No, Widzew Lodz have taken 10 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 5.42 fewer than the 15.42 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Widzew Lodz create 1.55 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 17.10 in all, and have scored 14 goals from those chances, 3.10 fewer than that xG would expect.
Widzew Lodz allow 1.53 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 16.85 in all, and have conceded 15 goals from those chances, 1.85 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Karol Świderski has the most expected goals (xG) for Widzew Lodz over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 0.84 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Mariusz Fornalczyk is next with 0.24 xG.
Widzew Lodz have taken 5.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 11 games: -3.1 goals against their xG, and +1.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 17.10 | 14 | -3.10 | 16.85 | 15 | +1.85 | 15.42 | 10 | -5.42 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.53 | 12 | -2.53 | 15.74 | 13 | +2.74 | 13.19 | 9 | -4.19 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.85 | 4 | -2.85 | 9.04 | 5 | +4.04 | 5.73 | 4 | -1.73 |
| Home | 6 | 8.96 | 7 | -1.96 | 10.08 | 9 | +1.08 | 7.63 | 4 | -3.63 |
| Away | 5 | 8.14 | 7 | -1.14 | 6.77 | 6 | +0.77 | 7.79 | 6 | -1.79 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (H) | 0-0 | 0.48 | 2.55 | 0.28 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (A) | 2-1 | 2.09 | 1.63 | 1.67 | 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta Kraków (H) | 2-2 | 1.16 | 1.57 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (A) | 1-1 | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (H) | 0-0 | 1.64 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznań (H) | 2-3 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (A) | 3-3 | 1.61 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce (H) | 1-2 | 2.21 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 0 | W |
| 9 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia (A) | 0-2 | 1.37 | 1.09 | 1.57 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Płock (A) | 0-0 | 1.59 | 1.29 | 1.57 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (H) | 2-2 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario García | defender | 9 | 738 | 0.02 | 2 | +1.98 | 0.00 |
| Sebastian Bergier | attacker | 10 | 502 | 0.04 | 2 | +1.96 | 0.01 |
| Fran Álvarez | midfielder | 11 | 859 | 0.05 | 2 | +1.95 | 0.00 |
| Mariusz Fornalczyk | attacker | 11 | 753 | 0.24 | 2 | +1.76 | 0.03 |
| Karol Świderski | attacker | 11 | 748 | 0.84 | 2 | +1.16 | 0.10 |
| Ángel Baena | attacker | 6 | 315 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Steve Kapuadi | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 4 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań | 9 | 18.2 | 21 | 8.8 | 8 | 17.4 | 22 | +4.6 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 13.8 | 12 | 15.1 | 12 | 12.6 | 15 | +2.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.1 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |