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San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 9

Updated Nov 8, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

SAS

Statz pick

San Antonio Spurs to win

We give the San Antonio Spurs a 76% chance, against 24% for the Phoenix Suns. See the full projection →

76%
SAS to win
Polymarket1.36

The Statz model favours the San Antonio Spurs at 76% to beat the Phoenix Suns, with a projected margin of 9.7 points and a model total of 227.5. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Mark Williams, out for the Suns until February.

The San Antonio Spurs visit the Phoenix Suns on Monday 9 November at 9:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Spurs the favourite at 76% to win, and no bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it.

How the teams arrive

The Spurs arrive hot. They are 8-2 over their last 10 and have won eight straight, a run that has them averaging 118.4 points for and 108.1 against. Their latest results were 125-103 at Portland and 124-109 at Sacramento. They also edged Dallas 112-111 at home. Their only two losses in the window came early, to Houston and Oklahoma City.

The Suns are 3-5 over eight games counted. Their sequence reads W W L L L L W L. They beat Houston 102-99 and Orlando 117-104 at home to close out the last week. Before that came a 119-132 home loss to Portland and a 83-124 defeat at Portland on 21 October. They score 112.4 and concede 118.6 per game. Phoenix is at home here, but the defensive numbers are a concern against a team scoring this freely.

Team news and lineups

Phoenix is without Mark Williams, who is out after shoulder surgery with a return date of 3 February. That removes their main interior presence and shifts minutes to the other bigs on the roster. Jordan Goodwin is also out with a left calf injury, and his listed return date is 9 November. His absence leaves more bench work for Collin Gillespie and Luke Kennard.

San Antonio lists Jayden Quaintance as out. He has not been cleared for basketball activities, and his return date is 3 December. Tobias Harris is out with a strained left calf and has yet to make his Spurs debut. His listed return date is 9 November. Neither absence changes the Spurs' main rotation much, which is why the model still sees a clear gap.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama is projected for 25.0 points, 11.4 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 2.0 threes. With Williams out, Phoenix has little to slow him in the paint. He is the main reason the Spurs are projected to score 118.6.

Dylan Harper

Dylan Harper is projected for 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He is a steady second option who keeps the offence moving when Wembanyama sits.

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox is projected for 14.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists. His playmaking should test a Suns defence that has been giving up 118.6 per game.

Devin Booker

Devin Booker is projected for 22.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, 4.9 assists and 1.7 threes. Phoenix's scoring runs through him, and the model projects the Suns at 108.9 points.

Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks is projected for 16.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.0 threes. He is the Suns' second scoring option and the likeliest to add volume from deep.

Jalen Green

Jalen Green is projected for 15.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.8 threes. His shot-making is key if Phoenix is to keep pace.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Spurs. It gives them a 76% win probability and a line of -9.7, with the Suns at +9.7. It projects 118.6 points for San Antonio and 108.9 for Phoenix, a model total of 227.5. No bookmaker has posted a spread or total yet, so there is no model-versus-market comparison to make. The market is the missing side. Without a posted total, there is no total lean to give.

Statz pick: San Antonio Spurs, model line -9.7, 76% win probability.

Lines move before tip, so check the latest NBA odds once a number is posted.

SAS @ PHX questions

Who does the model favour in Spurs vs Suns?
The Statz model favours the San Antonio Spurs at 76% to win. It gives them a line of -9.7 and the Phoenix Suns +9.7. The projected score is 118.6 for San Antonio and 108.9 for Phoenix.
What is the projected total for Spurs at Suns?
The model total is 227.5 points, built from 118.6 for the San Antonio Spurs and 108.9 for the Phoenix Suns. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
What time is Spurs vs Suns on 9 November?
Tip-off is at 9:00 PM ET on Monday 9 November. The game is in Phoenix, with the Suns at home and the San Antonio Spurs as the visitors.
Who is injured for the Phoenix Suns?
Mark Williams is out after shoulder surgery, with a return date of 3 February. Jordan Goodwin is also out with a left calf injury and has a listed return date of 9 November.
How are the Spurs playing lately?
The Spurs are 8-2 over their last 10 and have won eight straight. They average 118.4 points for and 108.1 against, with recent wins at Portland (125-103) and Sacramento (124-109).

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, San Antonio Spurs or Phoenix Suns?

The Statz model favours the San Antonio Spurs with a 76% win probability, leaving the Phoenix Suns at 24%. Over their last five games the Phoenix Suns are 2-3 and the San Antonio Spurs are 5-0. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns?

No spread or total is posted yet for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns?

For San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns, the model projects Devin Booker for 22.9 points and Dillon Brooks for 16.0 points for the Phoenix Suns. For the San Antonio Spurs it projects Victor Wembanyama for 25.0 points and Dylan Harper for 15.8 points.