Updated 24 October 2026
SC Freiburg host FC Bayern München at Europa-Park Stadion on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 16:30 UK. It is 3rd against 1st in the Bundesliga table, with just a point between them: Freiburg have 13 from six games, Bayern 14. Bayern are unbeaten in the league and have scored 22 goals in those six matches.
Freiburg have won four of their six league games, drawn one and lost one, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They're averaging 2.5 goals a game, the 5th most in the league, and they concede 1 a game, the 3rd fewest. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 83% of their games, the 4th highest rate in the division.
Freiburg come in off two defeats. They lost 2-1 at Leverkusen last Sunday, and on Thursday were beaten 3-0 by Monaco in the Europa Conference League. Before that they won 3-2 against Jablonec and 2-1 against Schalke at home, and drew 2-2 at Frankfurt in September.
Bayern have won four and drawn two, with 22 scored and 5 conceded. They lead the league in goals per game at 3.67, create the most shots on target at 10.33 a game and win the most corners at 9.67. Their league results include a 7-0 against Union Berlin, a 6-1 against RB Leipzig, and a 2-2 draw at Augsburg.
In the Champions League Bayern drew 3-3 at Viking and then 2-2 at home to Arsenal on Wednesday, conceding five in two games. In the Bundesliga they've given up just 0.83 a game, the 2nd fewest, and they're also the least carded side in the division at 0.83 a game.
SC Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Backhaus; Treu, Lienhart, Ginter, Makengo; Eggestein, Osterhage; Scherhant, Beste, Suzuki; Matanovic
FC Bayern München possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Brown; Pavlovic, Bischof; Olise, Karl, Gnabry; Kane
Harry Kane has had three or more shots in five straight games, averaging 5.4, and a shot on target in all five. Kane is 1.18 at Ladbrokes for three or more shots and 1.13 for a shot on target.
Igor Matanovic has managed two or more shots in six straight games, averaging 3.3 a game. Matanovic leads Freiburg's attack and is 1.28 at Ladbrokes to keep that run going.
Maximilian Eggestein has had a shot in six straight league games and a shot on target in five straight. Eggestein is 1.40 at bet365 for a shot, and 2.90 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target.
Tom Bischof has made two or more tackles in each of his last five games, averaging 2.4. Bischof is 1.50 at bet365 for two or more.
Derry Scherhant has committed a foul in six straight games, averaging 1.8. Scherhant is 1.40 at bet365 for one or more.
Dayot Upamecano has committed a foul in five straight games, averaging 1.6 a game. Upamecano is 1.80 at Ladbrokes for one or more fouls.
Bayern are favourites, and the best price on them is 1.40 at Ladbrokes. Freiburg are 7.00 at midnite and the draw is 5.75 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.44 at Coral, and Over 2.5 goals is 1.25 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg win | 7.00 (midnite) | 18% |
| Draw | 5.75 (bet365) | 19% |
| Bayern win | 1.40 (Ladbrokes) | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (Coral) | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 76% |
We expect 2.58 goals from Bayern and 1.38 from Freiburg. 1-2 is the likeliest single score, so our prediction is Freiburg 1-2 Bayern, with 1-3 and 1-1 next, though we make Bayern clear favourites to take the points.
We give Bayern a 25% chance of a clean sheet. On the player markets, the runs above point to Kane's shots, Matanovic's shots, Eggestein's shots and Upamecano's fouls.
The match is on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 UK time at Europa-Park Stadion.
We predict Freiburg 1-2 Bayern, the likeliest single score. 1-3 and 1-1 come next, though we give Bayern a 63% chance of winning.
Bayern are favourites. The best price on them is 1.40 at Ladbrokes, with Freiburg 7.00 at midnite and the draw 5.75 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 70% chance. Freiburg average 2.5 goals a game and Bayern 3.67, and the best price on both teams to score is 1.44 at Coral.
Harry Kane has had three or more shots in five straight games, and Igor Matanovic has had two or more in six straight. Maximilian Eggestein has had a shot in six straight league games.
Bayern are 1st on 14 points from six games and unbeaten. Freiburg are 3rd on 13 points.
Freiburg: Backhaus; Treu, Lienhart, Ginter, Makengo; Eggestein, Osterhage; Scherhant, Beste, Suzuki; Matanovic. Bayern: Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Brown; Pavlovic, Bischof; Olise, Karl, Gnabry; Kane.