfielder | 17 | 1116 | 1.33 | 2 | +0.67 | 0.11 |
| Joackim Åberg | midfielder | 20 | 1581 | 1.51 | 2 | +0.49 | 0.09 |
| S. Ekong | attacker | 8 | 144 | 1.45 | 1 | -0.45 | 0.91 |
| William Milovanovic | midfielder | 19 | 1405 | 2.71 | 2 | -0.71 | 0.17 |
| Simon Jørgensen | attacker | 10 | 335 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.24 |
| Filip Beckman | defender | 18 | 1126 | 0.98 | 0 | -0.98 | 0.08 |
| M. Andersson | midfielder | 22 | 1143 | 4.02 | 3 | -1.02 | 0.32 |
| Oscar Pettersson | attacker | 20 | 735 | 2.22 | 1 | -1.22 | 0.27 |
| Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson | midfielder | 19 | 1583 | 5.41 | 4 | -1.41 | 0.31 |
| S. Salter | attacker | 21 | 1340 | 7.50 | 6 | -1.50 | 0.50 |
| Nikola Vasic | attacker | 11 | 582 | 4.68 | 2 | -2.68 | 0.72 |
| Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson | attacker | 23 | 1873 | 5.73 | 3 | -2.73 | 0.28 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |