Burnley host Derby at Turf Moor, Burnley on 19 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Burnley's last five results: L D L D L (2 draws and 3 losses). Derby's last five: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). In their last 3 meetings, Burnley have won 1, Derby 0, with 2 draws.
Burnley vs Derby kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 19 September 2026 in the Championship, at Turf Moor, Burnley.
Burnley vs Derby is being played at Turf Moor in Burnley, the home ground of Burnley.
Burnley's last five results read L D L D L (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Derby's last five results read L W L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Across the last 3 meetings Burnley have won 1, Derby have won 0 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Burnley 2-1 Derby County on 26 August 2025 in the Carabao Cup.
Lucas Pires leads Burnley with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Sondre Langås leads Derby with 5 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Stephen Martin is the referee for Burnley vs Derby, averaging 24.0 fouls and 4.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Burnley and Derby are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Burnley the favourite with a 53% chance of winning, against 22% for Derby and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Burnley 1.8 - 1.1 Derby.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 55%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | Carabao Cup | Burnley vs Derby County | 2-1 |
| 8 Apr 2025 | Championship | Derby County vs Burnley | 0-0 |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Championship | Burnley vs Derby County | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Burnley 1.8 - 1.1 Derby in goals. It gives Burnley a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Derby 22%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 55%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Burnley win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Burnley win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Burnley win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Burnley vs Derby, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Burnley | Fouls committed | Derby | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hannibal | 14 | C. Morris | 13 |
| 2 | J. Laurent | 10 | S. Langås | 10 |
| 3 | Z. Amdouni | 9 | L. Salvesen | 10 |
| 4 | K. Walker | 7 | L. Travis | 9 |
| 5 | L. Pires | 7 | A. Mowatt | 9 |
| # | Burnley | Shots | Derby | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Amdouni | 19 | B. Clark | 15 |
| 2 | L. Ramazani | 8 | L. Salvesen | 13 |
| 3 | U. Raghouber | 7 | C. Morris | 11 |
| 4 | J. Laurent | 7 | O. Fraulo | 7 |
| 5 | Hannibal | 6 | M. Johnston | 6 |
| # | Burnley | Shots on target | Derby | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Amdouni | 5 | L. Salvesen | 6 |
| 2 | L. Pires | 3 | C. Morris | 5 |
| 3 | J. Laurent | 3 | J. Ward | 4 |
| 4 | D. Satpaev | 3 | O. Fraulo | 3 |
| 5 | A. Hountondji | 3 | B. Clark | 3 |
| # | Burnley | Goals | Derby | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Ramazani | 1 | B. Clark | 2 |
| 2 | Z. Amdouni | 1 | D. Ozoh | 1 |
| 3 | U. Raghouber | 1 | S. Langås | 1 |
| 4 | J. Laurent | 1 | O. Fraulo | 1 |
| 5 | L. Salvesen | 1 |
| # | Burnley | Yellow cards | Derby | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Pires | 3 | S. Langås | 5 |
| 2 | Hannibal | 3 | L. Travis | 3 |
| 3 | A. Barnes | 1 | M. Clarke | 2 |
| 4 | R. Hatate | 1 | M. Fuseini | 2 |
| 5 | K. Walker | 1 | A. Mowatt | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Burnley vs Derby: Alex Mowatt 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.57); Eiran Cashin 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.70); Carlton Morris 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.67); Bobby Clark 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.13). Combined odds 5.55 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 19 of 24 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 24 of 24 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 10 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 16 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 14 of 24 |
| Tackles | 12.6 | 22 of 24 |
| Passes | 459.4 | 8 of 24 |
| Corners | 5 | 15 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 23 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 20 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 19 of 24 |
| Fouls | 13 | 3 of 24 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 16 of 24 |
| Passes | 392.6 | 14 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 3 of 24 |