Dalton Kincaid is averaging 3.8 receptions per game in 2026 season for the Buffalo Bills — 30 across 8 games.
In 2025 he finished with 39 receptions in 12 games — 3.3 per game.
Dalton Kincaid's receptions line at the New York Jets in Week 10 is 3.5. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games and 4 of 8 in 2026.
His last 5 games: 3 at MIN, 4 vs BAL, 7 at LV, 1 at LAR and 1 vs NE.
In 2026 he averages 3.5 receptions at home (4 games) and 4 on the road (4 games).
This week the New York Jets allow the 4th most receptions to tight ends.
| Game | Opponent | Result | Receptions | Over 3.5? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 9 | at Minnesota Vikings | W 23–6 | 3 | Under |
| 2026 Week 8 | vs Baltimore Ravens | W 36–10 | 4 | Over |
| 2026 Week 6 | at Las Vegas Raiders | W 33–30 | 7 | Over |
| 2026 Week 5 | at Los Angeles Rams | W 37–34 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 4 | vs New England Patriots | L 26–29 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 3 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 24–16 | 2 | Under |
| 2026 Week 2 | vs Detroit Lions | W 41–31 | 7 | Over |
| 2026 Week 1 | at Houston Texans | W 36–31 | 5 | Over |
| 2025 DIV | at Denver Broncos | L 30–33 | 6 | Over |
| 2025 WC | at Jacksonville Jaguars | W 27–24 | 3 | Under |
| 2025 Week 18 | vs New York Jets | W 35–8 | 3 | Under |
| 2025 Week 16 | at Cleveland Browns | W 23–20 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 15 | at New England Patriots | W 35–31 | 3 | Under |
| 2025 Week 14 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | W 39–34 | 4 | Over |
| 2025 Week 10 | at Miami Dolphins | L 13–30 | 2 | Under |
| 2025 Week 9 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | W 28–21 | 6 | Over |
| 2025 Week 8 | at Carolina Panthers | W 40–9 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 5 | vs New England Patriots | L 20–23 | 6 | Over |
| 2025 Week 4 | vs New Orleans Saints | W 31–19 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 3 | vs Miami Dolphins | W 31–21 | 5 | Over |