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Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks Prediction, Picks and Odds for November 4

Updated Nov 3, with the latest lineups and odds

By · Published

NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 85% chance, against 15% for the Chicago Bulls. See the full projection →

85%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.23

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks at 85% to beat the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday 4 November, with a projected margin of 14.0 points and a model total of 233.7. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market spread to compare. The injury that matters is Nicolas Claxton, who is out for Chicago.

The Chicago Bulls visit the New York Knicks on Wednesday 4 November, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Knicks the favourite at 85%, with a model line of -14.0. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it. Check the latest on our NBA odds page.

How the teams arrive

The Knicks are 3-4 over their seven games this season, and the run reads W L W W L L L, newest first. They won their latest game at home against Brooklyn, 103-90. Before that they lost 93-98 at Philadelphia, and they beat these same Bulls 133-127 in Chicago. Their defence is the steadier side of the ledger: 106.4 points for and 105.1 against per game. Home losses to Orlando (102-111) and Philadelphia (100-106) show they are not unbeatable at Madison Square Garden territory, but the scoring margins have been tight.

The Bulls are 1-6, and the run reads L L L L L W L, newest first. Their one win came at Milwaukee, 132-125. The defence is the problem. They allow 128.9 points per game while scoring 112.6. The heavy defeats tell the story: 99-134 at Boston, 92-135 at Toronto, 107-126 at Philadelphia and 111-125 at Boston. They are on the road again here, and they did put up 127 against the Knicks in the earlier meeting this season, though they still lost by six.

Team news and lineups

The Knicks have nobody on the injury report. That means full rotation minutes are available to everyone on the roster, and no one has to cover for an absence.

The Bulls have one name listed. Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) is out. He has not yet made his 2026-27 debut. The report says he looked to be trending in the right direction after practising Sunday, and that this game is his next chance to play. Treat him as out until the status changes. If he is absent, Chicago remains thin on interior depth against a Knicks side that rebounds well, and the frontcourt minutes fall to the players already in the rotation. Check the report again nearer tip.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson projects at 26.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, 7.6 assists and 2.5 threes. He is the engine of the Knicks offence and the model's top scorer in this game. Chicago allows 128.9 points per game, which suits a high-usage guard.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns projects at 22.7 points, 13.7 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 1.6 threes. The rebounding number is the one to watch. A Bulls frontcourt without Claxton has few answers to his size and shooting together.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby projects at 19.0 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 2.7 threes. He gives the Knicks a third scoring option and the defensive range to stay with Chicago's wings.

Caleb Wilson

Caleb Wilson projects at 18.7 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 2.6 threes. He leads Chicago in the projections, and the Bulls need his scoring to stay within range of a team the model puts at 123.8 points.

Norman Powell

Norman Powell projects at 18.4 points, 3.0 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 2.5 threes. He is the Bulls' second scorer and a volume three-point shooter. If he is hot, Chicago can keep the game close for a while.

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey projects at 11.7 points, 6.4 rebounds, 8.3 assists and 1.6 threes. His playmaking carries the Bulls offence. The assist number is the one that matters, because it shows how well Chicago can generate clean looks against the Knicks defence.

Statz prediction

The model takes the New York Knicks. It gives them an 85% win probability, a projected margin of 14.0 points and a model line of -14.0. It projects the Knicks at 123.8 points and the Bulls at 109.9, for a model total of 233.7.

The case rests on the gap in defence. The Bulls are conceding 128.9 per game and are 1-6, while the Knicks have the home floor, a clean injury report and a head-to-head win over Chicago already this season. The Bulls scored 127 in that meeting, so the points are there. The stop is not.

There is no market line yet, so we cannot compare the model spread or total with a bookmaker's number. The comparison is missing because the market is missing. Until a total is posted, there is no total lean to give. The model total of 233.7 is the number to hold up against it when it arrives.

Statz pick: New York Knicks to win, 85% model win probability, model line -14.0, model total 233.7.

Lines move before tip, so check the number once it is posted and again before the game.

CHI @ NYK questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks?
The model favours the New York Knicks at 85%, with the Chicago Bulls at 15%. It projects a margin of 14.0 points for the Knicks, which gives a model line of -14.0.
What is the model total for Bulls at Knicks?
The Statz model total is 233.7 points. It projects the Knicks at 123.8 points and the Bulls at 109.9. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with.
Is anyone injured for the Knicks or Bulls?
The Knicks have nobody on the injury report. For the Bulls, Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) is listed as out. He has not yet made his 2026-27 debut, and this game is his next chance to play.
What time does Bulls at Knicks tip off?
The game is on Wednesday 4 November in New York, with tip at 7:30 PM ET. It is a regular season game, so there is no series attached to it.
How did the teams play when they last met?
The Knicks won 133-127 in Chicago on their most recent meeting this season. The Bulls scored 127 but could not get enough stops, and that has been the issue in their 1-6 run.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Chicago Bulls or New York Knicks?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 85% win probability, leaving the Chicago Bulls at 15%. Over their last five games the New York Knicks are 3-2 and the Chicago Bulls are 0-5. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks?

No spread or total is posted yet for Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks?

For Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks, the model projects Jalen Brunson for 25.6 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 21.6 points for the New York Knicks. For the Chicago Bulls it projects Caleb Wilson for 17.8 points and Norman Powell for 17.5 points.