No, Getafe have taken 25 points over their last 20 La Liga games, within 2.43 of the 22.57 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Getafe create 0.88 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 La Liga games, 17.65 in all, and have scored 14 goals from those chances, 3.65 fewer than that xG would expect.
Getafe allow 1.28 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 La Liga games, 25.68 in all, and have conceded 20 goals from those chances, 5.68 fewer than that xGA would expect.
MartÃn Satriano has the most expected goals (xG) for Getafe over their last 20 La Liga games, 4.61 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Mauro Arambarri is next with 1.89 xG.
Getafe's results and their chances agree, within 2.4 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 17.65 | 14 | -3.65 | 25.68 | 20 | +5.68 | 22.57 | 25 | +2.43 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.09 | 6 | -2.09 | 14.12 | 11 | +3.12 | 9.84 | 12 | +2.16 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.01 | 3 | -1.01 | 7.83 | 6 | +1.83 | 4.69 | 5 | +0.31 |
| Home | 10 | 11.14 | 11 | -0.14 | 9.60 | 8 | +1.60 | 14.75 | 18 | +3.25 |
| Away | 10 | 6.51 | 3 | -3.51 | 16.08 | 12 | +4.08 | 7.82 | 7 | -0.82 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | La Liga | Rayo (H) | 1-1 | 0.96 | 1.81 | 0.82 | 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | La Liga | Barcelona (A) | 3-0 | 0.17 | 2.23 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | La Liga | Málaga (H) | 1-0 | 1.26 | 0.82 | 1.69 | 3 | W |
| 17 Sep | La Liga | Betis (A) | 1-0 | 0.47 | 2.18 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | La Liga | Deportivo (H) | 1-1 | 1.15 | 0.79 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 7 Sep | La Liga | Celta (H) | 1-1 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | La Liga | Osasuna (A) | 1-0 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.19 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | La Liga | Racing (H) | 1-0 | 1.05 | 1.21 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | La Liga | Alaves (A) | 3-0 | 0.34 | 1.74 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | La Liga | Osasuna (H) | 1-0 | 0.35 | 0.46 | 1.13 | 3 | D |
| 17 May | La Liga | Elche (A) | 1-0 | 0.16 | 0.56 | 0.79 | 0 | D |
| 13 May | La Liga | Mallorca (H) | 3-1 | 1.46 | 0.46 | 2.13 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | La Liga | Oviedo (A) | 0-0 | 1.54 | 0.51 | 2.14 | 1 | W |
| 3 May | La Liga | Rayo (H) | 0-2 | 1.47 | 0.84 | 1.83 | 0 | W |
| 25 Apr | La Liga | Barcelona (H) | 0-2 | 0.80 | 1.41 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | La Liga | Sociedad (A) | 0-1 | 0.12 | 1.74 | 0.25 | 3 | L |
| 13 Apr | La Liga | Levante (A) | 1-0 | 0.35 | 2.86 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | La Liga | Athletic Club (H) | 2-0 | 1.54 | 0.44 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | La Liga | Espanyol (A) | 1-2 | 1.23 | 1.13 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | La Liga | Atlético (A) | 1-0 | 0.89 | 1.61 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domingos Duarte | defender | 10 | 875 | 0.13 | 1 | +0.87 | 0.01 |
| Luis Milla | midfielder | 11 | 979 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.04 |
| Zaid Romero | defender | 15 | 1274 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.04 |
| MartÃn Satriano | attacker | 19 | 1562 | 4.61 | 5 | +0.39 | 0.27 |
| Iván Azón | attacker | 5 | 337 | 0.86 | 1 | +0.14 | 0.23 |
| Enes Ünal | attacker | 8 | 625 | 1.38 | 1 | -0.38 | 0.20 |
| Ramón Terrats | midfielder | 8 | 656 | 1.48 | 1 | -0.48 | 0.20 |
| Luis Vázquez | attacker | 10 | 649 | 1.67 | 1 | -0.67 | 0.23 |
| Mauro Arambarri | midfielder | 10 | 869 | 1.89 | 1 | -0.89 | 0.20 |
| Mario MartÃn | midfielder | 16 | 1067 | 1.57 | 0 | -1.57 | 0.13 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis | 9 | 14.9 | 16 | 15.2 | 14 | 12.4 | 19 | +6.6 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 11.4 | 17 | 16.1 | 17 | 9.9 | 16 | +6.1 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 15.5 | 19 | 9.1 | 8 | 16.4 | 22 | +5.6 |
| 4 | FC Barcelona | 9 | 30.3 | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 27 | +5 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 9 | 19.7 | 23 | 10.6 | 9 | 17.6 | 21 | +3.4 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 11.7 | 14 | 13.8 | 16 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Celta de Vigo | 9 | 8.2 | 10 | 11.1 | 7 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| 8 | Getafe | 9 | 7.7 | 5 | 13.7 | 11 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14.3 | 17 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| 10 | Levante | 8 | 9.8 | 12 | 15.9 | 16 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| 11 | Racing Santander | 9 | 11 | 13 | 21.1 | 25 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 10 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruña | 9 | 11.6 | 13 | 10.3 | 12 | 12.8 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 9 | 13.8 | 10 | 12.6 | 18 | 12.9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 7 | 10.2 | 7 | 8.9 | 6 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| 16 | Elche | 9 | 11 | 11 | 14.1 | 17 | 11 | 7 | -4 |
| 17 | Málaga | 9 | 8.7 | 6 | 16.3 | 18 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| 18 | Valencia | 9 | 9 | 6 | 13.1 | 15 | 10.4 | 6 | -4.4 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 9 | 11.9 | 11 | 10.8 | 12 | 13.4 | 8 | -5.4 |
| 20 | Villarreal | 9 | 19 | 13 | 10.8 | 13 | 16.8 | 9 | -7.8 |