Port Vale xG 2026/2027

Port Vale xG Questions

Are Port Vale overperforming their xG?

No, Port Vale have taken 8 points over their last 8 League Two games, 4.42 fewer than the 12.42 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Port Vale's xG per game?

Port Vale create 1.34 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 League Two games, 10.68 in all, and have scored 4 goals from those chances, 6.68 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Port Vale's xGA per game?

Port Vale allow 0.96 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 League Two games, 7.68 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 1.32 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Port Vale?

George Byers has the most expected goals (xG) for Port Vale over their last 8 League Two games, 1.76 xG in 5 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Oliver Lynch is next with 1.29 xG.

Port Vale expected goals 2026/2027: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 10.68
Goals scored: 4
Goals minus xG: -6.68
Expected goals against (xGA): 7.68
Goals conceded: 9
xGA minus goals conceded: -1.32
Expected points (xPts): 12.42
Points: 8
Points minus xPts: -4.42
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Port Vale overperforming their expected goals?

Port Vale have taken 4.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: -6.7 goals against their xG, and -1.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Chesterfield expected goals

Games: 10
Chesterfield xG per game: 2.20
Chesterfield xGA per game: 1.22
Points minus xPts: -4.62
Verdict: Due an upturn

Port Vale results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	10.68	4	-6.68	7.68	9	-1.32	12.42	8	-4.42
Last 5	5	7.40	3	-4.40	4.42	6	-1.58	8.37	6	-2.37
Home	4	7.79	3	-4.79	3.16	1	+2.16	8.21	8	-0.21
Away	4	2.89	1	-1.89	4.52	8	-3.48	4.21	0	-4.21

Port Vale expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
10 Oct	League Two	Grimsby (H)	1-0	3.08	0.67	2.62	3	W
19 Sep	League Two	Walsall (A)	2-0	0.49	1.36	0.68	0	L
12 Sep	League Two	Exeter City (H)	1-0	2.07	0.55	2.37	3	W
5 Sep	League Two	Salford (A)	1-0	0.78	0.37	1.68	0	W
1 Sep	League Two	Swindon (A)	3-1	0.98	1.47	1.02	0	L
29 Aug	League Two	Crewe (H)	0-0	0.99	1.25	1.17	1	L
22 Aug	League Two	Tranmere (H)	1-1	1.65	0.69	2.05	1	W
15 Aug	League Two	Oldham (A)	2-0	0.64	1.32	0.83	0	L

Port Vale players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
K. Dempsey	midfielder	8	685	0.48	1	+0.52	0.06
George Byers	midfielder	5	248	1.76	2	+0.24	0.64
Oliver Lynch	attacker	8	556	1.29	1	-0.29	0.21
Jaheim Headley	defender	7	447	0.52	0	-0.52	0.10
Onel Lázaro Hernández Mayea	attacker	8	397	0.62	0	-0.62	0.14
Ben Garrity	midfielder	7	474	0.90	0	-0.90	0.17
George Hall	midfielder	7	392	1.07	0	-1.07	0.24

League Two 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Barnet	8	15.1	20	11.9	11	12.9	18	+5.1
2	Rochdale	10	9.1	11	15.7	12	9.4	14	+4.6
3	Cheltenham Town	10	11.5	16	17	16	10.5	15	+4.5
4	Crewe Alexandra	10	13.2	12	12.8	7	13.8	18	+4.2
5	Salford City	10	12.9	15	11.1	10	14.9	19	+4.1
6	Gillingham	10	12.3	15	14.4	10	12.8	16	+3.2
7	Swindon Town	10	9.9	9	18	14	9	11	+2
8	Walsall	9	15.2	12	13.6	6	13.5	15	+1.5
9	Fleetwood Town	10	12	10	16.8	11	11.1	11	-0.1
10	Tranmere Rovers	10	13.2	13	16	13	12.2	12	-0.2
11	Newport County	10	12.3	13	12.9	12	14.1	13	-1.1
12	York City	9	17.3	17	11.7	11	16.2	15	-1.2
13	Colchester United	9	12.8	10	15.2	13	11.2	10	-1.2
14	Bristol Rovers	10	18.4	15	12.9	17	16.4	15	-1.4
15	Exeter City	10	11.7	6	12.2	6	13.4	12	-1.4
16	Northampton Town	8	6.1	4	8.7	7	9.2	7	-2.2
17	Shrewsbury Town	10	11.7	9	11.2	15	14.1	11	-3.1
18	Accrington Stanley	10	15.4	13	14.9	14	14.4	11	-3.4
19	Grimsby Town	10	18.2	13	13.1	11	17.2	13	-4.2
20	Port Vale	8	10.7	4	7.7	9	12.4	8	-4.4
21	Crawley Town	8	12.6	8	16.6	15	9.5	5	-4.5
22	Chesterfield	10	22	17	12.2	14	19.6	15	-4.6
23	Rotherham United	10	14.6	12	12.8	16	14.6	10	-4.6
24	Oldham Athletic	9	12.5	9	11.5	13	12.7	8	-4.7

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