Vejle Boldklub xG 2025/2026

Vejle Boldklub expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 32
Expected goals (xG): 36.35
Goals scored: 36
Goals minus xG: -0.35
Expected goals against (xGA): 53.81
Goals conceded: 60
xGA minus goals conceded: -6.19
Expected points (xPts): 33.93
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -9.93
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Vejle Boldklub overperforming their expected goals?

Vejle Boldklub have taken 9.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 32 games: -0.4 goals against their xG, and -6.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Vejle Boldklub results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	32	36.35	36	-0.35	53.81	60	-6.19	33.93	24	-9.93
Last 10	10	11.33	10	-1.33	18.71	15	+3.71	9.85	10	+0.15
Last 5	5	5.62	4	-1.62	9.41	6	+3.41	5.21	6	+0.79
Home	16	21.01	22	+0.99	23.76	26	-2.24	20.43	16	-4.43
Away	16	15.34	14	-1.34	30.05	34	-3.95	13.50	8	-5.50

Vejle Boldklub expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 May	Superliga	Odense BK (A)	0-1	1.07	1.21	1.25	3	L
10 May	Superliga	Fredericia (H)	2-0	1.97	1.12	1.93	3	W
3 May	Superliga	Randers FC (A)	1-0	0.64	2.48	0.37	0	L
27 Apr	Superliga	Copenhagen (A)	3-0	0.19	3.14	0.09	0	L
22 Apr	Superliga	Silkeborg (H)	1-2	1.75	1.46	1.57	0	W
19 Apr	Superliga	Copenhagen (H)	1-4	1.08	2.60	0.57	0	L
13 Apr	Superliga	Fredericia (A)	2-2	1.43	1.96	1.06	1	L
6 Apr	Superliga	Randers FC (H)	1-1	1.54	1.63	1.33	1	L
20 Mar	Superliga	Odense BK (H)	1-1	0.52	1.33	0.72	1	L
16 Mar	Superliga	Silkeborg (A)	1-1	1.14	1.78	0.96	1	L
1 Mar	Superliga	AGF (H)	1-2	1.16	1.67	1.03	0	L
20 Feb	Superliga	Nordsjælland (A)	3-3	1.39	1.89	1.07	1	L
13 Feb	Superliga	Randers FC (A)	2-0	1.54	1.50	1.40	0	W
9 Feb	Superliga	Fredericia (H)	2-3	3.00	2.22	1.79	0	W
8 Dec	Superliga	Brøndby IF (H)	2-1	1.31	1.24	1.42	3	W
30 Nov	Superliga	Odense BK (A)	3-0	0.86	1.76	0.78	0	L
23 Nov	Superliga	Viborg FF (A)	5-2	1.18	1.73	1.02	0	L
9 Nov	Superliga	Copenhagen (H)	2-0	1.15	1.10	1.39	3	W
2 Nov	Superliga	Sønderjyske (A)	2-1	0.14	2.42	0.15	0	L
26 Oct	Superliga	Silkeborg (H)	1-2	1.04	1.24	1.21	0	L
19 Oct	Superliga	Midtjylland (A)	5-1	0.66	2.13	0.49	0	L
5 Oct	Superliga	Nordsjælland (H)	0-3	1.01	2.79	0.47	0	L
28 Sep	Superliga	Silkeborg (A)	1-1	0.73	1.06	1.07	1	L
21 Sep	Superliga	Sønderjyske (H)	2-2	1.90	0.95	2.01	1	W
15 Sep	Superliga	Fredericia (A)	1-1	1.80	2.14	1.20	1	L
29 Aug	Superliga	Viborg FF (H)	1-2	0.56	1.78	0.55	0	L
24 Aug	Superliga	AGF (A)	1-0	0.55	1.80	0.54	0	L
17 Aug	Superliga	Midtjylland (H)	0-2	1.23	1.52	1.18	0	L
10 Aug	Superliga	Brøndby IF (A)	2-1	0.87	1.77	0.78	0	L
1 Aug	Superliga	Odense BK (H)	4-0	0.82	0.33	1.76	3	W

Vejle Boldklub players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Mikkel Duelund	attacker	25	1564	5.31	8	+2.69	0.31
Christian Gammelgaard	attacker	32	2351	6.59	8	+1.41	0.25
Stefan Velkov	defender	20	1799	2.64	4	+1.36	0.13
Anders Jacobsen	attacker	8	369	0.92	2	+1.08	0.22
Giorgi Tabatadze	defender	11	297	0.21	1	+0.79	0.06
Lasse Flø	defender	28	1730	0.48	1	+0.52	0.03
Wahid Faghir	attacker	15	430	1.70	2	+0.30	0.36
Andrew Hjulsager	midfielder	24	1585	1.90	2	+0.10	0.11
Jelle Duin	attacker	6	212	0.98	1	+0.02	0.42
Abdoulaye Camara	attacker	19	640	1.44	1	-0.44	0.20
Thomas Gundelund	defender	29	2417	0.51	0	-0.51	0.02
Amin Chiakha	attacker	14	978	2.52	2	-0.52	0.23
Bismark Edjeodji	attacker	24	876	1.59	1	-0.59	0.16
Tobias Lauritsen	midfielder	15	922	0.60	0	-0.60	0.06
Mike Vestergård	midfielder	31	2513	0.61	0	-0.61	0.02
Mads Enggård	midfielder	25	1495	0.79	0	-0.79	0.05
T. Bach	attacker	20	1548	4.00	3	-1.00	0.23
Christian Sørensen	defender	25	2028	1.05	0	-1.05	0.05
Lasse Nielsen	defender	27	2403	1.68	0	-1.68	0.06

Superliga 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	FC Midtjylland	32	53.9	72	46.7	36	48.9	60	+11.1
2	AGF	32	61.3	62	37.8	32	57.9	67	+9.1
3	Silkeborg IF	32	39.2	41	63.8	67	30.7	36	+5.3
4	Nordsjælland	32	49.3	51	47.4	46	45.6	50	+4.4
5	Fredericia	32	42.9	45	70.2	68	30.7	34	+3.3
6	Sønderjyske Fodbold	32	47.1	44	50.5	49	43.3	44	+0.7
7	Viborg FF	32	50.4	49	50.9	51	44.3	44	-0.3
8	Brøndby IF	32	51.2	44	44	35	48.1	45	-3.1
9	Odense BK	32	49.3	51	47.3	60	45.7	41	-4.7
10	FC København	32	67.5	67	41.1	44	57.1	51	-6.1
11	Vejle Boldklub	32	36.3	36	53.8	60	33.9	24	-9.9
12	Randers FC	32	47.9	33	42.8	47	47.2	35	-12.2