Yes, Pogoń Szczecin have taken 24 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 8.17 more than the 15.83 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Pogoń Szczecin create 1.54 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 16.95 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 2.05 more than that xG would expect.
Pogoń Szczecin allow 1.46 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 16.07 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 7.07 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Paul Mukairu has the most expected goals (xG) for Pogoń Szczecin over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 0.90 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Kamil Grosicki is next with 0.71 xG.
Pogoń Szczecin have taken 8.2 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: +2.1 goals against their xG, and +7.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 16.95 | 19 | +2.05 | 16.07 | 9 | +7.07 | 15.83 | 24 | +8.17 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.66 | 19 | +3.34 | 13.29 | 8 | +5.29 | 15.20 | 24 | +8.80 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.33 | 11 | +3.67 | 6.37 | 4 | +2.37 | 7.51 | 15 | +7.49 |
| Home | 7 | 12.11 | 14 | +1.89 | 11.03 | 8 | +3.03 | 10.54 | 14 | +3.46 |
| Away | 4 | 4.84 | 5 | +0.16 | 5.04 | 1 | +4.04 | 5.29 | 10 | +4.71 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (H) | 4-3 | 1.26 | 1.97 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Katowice (A) | 0-1 | 1.62 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce (H) | 2-0 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.40 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (A) | 1-2 | 1.20 | 1.06 | 1.47 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta Kraków (H) | 2-0 | 2.18 | 1.18 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Płock (H) | 1-1 | 2.02 | 2.16 | 1.32 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Zagłębie Lubin (A) | 0-0 | 0.66 | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (H) | 2-2 | 1.66 | 0.75 | 2.02 | 1 | W |
| 8 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (H) | 3-1 | 2.63 | 1.18 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 3 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Kraków (A) | 0-2 | 1.36 | 1.81 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 24 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (H) | 0-1 | 1.29 | 2.78 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi Sánchez | attacker | 5 | 430 | 0.41 | 3 | +2.59 | 0.08 |
| Darko Churlinov | attacker | 10 | 681 | 0.46 | 3 | +2.54 | 0.06 |
| Kamil Grosicki | attacker | 6 | 136 | 0.71 | 2 | +1.29 | 0.47 |
| Paul Mukairu | attacker | 11 | 937 | 0.90 | 2 | +1.10 | 0.09 |
| Kellyn Acosta | midfielder | 11 | 438 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Léo Borges | defender | 5 | 426 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Musa Juwara | attacker | 8 | 252 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Linus Wahlqvist | defender | 4 | 286 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Attila Szalai | defender | 10 | 637 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jan Bieganski | midfielder | 8 | 390 | 0.04 | 1 | +0.96 | 0.01 |
| Maciej Wojciechowski | midfielder | 10 | 737 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.04 |
| Alessandro Pio Riccio | defender | 5 | 413 | 0.34 | 1 | +0.66 | 0.07 |
| Dimitrios Keramitsis | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.05 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 11 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 15.8 | 24 | +8.2 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 11 | 21.4 | 29 | 11.5 | 10 | 20.4 | 28 | +7.6 |
| 3 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 17.1 | 22 | 23.4 | 18 | 13.7 | 20 | +6.3 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 12 | 22.5 | 21 | 11.7 | 11 | 23.1 | 27 | +3.9 |
| 5 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 20.4 | 23 | 15.7 | 11 | 19.3 | 23 | +3.7 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 16.1 | 14 | 18.4 | 18 | 14.6 | 18 | +3.4 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 12 | 16.6 | 15 | 17.8 | 15 | 15.9 | 19 | +3.1 |
| 8 | Wisła Płock | 11 | 14.3 | 10 | 18.6 | 16 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 9 | Katowice | 12 | 20.5 | 22 | 20.3 | 17 | 16.8 | 18 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 11 | 17.3 | 14 | 18.5 | 17 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 12 | 23.1 | 19 | 15.7 | 15 | 20.4 | 21 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Śląsk Wrocław | 12 | 16.7 | 16 | 24.7 | 22 | 13.1 | 9 | -4.1 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 17.8 | 15 | 18.7 | 16 | 16 | 11 | -5 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 22.2 | 17 | 18.5 | 21 | 18.1 | 13 | -5.1 |
| 15 | Cracovia Kraków | 12 | 20.5 | 14 | 17.9 | 19 | 17.6 | 12 | -5.6 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 17.8 | 12 | 24.2 | 28 | 13.6 | 8 | -5.6 |
| 17 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 19.7 | 16 | 28.5 | 28 | 13.1 | 6 | -7.1 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 19.4 | 16 | 20.3 | 23 | 16.5 | 8 | -8.5 |