No, Korona Kielce have taken 15 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, within 1.41 of the 13.59 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Korona Kielce create 1.36 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 15.01 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 2.01 fewer than that xG would expect.
Korona Kielce allow 1.53 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 16.86 in all, and have conceded 18 goals from those chances, 1.14 more than that xGA would expect.
Mariusz Stepinski has the most expected goals (xG) for Korona Kielce over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 0.56 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Morgan Faßbender is next with 0.33 xG.
Korona Kielce's results and their chances agree, within 1.4 points of xPts over 11 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 15.01 | 13 | -2.01 | 16.86 | 18 | -1.14 | 13.59 | 15 | +1.41 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.11 | 13 | -1.11 | 15.54 | 17 | -1.46 | 12.54 | 15 | +2.46 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.87 | 6 | -1.87 | 7.93 | 13 | -5.07 | 6.48 | 6 | -0.48 |
| Home | 5 | 6.71 | 6 | -0.71 | 6.98 | 7 | -0.02 | 6.33 | 6 | -0.33 |
| Away | 6 | 8.30 | 7 | -1.30 | 9.88 | 11 | -1.12 | 7.26 | 9 | +1.74 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznań (A) | 6-1 | 1.22 | 1.75 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Pogoń Szczecin (A) | 2-0 | 1.01 | 1.07 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Raków (H) | 3-2 | 3.55 | 2.09 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 15 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Górnik Zabrze (H) | 0-2 | 0.08 | 1.73 | 0.23 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (A) | 1-2 | 2.01 | 1.29 | 1.84 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (H) | 1-1 | 0.96 | 1.44 | 1.02 | 1 | L |
| 28 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Płock (A) | 0-2 | 1.47 | 2.24 | 0.94 | 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (H) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 0.90 | 1.43 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz (A) | 1-2 | 1.69 | 2.21 | 1.10 | 3 | L |
| 8 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (H) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 0.82 | 1.57 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia (A) | 1-0 | 0.90 | 1.32 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariusz Stepinski | attacker | 11 | 828 | 0.56 | 6 | +5.44 | 0.06 |
| Morgan Faßbender | attacker | 11 | 524 | 0.33 | 3 | +2.67 | 0.06 |
| Camilo Mena | attacker | 5 | 301 | 0.20 | 2 | +1.80 | 0.06 |
| Simon Gustafson | midfielder | 6 | 230 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Ondrej Lingr | midfielder | 6 | 389 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.02 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |