Sunday Bet Builders: Isak Leads a 2pm Four-Fold, with Man Utd v Bournemouth and Sunderland v Leeds
Sunday's Premier League card has four games at two o'clock and Sunderland against Leeds at 4:30, and the bets follow it: a four-fold with one leg from each of the early kick-offs, a same-game builder for Manchester United against Bournemouth, and a four-leg builder for the late game. Every leg is a single-player line at 1+ or 2+ and every player is in our predicted XI. Prices are bet365's at the time of writing, and the team sheets land about an hour before kick-off, so check them before you place anything.
The model numbers come from our projections, the hit rates from the Player Props board, and each match page has the rest. Saturday's bet builders are on the site too.
2pm: the four-fold, 3.98
Four games kick off together, so the afternoon bet takes one player from each of them. It starts at Liverpool v Brighton, where our model has Liverpool at 44%, Brighton at 30% and the draw at 26%. Alexander Isak has had two or more shots in each of his last five, 2, 2, 3, 3 and 3, and is 1.20 to keep that going.
At Manchester United v Bournemouth the pick is on the away side: Evanilson has had a shot on target in all of his last five and is 1.73 to make it six. Hull v Brentford has the model leaning 57% to Brentford, with Hull on 20%, yet Mohamed Belloumi, for Hull, has had two or more shots in each of his last five (3, 2, 2, 3 and 5) and is 1.44. The last leg is at Crystal Palace v Newcastle, a game the model splits at 40% to Palace and 36% to Newcastle: Yoane Wissa has had two or more shots in each of his last five, including seven in one of them, at 1.33.
The 2pm four-fold
One player from each of the four early Premier League games. bet365 prices at the time of writing
| Player | Line | Last five | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Isak | 2+ shots | 5 from 5 | 1.20 |
| Evanilson | 1+ shots on target | 5 from 5 | 1.73 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | 2+ shots | 5 from 5 | 1.44 |
| Yoane Wissa | 2+ shots | 5 from 5 | 1.33 |
| Legs multiplied | 3.98 |
2pm: Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth, 4.67
Manchester United are 13th in the table and Bournemouth 15th, and our model has the home side at 47% with Bournemouth on 29%, projecting 1.8 goals to 1.4. That is a game with chances at both ends, so the builder is three shot lines. Rayan has had a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.80 to do it again. On the United side Harry Maguire has had a shot in four of his last five, and so has Matthijs de Ligt.
Evanilson is already in the four-fold, so he is left out here to keep the two slips from leaning on the same player.
Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth
Three legs, one match
| Player | Line | Last five | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan | 1+ shots on target | 4 from 5 | 1.80 |
| Harry Maguire | 1+ shots | 4 from 5 | 1.50 |
| Matthijs de Ligt | 1+ shots | 4 from 5 | 1.73 |
| Legs multiplied | 4.67 |
4:30pm: Sunderland v Leeds United, 4.11
The late game is Sunderland v Leeds, where Sunderland are 20th and Leeds 7th. Our model has Leeds slightly ahead, 38% to 34%, with the draw at 28%. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has had a shot on target in all of his last five and is 1.50, and Jayden Bogle has had a shot in each of his last five at 1.80, the longest price on the slip. Ethan Ampadu has committed a foul in each of his last five games, and Granit Xhaka has made a tackle in each of the last five for Sunderland.
Sunderland v Leeds United
Four legs, one match
| Player | Line | Last five | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 1+ shots on target | 5 from 5 | 1.50 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1+ shots | 5 from 5 | 1.80 |
| Granit Xhaka | 1+ tackles | 5 from 5 | 1.30 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 1+ fouls | 5 from 5 | 1.17 |
| Legs multiplied | 4.11 |
The honest bit
A hit rate describes what has happened and doesn't forecast anything: these are last-five records, so five games is the sample for every leg, and 8 of the eleven legs are 5 from 5. Prices multiply across the legs, but the bookmaker's own same-game price will be a little shorter than the product because the legs in one match are linked, so check the slip's price before you place it. Every leg assumes the player starts. Most bookmakers void a player leg if he takes no part and reprice what's left, though the terms vary and are worth reading. More bets are on the Bet Builder Tips page and in the bet builder tool, and the day's Daily Acca sits alongside these.
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18+. Please gamble responsibly - begambleaware.org. These are match statistics, not settled bets. Odds are bet365 prices correct at the time of writing and move.