Patrick Mahomes is averaging 1.8 passing touchdowns per game in 2026 season for the Kansas City Chiefs — 14 across 8 games.
In 2025 he finished with 22 passing touchdowns in 14 games — 1.6 per game.
Patrick Mahomes's passing touchdowns line at the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10 is 1.5. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games and 6 of 8 in 2026.
His last 5 games: 2 vs NYJ, 3 at DEN, 0 at SEA, 0 vs LAC and 2 at LV.
In 2026 he averages 1.8 passing touchdowns at home (4 games) and 1.8 on the road (4 games).
This week the Atlanta Falcons allow the 12th most passing touchdowns to quarterbacks.
| Game | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs | Over 1.5? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 9 | vs New York Jets | W 35–12 | 2 | Over |
| 2026 Week 8 | at Denver Broncos | L 24–28 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 7 | at Seattle Seahawks | L 3–20 | 0 | Under |
| 2026 Week 6 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 22–6 | 0 | Under |
| 2026 Week 4 | at Las Vegas Raiders | W 30–27 | 2 | Over |
| 2026 Week 3 | at Miami Dolphins | W 24–10 | 2 | Over |
| 2026 Week 2 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 33–30 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 1 | vs Denver Broncos | W 31–10 | 2 | Over |
| 2025 Week 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | L 13–16 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 14 | vs Houston Texans | L 10–20 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 13 | at Dallas Cowboys | L 28–31 | 4 | Over |
| 2025 Week 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | W 23–20 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 11 | at Denver Broncos | L 19–22 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 9 | at Buffalo Bills | L 21–28 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 8 | vs Washington Commanders | W 28–7 | 3 | Over |
| 2025 Week 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | W 31–0 | 3 | Over |
| 2025 Week 6 | vs Detroit Lions | W 30–17 | 3 | Over |
| 2025 Week 5 | at Jacksonville Jaguars | L 28–31 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | W 37–20 | 4 | Over |
| 2025 Week 3 | at New York Giants | W 22–9 | 1 | Under |