AC Milan host Atalanta at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano on 18 October 2026 at 17:00 in Serie A. AC Milan's last five results: D L W D W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Atalanta's last five: L L L W W (2 wins and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan have won 0, Atalanta 4, with 2 draws.
AC Milan vs Atalanta kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in Serie A, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
AC Milan vs Atalanta is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano, the home ground of AC Milan.
AC Milan's last five results read D L W D W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Atalanta's last five results read L L L W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings AC Milan have won 0, Atalanta have won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was AC Milan 2-3 Atalanta on 10 May 2026 in the Serie A.
Strahinja Pavlović leads AC Milan with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Nikola Krstović leads Atalanta with 12 shots on target across their last 10 games.
Daniele Chiffi is the referee for AC Milan vs Atalanta, averaging 23.0 fouls and 3.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan and Atalanta are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes AC Milan the favourite with a 48% chance of winning, against 25% for Atalanta and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are AC Milan 1.6 - 1.1 Atalanta.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2-3 |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Serie A | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 1-1 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 0-1 |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Serie A | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 2-1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Serie A | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 1-1 |
| 10 Jan 2024 | Coppa Italia | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects AC Milan 1.6 - 1.1 Atalanta in goals. It gives AC Milan a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atalanta 25%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | AC Milan win | 10% |
| 2-1 | AC Milan win | 9% |
| 2-0 | AC Milan win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan vs Atalanta, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | AC Milan | Fouls committed | Atalanta | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Winter | 13 | N. Krstović | 17 |
| 2 | S. Pavlović | 12 | G. Scalvini | 13 |
| 3 | A. Rabiot | 9 | Éderson | 10 |
| 4 | G. Ramos | 9 | C. Ketelaere | 7 |
| 5 | P. Estupiñán | 7 | G. Scamacca | 6 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots | Atalanta | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Ramos | 18 | N. Krstović | 25 |
| 2 | A. Rabiot | 15 | G. Raspadori | 18 |
| 3 | S. Pavlović | 10 | L. Samardžić | 13 |
| 4 | C. Pulisic | 9 | Éderson | 10 |
| 5 | S. Chukwueze | 7 | D. Zappacosta | 9 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots on target | Atalanta | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Ramos | 6 | N. Krstović | 12 |
| 2 | C. Pulisic | 4 | Éderson | 7 |
| 3 | S. Pavlović | 4 | G. Scamacca | 4 |
| 4 | A. Rabiot | 4 | G. Raspadori | 3 |
| 5 | S. Chukwueze | 4 | L. Samardžić | 3 |
| # | AC Milan | Goals | Atalanta | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 3 | N. Krstović | 3 |
| 2 | D. Moreira | 3 | Éderson | 2 |
| 3 | A. Cissè | 2 | G. Raspadori | 2 |
| 4 | S. Pavlović | 1 | D. Zappacosta | 1 |
| 5 | A. Saelemaekers | 1 | F. Kessié | 1 |
| # | AC Milan | Yellow cards | Atalanta | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Pavlović | 4 | N. Krstović | 3 |
| 2 | P. Estupiñán | 3 | R. Bellanova | 2 |
| 3 | R. Loftus-Cheek | 2 | Éderson | 1 |
| 4 | F. Tomori | 2 | I. Hien | 1 |
| 5 | K. Winter | 2 | M. Pašalić | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for AC Milan vs Atalanta: Nikola Krstović 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.57); Gonçalo Ramos 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.29); Gianluca Gaetano 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.29); Koni De Winter 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22). Combined odds 3.19 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Passes | 581.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.2 | 19 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 12.2 | 20 of 20 |
| Passes | 483.3 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 16 of 20 |