Michael Penix Jr. is averaging 1.4 passing touchdowns per game in 2026 season for the Atlanta Falcons — 10 across 7 games.
In 2025 he finished with 9 passing touchdowns in 9 games — 1 per game.
Michael Penix Jr.'s passing touchdowns line against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 10 is 1.5. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games and 2 of 7 in 2026.
His last 5 games: 1 vs CIN, 0 at TB, 3 vs SF, 3 vs CHI and 1 vs BAL.
In 2026 he averages 2 passing touchdowns at home (4 games) and 0.7 on the road (3 games).
This week the Kansas City Chiefs allow the 6th fewest passing touchdowns to quarterbacks.
| Game | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs | Over 1.5? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 9 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | L 17–34 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 8 | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 0–16 | 0 | Under |
| 2026 Week 7 | vs San Francisco 49ers | W 29–20 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 6 | vs Chicago Bears | L 23–31 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 5 | vs Baltimore Ravens | L 23–30 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 4 | at New Orleans Saints | W 45–24 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 3 | at Green Bay Packers | W 35–14 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 11 | vs Carolina Panthers | L 27–30 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 10 | at Indianapolis Colts | L 25–31 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 9 | at New England Patriots | L 23–24 | 3 | Over |
| 2025 Week 7 | at San Francisco 49ers | L 10–20 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 6 | vs Buffalo Bills | W 24–14 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 4 | vs Washington Commanders | W 34–27 | 2 | Over |
| 2025 Week 3 | at Carolina Panthers | L 0–30 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 2 | at Minnesota Vikings | W 22–6 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 1 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 20–23 | 1 | Under |
| 2024 Week 18 | vs Carolina Panthers | L 38–44 | 2 | Over |
| 2024 Week 17 | at Washington Commanders | L 24–30 | 1 | Under |
| 2024 Week 16 | vs New York Giants | W 34–7 | 0 | Under |
| 2024 Week 11 | at Denver Broncos | L 6–38 | 0 | Under |