Updated 30 October 2026.
Millwall host Derby at The Den, London on 31 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Millwall's last five results: D W L D L (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Derby's last five: D D L L D (3 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Millwall have won 3, Derby 0, with 3 draws.
Millwall vs Derby kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 in the Championship, at The Den, London. The Den holds 20,146 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Millwall vs Derby is being played at The Den in London on Saturday 31 October 2026, the home ground of Millwall, which holds 20,146 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Championship.
Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7, with results reading D W L D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Portsmouth in the Championship on 24 October.
Derby have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8, with results reading D D L L D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-1 draw away to Sheff Utd in the Championship on 24 October.
Across the last 6 meetings Millwall have won 3, Derby have won 0 and 3 were drawn, with Millwall scoring 7 goals to Derby's 4. The most recent was Millwall 1-0 Derby County on 10 March 2026 in the Championship.
Lyndon Dykes leads Millwall with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Millwall player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Millwall player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
David Ozoh leads Derby with 16 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.6 a game, the most of any Derby player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Derby player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Anthony Backhouse is the referee for Millwall vs Derby, averaging 20.0 fouls and 4.2 yellow cards per game across 5 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Millwall vs Derby with 11 starters a side: Millwall line up 4-2-3-1 and Derby 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 31 October 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Millwall the favourite with a 56% chance of winning, against 20% for Derby and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Millwall 1.9 - 1.0 Derby.
The most likely score in Millwall vs Derby is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Millwall vs Derby, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | Championship | Millwall vs Derby County | 1-0 |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Championship | Derby County vs Millwall | 1-1 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Championship | Derby County vs Millwall | 0-1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Championship | Millwall vs Derby County | 1-1 |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Championship | Derby County vs Millwall | 1-2 |
| 6 Nov 2021 | Championship | Millwall vs Derby County | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Millwall 1.9 - 1.0 Derby in goals. It gives Millwall a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Derby 20%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 79% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Millwall win | 10% |
| 2-0 | Millwall win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Millwall win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Millwall vs Derby, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Millwall | Fouls committed | Derby | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Cooper | 18 | D. Ozoh | 16 |
| 2 | Z. Sturge | 17 | H. Meister | 16 |
| 3 | D. Mazou-Sacko | 17 | C. Taylor | 10 |
| 4 | J. Metcalfe | 16 | A. Mowatt | 9 |
| 5 | L. Dykes | 13 | L. Salvesen | 8 |
| # | Millwall | Shots | Derby | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Dykes | 17 | S. Szmodics | 24 |
| 2 | C. Neghli | 16 | B. Clark | 22 |
| 3 | K. Lisbie | 14 | L. Salvesen | 15 |
| 4 | T. Arconte | 12 | M. Fuseini | 9 |
| 5 | C. Taylor | 10 | H. Meister | 9 |
| # | Millwall | Shots on target | Derby | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Neghli | 6 | S. Szmodics | 7 |
| 2 | L. Dykes | 6 | B. Clark | 7 |
| 3 | M. Sykes | 4 | L. Salvesen | 5 |
| 4 | K. Lisbie | 4 | H. Meister | 3 |
| 5 | T. Arconte | 3 | R. Hedges | 3 |
| # | Millwall | Goals | Derby | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Dykes | 4 | B. Clark | 2 |
| 2 | C. Neghli | 3 | L. Salvesen | 2 |
| 3 | C. Taylor | 2 | S. Szmodics | 2 |
| 4 | J. Metcalfe | 1 | M. Fuseini | 1 |
| 5 | J. Cooper | 1 |
| # | Millwall | Yellow cards | Derby | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Sturge | 3 | D. Ozoh | 3 |
| 2 | D. Mazou-Sacko | 3 | S. Langås | 3 |
| 3 | T. Crama | 2 | D. Sanderson | 2 |
| 4 | K. Lisbie | 2 | A. Mowatt | 2 |
| 5 | L. Dykes | 2 | M. Fuseini | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Millwall vs Derby: Bobby Clark 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.14); Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.62); Jake Cooper 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.44); David Ozoh 2+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.70). Combined odds 3.72 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 13 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots | 13.8 | 9 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 15 of 24 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 6 of 24 |
| Tackles | 13.8 | 20 of 24 |
| Passes | 347.7 | 20 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 8 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 | 22 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 20 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 15 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 18 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 2 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 5 of 24 |
| Passes | 386.3 | 15 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 9 of 24 |