Yes, Zagłębie Lubin have taken 18 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 2.90 more than the 15.10 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Zagłębie Lubin create 1.44 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 15.81 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 2.81 fewer than that xG would expect.
Zagłębie Lubin allow 1.47 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 16.19 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 3.19 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Sebastian Kerk has the most expected goals (xG) for Zagłębie Lubin over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 0.93 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Marcel Regula is next with 0.72 xG.
Zagłębie Lubin have taken 2.9 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: -2.8 goals against their xG, and +3.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 15.81 | 13 | -2.81 | 16.19 | 13 | +3.19 | 15.10 | 18 | +2.90 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.90 | 11 | -3.90 | 15.40 | 13 | +2.40 | 13.67 | 15 | +1.33 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.55 | 7 | -1.55 | 9.43 | 8 | +1.43 | 6.48 | 9 | +2.52 |
| Home | 6 | 8.80 | 7 | -1.80 | 7.02 | 4 | +3.02 | 9.35 | 13 | +3.65 |
| Away | 5 | 7.01 | 6 | -1.01 | 9.17 | 9 | +0.17 | 5.75 | 5 | -0.75 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia (H) | 1-0 | 2.10 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Kraków (A) | 3-1 | 1.15 | 2.21 | 0.76 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Płock (H) | 0-2 | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.36 | 0 | L |
| 15 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Raków (A) | 2-3 | 1.52 | 2.58 | 0.82 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Katowice (H) | 2-1 | 2.29 | 1.36 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta Kraków (A) | 1-1 | 1.76 | 1.46 | 1.58 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Pogoń Szczecin (H) | 0-0 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (A) | 0-0 | 1.17 | 0.85 | 1.60 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (H) | 2-1 | 0.99 | 0.93 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (A) | 3-1 | 1.41 | 2.07 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 27 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (H) | 2-0 | 0.91 | 0.79 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleks Lawniczak | defender | 11 | 982 | 0.45 | 2 | +1.55 | 0.04 |
| Marcel Regula | midfielder | 11 | 982 | 0.72 | 2 | +1.28 | 0.07 |
| Damian Michalski | defender | 11 | 513 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Michalis Kosidis | attacker | 7 | 256 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Levente Szabó | attacker | 3 | 111 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Kamil Nowogoński | midfielder | 5 | 207 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Josip Corluka | midfielder | 8 | 551 | 0.02 | 1 | +0.98 | 0.00 |
| Jakub Sypek | midfielder | 9 | 366 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.03 |
| Michal Nalepa | defender | 9 | 810 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.01 |
| Filip Kocaba | midfielder | 11 | 980 | 0.14 | 1 | +0.86 | 0.01 |
| Sebastian Kerk | midfielder | 10 | 484 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.17 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |