Geno Smith is averaging 1.3 passing touchdowns per game in 2026 season for the New York Jets — 12 across 9 games.
In 2025 he finished with 19 passing touchdowns in 15 games — 1.3 per game.
Geno Smith's passing touchdowns line against the Buffalo Bills in Week 10 is 1.5. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 in 2026.
His last 5 games: 0 at KC, 2 vs LV, 3 vs MIA, 1 at NE and 1 vs CLE.
In 2026 he averages 1.8 passing touchdowns at home (4 games) and 1 on the road (5 games).
This week the Buffalo Bills allow the 4th fewest passing touchdowns to quarterbacks.
| Game | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs | Over 1.5? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 9 | at Kansas City Chiefs | L 12–35 | 0 | Under |
| 2026 Week 8 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | L 33–38 | 2 | Over |
| 2026 Week 7 | vs Miami Dolphins | L 25–28 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 6 | at New England Patriots | L 19–26 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 5 | vs Cleveland Browns | W 17–12 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 4 | at Chicago Bears | L 12–23 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 3 | at Detroit Lions | L 24–31 | 3 | Over |
| 2026 Week 2 | vs Green Bay Packers | L 17–20 | 1 | Under |
| 2026 Week 1 | at Tennessee Titans | W 23–10 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 17 | vs New York Giants | L 10–34 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 16 | at Houston Texans | L 21–23 | 2 | Over |
| 2025 Week 14 | vs Denver Broncos | L 17–24 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 13 | at Los Angeles Chargers | L 14–31 | 2 | Over |
| 2025 Week 12 | vs Cleveland Browns | L 10–24 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 11 | vs Dallas Cowboys | L 16–33 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 10 | at Denver Broncos | L 7–10 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 9 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | L 29–30 | 4 | Over |
| 2025 Week 7 | at Kansas City Chiefs | L 0–31 | 0 | Under |
| 2025 Week 6 | vs Tennessee Titans | W 20–10 | 1 | Under |
| 2025 Week 5 | at Indianapolis Colts | L 6–40 | 0 | Under |