Dallas welcome Columbus Crew to Toyota Stadium for a Major League Soccer game that kicks off at 00:30 UK on Thursday 29 October. Dallas are 2nd in the Western Conference on 54 points from 31 games, and Columbus are 10th in the Eastern Conference on 38. Columbus have won their last three and four of their last five.
Dallas have 15 wins, 9 draws and 7 defeats, with 58 goals scored and 47 conceded. They have lost just once in their last five. Their latest outing was a 3-0 home win over San Jose on 25 October, and before that came a 2-2 draw at Houston and a 1-0 win over Seattle. Their one defeat in that spell was a 3-2 loss at Charlotte. Dallas average 1.87 goals a game, the 7th most in the league, and have kept clean sheets in 26% of games, the 6th highest rate. They also give away plenty of fouls, 13.03 a game, the 5th most.
Columbus have won 11, drawn 5 and lost 15, with 50 scored and 49 against. They beat Toronto 4-2 on 24 October and won 2-0 at Cincinnati six days before that. Their only loss in the last five came in a 3-2 defeat at Orlando City. Both teams have scored in 71% of Columbus games, the 6th highest rate, and 71% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 5th highest. They average 5.29 corners a game, the 8th most.
Dallas possible starting lineup:
Daniel; Moore, Ibeagha, Urhoghide, Johansson; Ramiro, Kaick, Valiente; Kamungo, Job, Musa
Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Schulte; Moreira, Zawadzki, Amundsen; Farsi, Habroune, Chambost, Zaroury; RodrÃguez, Giaccone, Tapia
Gonzalo Tapia is the Columbus name with the longest shooting run. He has had a shot in eight straight games and a shot on target in each of his last five. A shot is 1.05 at bet365 and a shot on target is 1.53.
Kaick has had a shot in five games in a row for Dallas, averaging 2.0 a game, and he is 1.53 at bet365 to make it six.
Osaze Urhoghide averages 3.1 tackles a game and has made at least one in eight straight. He has also had a shot in each of his last five and is 1.83 at bet365 for another.
Taha Habroune has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 2.7, and has had a shot in six in a row. Midnite offer 1.22 on a shot.
JoaquÃn Valiente has had a shot in seven consecutive games for Dallas, and bet365 make him 1.13 to extend it.
We back Dallas to win, and bet365 have them at 2.05. We make it 49% for Dallas, 26% for Columbus and 25% for a draw.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas win | 2.05 (bet365) | 49% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| Columbus Crew win | 3.10 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 (bet365) | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 60% |
We project Dallas to score 1.82 goals and Columbus 1.27, and 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, so a draw is in play. Overall we make Dallas the likelier winners, and our prediction is a 1-1 draw. Dallas also carry a better chance of keeping a clean sheet, at 28% to Columbus's 16%.
Four players have cleared their line in each of their last five games: Tapia with a shot on target, Habroune with a shot, Kaick with a shot and Urhoghide with a foul committed.