Los Angeles LakersLakers
Wed, Nov 410:00 PMETSacramento
Sacramento KingsKings
LAL1.18SAC6.25via Kalshi

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 4

Updated Nov 3, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

LAL

Statz pick

Los Angeles Lakers to win

We give the Los Angeles Lakers a 75% chance, against 25% for the Sacramento Kings. See the full projection →

75%
LAL to win
Kalshi1.18

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 75% to beat the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday 4 November, with a model line of -9.1 and a projected total of 233.3. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The key absence is Keegan Murray for the Kings, who is out with left ankle capsulitis.

The Los Angeles Lakers visit the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday 4 November, with tip at 10:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Lakers the favourite at 75% and sets its line at -9.1. No bookmaker has posted a number yet, so there is no market line to compare against.

How the teams arrive

The Kings are struggling. They sit at 1-6 over their seven games, with a run of W L L L L L L. They average 110.1 points for and allow 124.3. The one win was 115-100 at Dallas on 2 November. The losses were heavy: 105-136 at Memphis, 103-130 at San Antonio and 96-121 at the Clippers. At home they lost to Memphis 112-123 and to Portland 120-128. The defence is the problem.

The Lakers arrive in far better shape. They are 6-2 over eight games, with a sequence of W W L W L W W W. They average 122.5 points for and allow 115.3. Their latest results were a 138-117 win over Miami and a 131-125 win over Toronto. The defeats came at Golden State, 95-112, and at home to Portland, 129-136. This is a road game for them, but the form gap is wide.

Team news and lineups

The Kings have the longer list, and it hits their frontcourt and wing depth.

  • Keegan Murray is out with left ankle capsulitis and will be re-evaluated in 10-to-14 days.
  • Maxime Raynaud is out with a right patellar subluxation and will be re-evaluated in approximately two weeks.
  • Dylan Cardwell is listed out with a left calf strain. He has yet to make his season debut, and Wednesday is his earliest possible return.
  • Ben Simmons is out for the season after surgery to repair a torn right Achilles tendon.

The effect is on minutes. Precious Achiuwa has been starting in Murray's absence. The reports point to Achiuwa, Jonathan Mogbo and De'Andre Hunter as candidates for more frontcourt time, with Daeqwon Plowden also in line for opportunities on the wing. That is a thin rotation against a Lakers team that scores freely.

The Lakers list one absence. Adou Thiero is out with a left knee injury and has yet to make his season debut. Head coach JJ Redick said he has taken part in live action, and the hope is that he is available by the end of the week. He is not expected to play a meaningful role once healthy, so the Lakers rotation is effectively intact.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Darius Acuff Jr.

Darius Acuff Jr. is projected for 24.5 points, 3.6 rebounds, 6.6 assists and 2.8 threes. He is the Kings' main creator, and with so many teammates out, the offence runs through him.

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine is projected for 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 2.6 threes. He gives Sacramento a second scorer. Their best chance of staying close is for both guards to shoot well.

Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis is projected for 16.9 points, 12.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists. With Raynaud and Cardwell out, he carries the interior. His passing from the post is how the Kings generate open looks.

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic is projected for 33.5 points, 7.4 rebounds, 8.2 assists and 4.4 threes. He drives the Lakers' projected 121.2 points. Sacramento has few ways to slow him, given how many players it is missing.

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves is projected for 21.5 points, 4.1 rebounds, 5.4 assists and 2.2 threes. He is the second creator, and his shot-making keeps defences from loading up on Doncic.

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler is projected for 11.9 points, 11.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He is the Lakers' rim presence, and he faces a Kings frontcourt that is short of bodies.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Lakers. It gives them a 75% win probability and a line of -9.1, built on projected scores of 121.2 for the Lakers and 112.1 for the Kings. The case rests on form, the Lakers at 6-2 against a Kings team at 1-6 that allows 124.3 a game, and on the Sacramento injury list.

The model total is 233.3. No bookmaker has posted a spread or a total, so the market side of the comparison is missing and there is no gap to measure. Once lines appear, check them against -9.1 and 233.3 before you act. The projected scores suggest a high-scoring game, but the total lean has to wait for a market number.

Statz pick: Los Angeles Lakers, model line -9.1.

Lines move before tip, so check the latest NBA odds and the full preview.

LAL @ SAC questions

Who does the model favour in Lakers at Kings?
The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers with a 75% win probability. The Sacramento Kings are given 25%. The model line is Lakers -9.1, with projected scores of 121.2 for the Lakers and 112.1 for the Kings.
What is the projected total for Lakers at Kings?
The model projects a total of 233.3 points, with the Lakers at 121.2 and the Kings at 112.1. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it against.
What time is Lakers at Kings on 4 November?
The Los Angeles Lakers face the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday 4 November. Tip is at 10:00 PM ET. Sacramento is the home side for this game.
Which Kings players are out?
Keegan Murray (left ankle capsulitis), Maxime Raynaud (right patellar subluxation), Dylan Cardwell (left calf strain) and Ben Simmons (torn right Achilles, out for the season) are all listed out for Sacramento.
How have the Lakers and Kings been playing this season?
The Lakers are 6-2 over eight games, averaging 122.5 points and allowing 115.3. The Kings are 1-6 over seven games, averaging 110.1 points and allowing 124.3. Their only win was 115-100 at Dallas.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Los Angeles Lakers or Sacramento Kings?

The Statz model favours the Los Angeles Lakers with a 75% win probability, leaving the Sacramento Kings at 25%. Over their last five games the Sacramento Kings are 1-4 and the Los Angeles Lakers are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings?

No spread or total is posted yet for Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings?

For Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings, the model projects Darius Acuff Jr. for 23.4 points and Zach LaVine for 19.5 points for the Sacramento Kings. For the Los Angeles Lakers it projects Luka Doncic for 32.0 points and Austin Reaves for 20.5 points.