No, Kalmar have taken 19 points over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 14.55 fewer than the 33.55 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Kalmar create 1.40 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 32.18 in all, and have scored 21 goals from those chances, 11.18 fewer than that xG would expect.
Kalmar allow 1.40 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 32.24 in all, and have conceded 37 goals from those chances, 4.76 more than that xGA would expect.
C. Rosenquist has the most expected goals (xG) for Kalmar over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 4.89 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Charles Sagoe Jr is next with 4.25 xG.
Kalmar have taken 14.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 23 games: -11.2 goals against their xG, and -4.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 23 | 32.18 | 21 | -11.18 | 32.24 | 37 | -4.76 | 33.55 | 19 | -14.55 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.37 | 5 | -7.37 | 12.43 | 18 | -5.57 | 14.53 | 5 | -9.53 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.49 | 0 | -7.49 | 5.54 | 9 | -3.46 | 8.35 | 0 | -8.35 |
| Home | 11 | 14.36 | 14 | -0.36 | 11.89 | 17 | -5.11 | 17.28 | 17 | -0.28 |
| Away | 12 | 17.82 | 7 | -10.82 | 20.35 | 20 | +0.35 | 16.27 | 2 | -14.27 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 1-0 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 1.63 | 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 0-5 | 1.10 | 1.81 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 1-0 | 1.53 | 1.15 | 1.63 | 0 | W |
| 7 Sep | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-1 | 1.36 | 0.31 | 2.20 | 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 1-0 | 1.71 | 0.86 | 1.97 | 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 0-0 | 1.38 | 0.94 | 1.68 | 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 0-4 | 0.20 | 2.52 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 3-2 | 0.95 | 2.59 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Allsvenskan | Häcken (A) | 1-1 | 1.69 | 0.62 | 2.13 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 2-1 | 0.66 | 0.22 | 1.71 | 3 | D |
| 20 Jul | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (H) | 2-2 | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.35 | 1 | L |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 2-0 | 1.17 | 2.20 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 5 Jul | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (H) | 3-0 | 2.13 | 1.09 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 30 May | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 3-0 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | Allsvenskan | Degerfors (H) | 2-1 | 1.94 | 1.26 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 1-0 | 2.36 | 1.21 | 2.07 | 0 | W |
| 10 May | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 2-0 | 2.37 | 0.72 | 2.39 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 3-2 | 1.48 | 2.21 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 2-1 | 1.07 | 0.52 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 1-1 | 1.07 | 1.64 | 0.98 | 1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Allsvenskan | AIK (A) | 1-0 | 1.47 | 1.39 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (A) | 3-2 | 1.07 | 4.48 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (H) | 0-1 | 1.15 | 0.46 | 1.92 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rosenquist | attacker | 19 | 1623 | 4.89 | 7 | +2.11 | 0.27 |
| R. Jansson | defender | 14 | 1260 | 0.98 | 3 | +2.02 | 0.07 |
| C. Gustafsson | midfielder | 14 | 1115 | 0.69 | 2 | +1.31 | 0.06 |
| A. Keita | defender | 9 | 647 | 1.49 | 2 | +0.51 | 0.21 |
| Achraf Dari | defender | 9 | 748 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.07 |
| A. Magashy | midfielder | 18 | 788 | 1.11 | 1 | -0.11 | 0.13 |
| R. Gojani | midfielder | 18 | 1450 | 0.57 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.04 |
| Eskild Munk Dall | attacker | 6 | 254 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.22 |
| L. Sætra | defender | 19 | 1404 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.04 |
| Charles Sagoe Jr | attacker | 23 | 1993 | 4.25 | 3 | -1.25 | 0.19 |
| Victor Larsson | defender | 21 | 1749 | 1.34 | 0 | -1.34 | 0.07 |
| A. Olusanya | attacker | 12 | 661 | 3.39 | 2 | -1.39 | 0.46 |
| Emeka Nnamani | attacker | 13 | 182 | 1.51 | 0 | -1.51 | 0.75 |
| V. Tyren | midfielder | 9 | 421 | 1.56 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.33 |
| M. Hallberg | midfielder | 23 | 1391 | 1.59 | 0 | -1.59 | 0.10 |
| N. Chourak | midfielder | 20 | 1121 | 1.91 | 0 | -1.91 | 0.15 |
| Marius Söderbäck | midfielder | 23 | 1291 | 2.56 | 0 | -2.56 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |