Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | Rayo win | 11.0% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | Rayo win | 9.0% |
| 2-0 | Rayo win | 8.5% |
| 0-1 | Valencia win | 7.9% |
| 1-2 | Valencia win | 6.6% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.7% |
| 0-2 | Valencia win | 4.7% |
| 3-1 | Rayo win | 4.3% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Rayo clean sheet | 35% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 24% |
The most likely score in Rayo vs Valencia is 1-1, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 11%. The La Liga game kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Rayo 1.42 - 1.05 Valencia in goals for Rayo vs Valencia, with over 2.5 goals 45% likely and both teams to score 50%.
Statz projects 21 players for Rayo vs Valencia on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:15 UK time kick-off.
Rayo host Valencia at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid on 21 November 2026 at 15:15 in La Liga. Rayo's last five results: D L W W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Valencia's last five: D L W L W (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Rayo have won 1, Valencia 1, with 4 draws.
Rayo vs Valencia kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Estadio de Vallecas holds 14,708 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:15.
Rayo vs Valencia is being played at Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Rayo, which holds 14,708 people. Kick-off is at 15:15 UK time, and the match is part of La Liga.
Rayo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6, with results reading D D L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Sociedad in the La Liga on 8 November.
Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7, with results reading D D L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-3 defeat at home to Real Madrid in the La Liga on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Rayo have won 1, Valencia have won 1 and 4 were drawn, with Rayo scoring 4 goals to Valencia's 4. The most recent was Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano on 14 May 2026 in the La Liga.
Sergio Camello leads Rayo with 7 goals across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Rayo player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Rayo player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Pablo Maffeo leads Valencia with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.5 a game, the most of any Valencia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Valencia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Rayo vs Valencia with 11 starters a side: Rayo line up 4-3-3 and Valencia 5-3-2, ahead of the 15:15 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Rayo the favourite with a 45% chance of winning, against 27% for Valencia and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Rayo 1.4 - 1.1 Valencia.
The most likely score in Rayo vs Valencia is 1-1, a draw, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 50% likely and over 2.5 goals 45%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Rayo vs Valencia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | La Liga | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 |
| 1 Dec 2025 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia | 1-1 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia | 1-1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | La Liga | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 |
| 12 May 2024 | La Liga | Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano | 0-0 |
| 19 Dec 2023 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia | 0-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Rayo 1.4 - 1.1 Valencia in goals. It gives Rayo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Valencia 27%. Both teams to score is 50% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 45%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | Rayo win | 11% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 2-1 | Rayo win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Rayo win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Rayo vs Valencia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Rayo | Fouls committed | Valencia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Ciss | 14 | P. Maffeo | 15 |
| 2 | F. Lejeune | 13 | J. Guerra | 14 |
| 3 | S. Camello | 11 | Pepelu | 12 |
| 4 | J. Frutos | 11 | G. Rodríguez | 11 |
| 5 | A. Pedrosa | 11 | J. Gayà | 10 |
| # | Rayo | Shots | Valencia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 26 | J. Guerra | 16 |
| 2 | P. Díaz | 25 | A. Danjuma | 14 |
| 3 | F. Lejeune | 17 | H. Duro | 10 |
| 4 | Á. García | 13 | D. Otorbi | 8 |
| 5 | G. Tsitaishvili | 12 | J. Gayà | 6 |
| # | Rayo | Shots on target | Valencia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 14 | A. Danjuma | 6 |
| 2 | J. Frutos | 6 | U. Sadiq | 5 |
| 3 | P. Díaz | 5 | J. Guerra | 3 |
| 4 | U. López | 4 | A. Cueva | 2 |
| 5 | Á. García | 4 | J. Gayà | 2 |
| # | Rayo | Goals | Valencia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Camello | 7 | U. Sadiq | 2 |
| 2 | J. Frutos | 2 | Pepelu | 1 |
| 3 | Á. García | 2 | D. Raba | 1 |
| 4 | U. López | 1 | D. Otorbi | 1 |
| 5 | A. Pedrosa | 1 | A. Cueva | 1 |
| # | Rayo | Yellow cards | Valencia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Ciss | 5 | G. Rodríguez | 4 |
| 2 | Gnangoro | 3 | P. Maffeo | 4 |
| 3 | S. Camello | 3 | Pepelu | 3 |
| 4 | G. Tsitaishvili | 2 | D. Raba | 3 |
| 5 | U. López | 2 | J. Guerra | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Rayo vs Valencia: Pedro Díaz 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.33); Florian Lejeune 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 1.66 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 14 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 17 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 8 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 7 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 10 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.9 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 428 | 13 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 9 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 | 19 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 9.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 19 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 6 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 13 of 20 |
| Passes | 392.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 15 of 20 |