No, Everton have taken 25 points over their last 20 Premier League games, 3.06 fewer than the 28.06 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Everton create 1.47 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Premier League games, 29.33 in all, and have scored 29 goals from those chances, 0.33 fewer than that xG would expect.
Everton allow 1.45 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Premier League games, 29.01 in all, and have conceded 28 goals from those chances, 1.01 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Thierno Barry has the most expected goals (xG) for Everton over their last 20 Premier League games, 7.17 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Beto is next with 4.52 xG.
Everton have taken 3.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -0.3 goals against their xG, and +1.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.33 | 29 | -0.33 | 29.01 | 28 | +1.01 | 28.06 | 25 | -3.06 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.71 | 14 | +0.29 | 15.11 | 14 | +1.11 | 13.15 | 12 | -1.15 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.88 | 6 | -0.88 | 6.67 | 5 | +1.67 | 7.27 | 7 | -0.27 |
| Home | 10 | 14.57 | 16 | +1.43 | 11.53 | 13 | -1.47 | 15.64 | 14 | -1.64 |
| Away | 10 | 14.76 | 13 | -1.76 | 17.48 | 15 | +2.48 | 12.42 | 11 | -1.42 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Premier League | Hull (A) | 2-2 | 1.79 | 1.16 | 1.80 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Premier League | Ipswich (H) | 1-0 | 1.59 | 1.29 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Premier League | Spurs (A) | 0-0 | 1.29 | 0.72 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Premier League | Man Utd (H) | 2-2 | 1.07 | 0.84 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Premier League | B'mouth (A) | 1-1 | 1.14 | 2.66 | 0.58 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Premier League | Palace (H) | 2-0 | 1.48 | 1.71 | 1.23 | 3 | L |
| 24 May | Premier League | Spurs (A) | 1-0 | 0.51 | 1.24 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Premier League | Sunderland (H) | 1-3 | 1.10 | 0.85 | 1.55 | 0 | W |
| 10 May | Premier League | Palace (A) | 2-2 | 1.64 | 2.78 | 0.81 | 1 | L |
| 4 May | Premier League | Man City (H) | 3-3 | 2.10 | 1.86 | 1.54 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Premier League | West Ham (A) | 2-1 | 1.92 | 1.49 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Premier League | Liverpool (H) | 1-2 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Premier League | Brentford (A) | 2-2 | 1.47 | 2.58 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Premier League | Chelsea (H) | 3-0 | 1.26 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Premier League | Arsenal (A) | 2-0 | 1.03 | 1.99 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 3 Mar | Premier League | Burnley (H) | 2-0 | 1.14 | 0.51 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Premier League | Newcastle (A) | 2-3 | 2.07 | 1.22 | 1.92 | 3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Premier League | Man Utd (H) | 0-1 | 0.86 | 1.41 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 10 Feb | Premier League | B'mouth (H) | 1-2 | 2.90 | 1.29 | 2.26 | 0 | W |
| 7 Feb | Premier League | Fulham (A) | 1-2 | 1.90 | 1.64 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | midfielder | 20 | 1792 | 3.36 | 6 | +2.64 | 0.17 |
| James Tarkowski | defender | 19 | 1710 | 1.49 | 3 | +1.51 | 0.08 |
| Beto | attacker | 15 | 758 | 4.52 | 6 | +1.48 | 0.54 |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | defender | 4 | 256 | 0.05 | 1 | +0.95 | 0.02 |
| Merlin Röhl | midfielder | 9 | 577 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.03 |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | defender | 14 | 1087 | 0.60 | 1 | +0.40 | 0.05 |
| Tyrique George | attacker | 17 | 546 | 0.80 | 1 | +0.20 | 0.13 |
| Jake O'Brien | defender | 16 | 1129 | 0.97 | 1 | +0.03 | 0.08 |
| James Garner | midfielder | 20 | 1680 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.03 |
| Brennan Johnson | attacker | 6 | 307 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.20 |
| Michael Keane | defender | 14 | 912 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.08 |
| Idrissa Gueye | midfielder | 10 | 877 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.09 |
| Dwight McNeil | attacker | 8 | 553 | 0.92 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.15 |
| Harrison Armstrong | midfielder | 13 | 737 | 1.14 | 0 | -1.14 | 0.14 |
| Thierno Barry | attacker | 20 | 1049 | 7.17 | 6 | -1.17 | 0.62 |
| Iliman Ndiaye | attacker | 16 | 1439 | 4.12 | 2 | -2.12 | 0.26 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 11.1 | 16 | 6.8 | 5 | 10.9 | 18 | +7.1 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9.7 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | 5.3 | 5 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 6 | 6.5 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 6 | 8.8 | 15 | 9.6 | 13 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| 6 | Newcastle United | 6 | 7.5 | 10 | 11.6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +2 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 7.7 | 9 | 13.8 | 12 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Everton | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | 8.4 | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 6 | 7.9 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 7.7 | 9 | 9.9 | 12 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| 11 | Brentford | 6 | 11.2 | 12 | 8.8 | 6 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| 12 | Coventry City | 6 | 5.9 | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 6 | 10.5 | 7 | 7.7 | 7 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 6 | 6.6 | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Manchester United | 6 | 11.1 | 9 | 6.9 | 9 | 9.9 | 6 | -3.9 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 10.1 | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 6.9 | 3 | 9.1 | 9 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 6 | 10.3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 9.1 | 4 | -5.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 6 | 9.7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 2 | -6 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 8.7 | 7 | 7.2 | 13 | 9.2 | 3 | -6.2 |