Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Odds & Props — Week 16

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Atlanta Falcons in Week 16 of the 2026 NFL season, on Sunday, December 27 at 12:00 AM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Fieldturf. The Buccaneers are 3-6 (4th in the NFC South), the Falcons 3-6 (3rd in the NFC South). The Buccaneers went 3-3 down the stretch, the Falcons 2-4.

In 2026 the Buccaneers scored 22.4 points per game (19th in the NFL) and allowed 19.8 (7th in the NFL); the Falcons scored 20.9 (23rd in the NFL) and allowed 24.8 (20th in the NFL).

Head-to-head, the recent series reads ATL 3–3 over the last 6 meetings, at an average total of 48.8; against the spread it is ATL 3–3, and the total has gone OVER 4–2. The last 6 meetings are split 3–3 — 5 of the 6 landed inside a score.

Injury report: 27 players out and 10 questionable across the two teams — Zachariah Branch (ATL WR, Doubtful), Yaya Diaby (TB LB, Out), Jalen McMillan (TB WR, Injured reserve) and Cameron Williams (ATL OL, IR, designated to return).

All Buccaneers v Falcons games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons: team comparison (2026 season, NFL rank in brackets)
Tampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Record3-63-6
Division4th NFC S3rd NFC S
Last six resultsL W L W W LW L L W L L
Points / G22.4 (19th)20.9 (23rd)
Total Yds / G322 (25th)333.4 (23rd)
Yards / Play5.2 (25th)5.7 (15th)
Pass Yds / G158.1 (32nd)196.2 (25th)
Rush Yds / G163.9 (1st)137.2 (6th)
3rd Down %36.3% (23rd)34.9% (27th)
1st Downs / G18.0 (23rd)17.9 (25th)
Turnover Diff+7 (3rd)-8 (30th)
Pts Allowed / G19.8 (7th)24.8 (20th)
Yds Allowed / G305.8 (3rd)360 (22nd)
Pass Yds Allowed226.7 (11th)241.2 (20th)
Rush Yds Allowed79.1 (1st)118.8 (17th)
Sacks17 (21st)20 (14th)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers stats, schedule and roster
  • Atlanta Falcons stats, schedule and roster
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons injury report
PlayerTeamPositionStatusInjury
Zachariah BranchATLWRDoubtfulHamstring
Yaya DiabyTBLBOutKnee
Jalen McMillanTBWRInjured reserveKnee
Antoine Winfield Jr.TBSQuestionableRib
Cameron WilliamsATLOLIR, designated to returnAnkle
Brian Robinson Jr.ATLRBInjured reserveHamstring
Samson EbukamATLDEInjured reserveHamstring
Anterio ThompsonATLDTOut
Josh HayesTBCBIR, designated to return
Michael JerrellATLOTInjured reserveBiceps
Christian RozeboomTBLBInjured reserveFinger
Da'Shawn HandATLDTInjured reserveKnee
Storm NortonATLOTReserve/PUP
Trey SermonATLRBInjured reserve
Mohamed KamaraTBLBInjured reserveKnee
JD BertrandATLLBInjured reserveUndisclosed
Jalon WalkerATLLBInjured reserve
DeAngelo MaloneATLLBReserve/PUPUndisclosed
Dennis HoustonTBWRInjured Reserve
Marcus BanksTBSQuestionable
Damarion WilliamsTBCBInjured Reserve
Chris BraswellTBDEQuestionable
Jaden SmithTBWRInjured Reserve
Kadarius CallowayTBRBInjured Reserve
Deshawn McKnightTBDTInjured Reserve
Chase LucasTBCBOut
Haggai NdubuisiTBDTOut
Xavier WilliamsTBSQuestionable
Ben BredesonTBGInjured Reserve
JJ RobertsTBSInjured Reserve
Zyon McCollumTBCBInjured Reserve
David Sills VTBWRInjured Reserve
Sean TuckerTBRBQuestionable
Tyrone Wheatley Jr.ATLOTInjured Reserve
Trevor SiemianATLQBQuestionable
Emory JonesATLQBInjured Reserve
Kaleb McGaryATLOTInjured Reserve
Malik HeathATLWROut
Malik VerdonATLLBInjured Reserve
Sam RobertsATLDTInjured Reserve
Troy AndersenATLLBOut
Ronnie Harrison Jr.ATLLBQuestionable
Keshawn BanksATLDEInjured Reserve
Darren HallATLSQuestionable
Zach HarrisonATLDEInjured Reserve
Mike HughesATLCBOut
Cooper RushATLQBOut
Kam DewberryATLGQuestionable
C.J. HendersonATLCBQuestionable
Beaux CollinsATLWRInjured Reserve
Yasir AbdullahATLLBInjured Reserve
Drake JacksonATLDEOut

The last 6 meetings are split 3–3 — 5 of the 6 landed inside a score.

Recent meetings
GameWinnerScoreVenue
2026 Week 8TB16–0Raymond James Stadium
2025 Week 15ATL29–28Raymond James Stadium
2025 Week 1TB23–20Mercedes-Benz Stadium
2024 Week 8ATL31–26Raymond James Stadium
2024 Week 5ATL36–30Mercedes-Benz Stadium
2023 Week 14TB29–25Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Frequently asked questions

When do the Buccaneers play the Falcons?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons is Week 16 of the 2026 NFL season, kicking off on Sunday, December 27 at 12:00 AM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

What is the head-to-head record between the Buccaneers and the Falcons?

The recent series is ATL 3–3 over the last 6 meetings — the last one finished TB 16–0 in 2026 (Week 8), and against the spread the series is ATL 3–3.

Who is injured for Buccaneers vs Falcons?

52 players carry a designation: 27 out and 10 questionable, including Zachariah Branch (ATL WR, Doubtful), Yaya Diaby (TB LB, Out), Jalen McMillan (TB WR, Injured reserve) and Cameron Williams (ATL OL, IR, designated to return).

Buccaneers v Falcons: teams and standings

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Atlanta Falcons Stats
  • NFC South Standings
  • NFC Standings
  • NFL Power Rankings this week

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