Dundee United xG 2026/2027

Dundee Utd xG Questions

Are Dundee Utd overperforming their xG?

No, Dundee Utd have taken 27 points over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, within 1.00 of the 28.00 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is Dundee Utd's xG per game?

Dundee Utd create 1.71 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 34.20 in all, and have scored 26 goals from those chances, 8.20 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Dundee Utd's xGA per game?

Dundee Utd allow 1.65 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 33.01 in all, and have conceded 29 goals from those chances, 4.01 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Dundee Utd?

Zachary Sapsford has the most expected goals (xG) for Dundee Utd over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 5.73 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Daniel Bennie is next with 3.39 xG.

Dundee Utd expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 34.20
Goals scored: 26
Goals minus xG: -8.20
Expected goals against (xGA): 33.01
Goals conceded: 29
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.01
Expected points (xPts): 28.00
Points: 27
Points minus xPts: -1.00
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Dundee Utd overperforming their expected goals?

Dundee Utd's results and their chances agree, within 1.0 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Aberdeen expected goals

Games: 20
Aberdeen xG per game: 1.21
Aberdeen xGA per game: 1.38
Points minus xPts: -3.06
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Dundee Utd results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	34.20	26	-8.20	33.01	29	+4.01	28.00	27	-1.00
Last 10	10	16.47	12	-4.47	16.27	13	+3.27	13.59	13	-0.59
Last 5	5	8.34	6	-2.34	7.21	5	+2.21	7.59	8	+0.41
Home	9	16.83	13	-3.83	12.69	7	+5.69	14.97	18	+3.03
Away	11	17.37	13	-4.37	20.32	22	-1.68	13.03	9	-4.03

Dundee Utd expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
17 Oct	Scottish Premiership	St. Johnstone (A)	1-1	1.45	1.43	1.39	1	W
10 Oct	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian (H)	1-0	2.23	1.21	2.01	3	W
19 Sep	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (A)	0-3	1.57	1.27	1.58	3	W
5 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk (H)	1-1	2.84	1.00	2.39	1	W
2 Sep	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (A)	3-0	0.25	2.30	0.22	0	L
29 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	0-4	3.47	1.31	2.42	3	W
22 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (H)	0-2	1.71	1.77	1.35	0	L
9 Aug	Scottish Premiership	Hearts (A)	4-0	0.95	2.38	0.58	0	L
31 Jul	Scottish Premiership	Rangers (H)	1-1	1.52	2.32	0.94	1	L
17 May	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (A)	1-1	0.48	1.28	0.71	1	L
12 May	Scottish Premiership	Livingston (H)	0-0	1.31	1.06	1.55	1	W
9 May	Scottish Premiership	Aberdeen (A)	2-0	0.92	1.78	0.81	0	L
2 May	Scottish Premiership	Kilmarnock (A)	3-0	2.42	2.03	1.61	0	W
26 Apr	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (H)	3-0	1.93	1.25	1.82	3	W
11 Apr	Scottish Premiership	Livingston (H)	3-2	1.88	1.69	1.51	3	W
4 Apr	Scottish Premiership	Rangers (A)	4-2	2.30	3.01	1.06	0	L
22 Mar	Scottish Premiership	Celtic (H)	2-0	1.28	1.04	1.54	3	W
15 Mar	Scottish Premiership	Dundee (A)	2-2	3.06	1.43	2.24	1	W
3 Mar	Scottish Premiership	St. Mirren (H)	2-1	2.13	1.35	1.86	3	W
28 Feb	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell (A)	2-0	0.50	2.10	0.41	0	L

Dundee Utd players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Will Ferry	midfielder	15	1167	1.28	5	+3.72	0.10
Emmanuel Agyei	midfielder	13	949	0.83	2	+1.17	0.08
Lyall Cameron	midfielder	4	314	0.93	2	+1.07	0.27
Krisztián Keresztes	defender	10	765	0.26	1	+0.74	0.03
Ryan Strain	defender	7	510	0.32	1	+0.68	0.06
L. Stephenson	midfielder	5	443	0.35	1	+0.65	0.07
Kevin Ciubotaru	defender	5	386	0.52	1	+0.48	0.12
Jesse Randall	attacker	9	593	1.73	2	+0.27	0.26
Michael Forbes	defender	9	810	0.83	1	+0.17	0.09
Amar Fatah	attacker	6	397	2.94	3	+0.06	0.67
Johnny Russell	attacker	7	150	0.62	0	-0.62	0.37
Dylan Tait	midfielder	8	673	0.68	0	-0.68	0.09
Ross Graham	defender	10	900	0.69	0	-0.69	0.07
Lachlan Rose	attacker	9	307	1.99	1	-0.99	0.58
N. Farrugia	midfielder	18	870	1.40	0	-1.40	0.14
Zachary Sapsford	attacker	19	980	5.73	4	-1.73	0.53
Vicko Sevelj	midfielder	14	1129	2.01	0	-2.01	0.16
Max Watters	attacker	10	667	2.19	0	-2.19	0.30
Daniel Bennie	attacker	9	503	3.39	1	-2.39	0.61

Scottish Premiership 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Celtic	9	23.8	23	10.9	5	18.1	24	+5.9
2	Dundee	9	12	13	16.5	10	10.2	14	+3.8
3	Rangers	9	20.4	13	9.2	7	18.6	20	+1.4
4	St. Johnstone	9	12.9	11	14.3	11	11.2	12	+0.8
5	Kilmarnock	9	10.7	10	22.4	20	7.3	8	+0.7
6	Hearts	9	17.4	20	12.6	15	15.6	16	+0.4
7	Falkirk	9	9.7	9	15.8	12	8.6	9	+0.4
8	Aberdeen	9	11.6	10	13.7	10	11.1	11	-0.1
9	Dundee United	9	16	11	15	12	12.9	12	-0.9
10	St. Mirren	9	13.5	9	17	17	10.9	10	-0.9
11	Motherwell	9	15.6	11	18.5	16	11.8	8	-3.8
12	Hibernian	9	15.8	9	13.4	14	14.2	7	-7.2

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