No, Motor Lublin have taken 12 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 4.21 fewer than the 16.21 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Motor Lublin create 1.92 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 21.16 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 6.16 fewer than that xG would expect.
Motor Lublin allow 1.61 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 17.66 in all, and have conceded 19 goals from those chances, 1.34 more than that xGA would expect.
Karol Czubak has the most expected goals (xG) for Motor Lublin over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 2.88 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Christopher Simon is next with 1.79 xG.
Motor Lublin have taken 4.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 11 games: -6.2 goals against their xG, and -1.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 21.16 | 15 | -6.16 | 17.66 | 19 | -1.34 | 16.21 | 12 | -4.21 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 20.05 | 13 | -7.05 | 15.09 | 17 | -1.91 | 15.61 | 11 | -4.61 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.16 | 9 | -3.16 | 6.80 | 9 | -2.20 | 8.89 | 7 | -1.89 |
| Home | 6 | 13.12 | 7 | -6.12 | 9.28 | 9 | +0.28 | 9.43 | 7 | -2.43 |
| Away | 5 | 8.04 | 8 | -0.04 | 8.38 | 10 | -1.62 | 6.78 | 5 | -1.78 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (H) | 3-2 | 4.96 | 0.92 | 2.66 | 3 | W |
| 12 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (A) | 2-3 | 2.88 | 1.14 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Górnik Zabrze (H) | 0-0 | 0.63 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 11 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Raków (A) | 2-1 | 1.97 | 1.03 | 1.99 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (H) | 2-3 | 1.72 | 2.76 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (H) | 0-2 | 0.97 | 2.38 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce (A) | 1-1 | 0.90 | 1.01 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Katowice (H) | 1-0 | 2.13 | 1.17 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Pogoń Szczecin (A) | 3-1 | 1.18 | 2.63 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 31 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia (H) | 1-2 | 2.71 | 1.10 | 2.29 | 0 | W |
| 26 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz (A) | 2-2 | 1.11 | 2.57 | 0.60 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Czubak | attacker | 11 | 990 | 2.88 | 6 | +3.12 | 0.26 |
| Makan Aïko | attacker | 11 | 442 | 0.17 | 2 | +1.83 | 0.03 |
| Mbaye Ndiaye | attacker | 11 | 949 | 0.62 | 2 | +1.38 | 0.06 |
| Kamil Lukoszek | attacker | 9 | 482 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.04 |
| Christopher Simon | midfielder | 11 | 715 | 1.79 | 2 | +0.21 | 0.22 |
| Yacine Bourhane | midfielder | 9 | 707 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.10 |
| Marek Bartos | defender | 10 | 761 | 0.60 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.07 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |