No, Degerfors have taken 20 points over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 4.35 fewer than the 24.35 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Degerfors create 1.10 expected goals (xG) per game over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 25.35 in all, and have scored 20 goals from those chances, 5.35 fewer than that xG would expect.
Degerfors allow 1.62 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 37.28 in all, and have conceded 35 goals from those chances, 2.28 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Dijan Vukojevic has the most expected goals (xG) for Degerfors over 23 Allsvenskan games in 2026, 4.69 xG in 23 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Marcus Rafferty is next with 2.65 xG.
Degerfors have taken 4.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 23 games: -5.4 goals against their xG, and +2.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 23 | 25.35 | 20 | -5.35 | 37.28 | 35 | +2.28 | 24.35 | 20 | -4.35 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.75 | 8 | -3.75 | 17.14 | 12 | +5.14 | 10.17 | 10 | -0.17 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.95 | 3 | -2.95 | 7.55 | 6 | +1.55 | 5.46 | 4 | -1.46 |
| Home | 11 | 14.32 | 11 | -3.32 | 15.63 | 15 | +0.63 | 14.14 | 11 | -3.14 |
| Away | 12 | 11.03 | 9 | -2.03 | 21.65 | 20 | +1.65 | 10.21 | 9 | -1.21 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (A) | 1-1 | 0.74 | 1.56 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (H) | 0-1 | 0.90 | 1.41 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 14 Sep | Allsvenskan | Sirius (A) | 2-0 | 1.26 | 2.16 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (H) | 2-0 | 2.84 | 0.94 | 2.43 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (A) | 2-0 | 0.21 | 1.48 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Allsvenskan | Bromma (A) | 2-0 | 0.80 | 1.86 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (H) | 3-0 | 2.02 | 1.00 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (A) | 1-2 | 0.48 | 2.33 | 0.33 | 3 | L |
| 2 Aug | Allsvenskan | IFK Göteborg (A) | 2-0 | 1.39 | 2.25 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 25 Jul | Allsvenskan | Djurgården (H) | 0-1 | 1.11 | 2.15 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 19 Jul | Allsvenskan | Hammarby (A) | 4-0 | 0.62 | 2.79 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 12 Jul | Allsvenskan | Västerås SK (A) | 2-0 | 1.09 | 1.67 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 4 Jul | Allsvenskan | Malmö FF (H) | 0-1 | 0.88 | 2.24 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 31 May | Allsvenskan | Bromma (H) | 2-2 | 1.27 | 1.77 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| 23 May | Allsvenskan | Kalmar (A) | 2-1 | 1.26 | 1.94 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Allsvenskan | GAIS (A) | 1-1 | 1.38 | 1.03 | 1.62 | 1 | W |
| 9 May | Allsvenskan | Mjällby (H) | 1-4 | 1.72 | 1.42 | 1.57 | 0 | W |
| 2 May | Allsvenskan | Häcken (H) | 1-1 | 0.70 | 1.68 | 0.70 | 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Allsvenskan | Örgryte (A) | 1-1 | 0.59 | 2.11 | 0.45 | 1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Allsvenskan | AIK (H) | 2-1 | 0.83 | 0.82 | 1.33 | 3 | D |
| 17 Apr | Allsvenskan | Elfsborg (H) | 0-1 | 1.77 | 0.46 | 2.30 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Allsvenskan | Halmstad (A) | 0-3 | 1.21 | 0.47 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Allsvenskan | Sirius (H) | 0-3 | 0.28 | 1.74 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juhani Pikkarainen | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.06 |
| Arman Taranis | attacker | 20 | 1027 | 2.50 | 3 | +0.50 | 0.22 |
| Daniel Sundgren | defender | 17 | 1289 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.04 |
| Samba Diatara | defender | 22 | 1594 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.04 |
| Nasiru Moro | defender | 7 | 391 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.16 |
| Gideon Yaw | midfielder | 17 | 1039 | 1.09 | 1 | -0.09 | 0.09 |
| Nahom Girmai Netabay | midfielder | 20 | 1564 | 1.12 | 1 | -0.12 | 0.06 |
| Sebastian Ohlsson | midfielder | 22 | 1777 | 1.29 | 1 | -0.29 | 0.07 |
| Erik Lindell | defender | 6 | 179 | 1.29 | 1 | -0.29 | 0.65 |
| Nikolai Skuseth | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.50 | 0 | -0.50 | 0.05 |
| Marcus Rafferty | midfielder | 10 | 867 | 2.65 | 2 | -0.65 | 0.27 |
| Bilal Hussein | midfielder | 15 | 1126 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.05 |
| Dijan Vukojevic | attacker | 23 | 1314 | 4.69 | 4 | -0.69 | 0.32 |
| Elias Barsoum | midfielder | 22 | 1301 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.05 |
| Ludvig Fritzson | midfielder | 21 | 1436 | 1.98 | 1 | -0.98 | 0.12 |
| Karim Boutera | attacker | 7 | 290 | 1.49 | 0 | -1.49 | 0.46 |
| Robin Dzabic | midfielder | 11 | 671 | 1.73 | 0 | -1.73 | 0.23 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Västerås SK | 24 | 28.4 | 35 | 41.7 | 36 | 26 | 38 | +12 |
| 2 | Sirius | 24 | 46.9 | 55 | 27.2 | 30 | 43.5 | 55 | +11.5 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 24 | 35.5 | 37 | 31.4 | 24 | 35.3 | 41 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Djurgården | 24 | 45.4 | 50 | 29.8 | 21 | 41.7 | 47 | +5.3 |
| 5 | AIK | 24 | 39.6 | 38 | 44.2 | 42 | 31.1 | 34 | +2.9 |
| 6 | Malmö FF | 24 | 35.6 | 38 | 35.5 | 34 | 33.2 | 36 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Häcken | 24 | 43.8 | 43 | 31.1 | 30 | 41.1 | 42 | +0.9 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 31.6 | 36 | 38.3 | 43 | 29.2 | 30 | +0.8 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 24 | 39.1 | 34 | 35.3 | 43 | 35.6 | 36 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Hammarby | 24 | 54.8 | 50 | 24.5 | 21 | 49.2 | 46 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Mjällby | 24 | 31.3 | 28 | 42.8 | 40 | 26.4 | 23 | -3.4 |
| 12 | Örgryte | 24 | 26.8 | 29 | 50.1 | 54 | 21.6 | 18 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 25.4 | 20 | 37.3 | 35 | 24.4 | 20 | -4.4 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 24 | 27.6 | 16 | 52.8 | 45 | 20.1 | 14 | -6.1 |
| 15 | GAIS | 24 | 42.3 | 30 | 32.1 | 25 | 39.2 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 16 | Kalmar | 23 | 32.2 | 21 | 32.3 | 37 | 33.6 | 19 | -14.6 |