Villa have recorded 4 expected goals (xG) across 5 Premier League games in 2026/2027, averaging 0.8 per match.
Over their last 10 games, Villa are averaging 0.8 expected goals (xG) per match. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Villa vs Brentford on 10.10.2026.
Villa average 0.8 expected goals (xG) per Premier League game in 2026/2027, based on 5 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 0.8 per match.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Villa's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Villa have taken 4.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -1.9 goals against their xG, and -5.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 26.91 | 25 | -1.91 | 27.26 | 33 | -5.74 | 27.61 | 23 | -4.61 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.49 | 13 | +1.51 | 15.08 | 17 | -1.92 | 11.82 | 11 | -0.82 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.66 | 4 | -0.66 | 8.86 | 9 | -0.14 | 4.75 | 4 | -0.75 |
| Home | 10 | 15.43 | 15 | -0.43 | 12.58 | 16 | -3.42 | 15.41 | 13 | -2.41 |
| Away | 10 | 11.48 | 10 | -1.48 | 14.68 | 17 | -2.32 | 12.20 | 10 | -2.20 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Premier League | Spurs (A) | 2-3 | 1.53 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Premier League | Forest (H) | 1-2 | 1.06 | 2.27 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Premier League | Hull (A) | 0-0 | 1.31 | 0.70 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Premier League | Arsenal (H) | 0-1 | 0.43 | 1.25 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Premier League | Brighton (A) | 4-0 | 0.33 | 3.19 | 0.13 | 0 | L |
| 24 May | Premier League | Man City (A) | 1-2 | 1.97 | 1.32 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 15 May | Premier League | Liverpool (H) | 4-2 | 1.99 | 1.12 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Premier League | Burnley (A) | 2-2 | 1.45 | 1.57 | 1.30 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Premier League | Spurs (H) | 1-2 | 0.48 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Premier League | Fulham (A) | 1-0 | 0.94 | 1.36 | 1.05 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Premier League | Sunderland (H) | 4-3 | 2.70 | 1.14 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Premier League | Forest (A) | 1-1 | 1.27 | 1.13 | 1.46 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Premier League | West Ham (H) | 2-0 | 2.22 | 1.03 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Premier League | Man Utd (A) | 3-1 | 0.76 | 1.24 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| 4 Mar | Premier League | Chelsea (H) | 1-4 | 1.05 | 3.03 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 27 Feb | Premier League | Wolves (A) | 2-0 | 1.27 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Premier League | Leeds (H) | 1-1 | 1.79 | 0.90 | 1.98 | 1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Premier League | Brighton (H) | 1-0 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 7 Feb | Premier League | B'mouth (A) | 1-1 | 0.65 | 1.84 | 0.59 | 1 | L |
| 1 Feb | Premier League | Brentford (H) | 0-1 | 2.78 | 0.42 | 2.68 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | attacker | 14 | 1103 | 6.48 | 8 | +1.52 | 0.53 |
| John McGinn | midfielder | 13 | 987 | 0.93 | 2 | +1.07 | 0.09 |
| Alysson | attacker | 7 | 133 | 0.20 | 1 | +0.80 | 0.14 |
| Ross Barkley | midfielder | 19 | 1047 | 1.32 | 2 | +0.68 | 0.11 |
| Tammy Abraham | attacker | 16 | 347 | 2.35 | 3 | +0.65 | 0.61 |
| Nicolas Jackson | attacker | 4 | 290 | 0.72 | 1 | +0.28 | 0.22 |
| Douglas Luiz | midfielder | 13 | 613 | 0.75 | 1 | +0.25 | 0.11 |
| Morgan Rogers | midfielder | 14 | 1235 | 3.00 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.22 |
| Emiliano BuendÃa | midfielder | 20 | 1229 | 2.24 | 2 | -0.24 | 0.16 |
| Tyrone Mings | defender | 13 | 1071 | 1.43 | 1 | -0.43 | 0.12 |
| Leon Bailey | attacker | 12 | 420 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.13 |
| Pau Torres | defender | 10 | 746 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.07 |
| Ezri Konsa | defender | 12 | 1080 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.07 |
| Victor Lindelöf | defender | 11 | 829 | 0.97 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.11 |
| Amadou Onana | midfielder | 10 | 783 | 1.03 | 0 | -1.03 | 0.12 |
| Ian Maatsen | defender | 17 | 1072 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.09 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 10 | 13 | 5.5 | 5 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 5 | 5.2 | 9 | 9.9 | 9 | 4.2 | 8 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Hull City | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| 4 | Everton | 5 | 6.6 | 6 | 7.2 | 3 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | 4.6 | 4 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8.7 | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Brentford | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | 6.9 | 4 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | 6.6 | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | 8.6 | 12 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | 4 | 4 | -0 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 8.6 | 11 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4.7 | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 5 | 4.2 | 1 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 7.6 | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | 5.2 | 8 | 9.1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| 20 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | 6.1 | 8 | 7.9 | 3 | -4.9 |